Cackle Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Cackle Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-08-15.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	13% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 5% 7% 45%	95417
	Night	15% 6% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 4 6% 49%	93361
Transparency	Day	38% 6% 10% 20% 18% 8%	95193
	Night	35% 6% 10% 19% 18% 11%	93191
Seeing	Day	15% 8% 22% 30% 21% 5%	14564
	Night	17% 7% 25% 34% 15% 1	24452

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	14% 9% 2 5% 2 3 2 2 4 6% 51%	2847
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 5% 2 3 2 2 2 2 4 5% 55%	2850
	21st to end	Day	18% 7% 2 5% 3 2 4 2 4 8% 44%	3370
February	1st to 10th	Day	19% 7% 3 6% 4 3 4 2 4 5% 45%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 7% 2 5% 3 3 4 3 4 6% 45%	1849
	21st to end	Day	19% 6% 2 5% 2 3 3 2 4 4 49%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	16% 8% 3 7% 4 3 3 3 5% 6% 43%	3393
	11th to 20th	Day	22% 9% 3 8% 5% 4 4 3 4 5% 33%	3480
	21st to end	Day	17% 7% 2 5% 3 2 4 3 5% 6% 46%	3814
April	1st to 10th	Day	14% 8% 3 6% 5% 3 4 3 5% 6% 43%	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 7% 3 5% 3 3 4 3 4 5% 43%	2070
	21st to end	Day	15% 6% 2 6% 4 5% 4 3 5% 6% 44%	2418
May	1st to 10th	Day	24% 9% 3 7% 5% 5% 3 3 5% 6% 31%	4082
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 6% 2 7% 4 4 4 3 5% 7% 43%	4082
	21st to end	Day	13% 6% 2 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 7% 10% 37%	4477
June	1st to 10th	Day	6% 4 2 5% 4 5% 5% 5% 7% 9% 48%	2470
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 5% 1 5% 4 5% 6% 4 6% 9% 45%	2470
	21st to end	Day	8% 7% 2 7% 6% 5% 6% 5% 8% 8% 38%	2470
July	1st to 10th	Day	7% 4 2 6% 5% 5% 5% 4 6% 9% 47%	4120
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 4 2 5% 4 5% 6% 5% 8% 10% 47%	4120
	21st to end	Day	10% 6% 2 7% 5% 5% 5% 5% 7% 11% 36%	4465
August	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 1 3 4 4 4 4 6% 9% 62%	2441
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 3 2 6% 4 4 4 5% 6% 8% 52%	2172
	21st to end	Day	5% 3 1 6% 6% 7% 6% 5% 8% 11% 41%	2283
September	1st to 10th	Day	9% 5% 3 8% 6% 5% 5% 4 6% 7% 43%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 7% 3 8% 5% 4 5% 4 6% 8% 38%	1980
	21st to end	Day	8% 5% 2 6% 5% 5% 6% 4 6% 7% 49%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	7% 4 2 6% 4 5% 4 4 5% 7% 53%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 5% 1 5% 4 3 4 4 4 6% 50%	1868
	21st to end	Day	12% 5% 2 5% 3 3 3 2 4 4 58%	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	15% 6% 2 6% 4 4 3 4 4 7% 44%	1858
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 5% 50%	1772
	21st to end	Day	17% 8% 3 5% 4 4 4 2 4 5% 45%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	16% 8% 2 6% 3 3 3 3 4 6% 47%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 8% 3 5% 4 4 4 3 4 4 44%	2161
	21st to end	Day	17% 6% 2 4 2 2 2 3 3 4 55%	3135
January	1st to 10th	Night	19% 6% 2 4 2 2 2 2 3 6% 52%	4108
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 4 1 3 2 1 2 2 3 3 65%	4120
	21st to end	Night	21% 7% 3 6% 3 3 3 2 4 6% 42%	4312
February	1st to 10th	Night	19% 7% 2 6% 3 2 3 2 4 5% 47%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 8% 2 4 2 3 2 1 3 4 50%	2218
	21st to end	Night	20% 7% 2 4 3 3 3 3 4 5% 45%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	19% 8% 2 6% 4 3 3 3 4 6% 40%	3461
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 11% 2 6% 4 3 4 3 4 5% 33%	3480
	21st to end	Night	19% 7% 2 5% 4 4 3 3 5% 6% 43%	3817
April	1st to 10th	Night	15% 6% 2 6% 4 3 4 4 5% 7% 46%	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 6% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 4 5% 44%	2054
	21st to end	Night	21% 5% 2 5% 4 3 3 2 4 5% 46%	1762
May	1st to 10th	Night	28% 8% 2 5% 3 3 4 3 3 5% 36%	2823
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 5% 2 6% 4 3 3 3 5% 7% 49%	2823
	21st to end	Night	16% 6% 2 6% 3 3 4 4 6% 9% 42%	3090
June	1st to 10th	Night	6% 3 1 4 3 2 4 4 5% 9% 58%	1710
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 3 1 4 5% 4 3 4 5% 9% 57%	1710
	21st to end	Night	8% 4 1 5% 4 3 4 4 7% 10% 50%	1710
July	1st to 10th	Night	7% 3 1 4 3 3 4 4 6% 11% 54%	2850
	11th to 20th	Night	4 4 2 4 4 4 5% 4 7% 9% 53%	2850
	21st to end	Night	11% 6% 3 6% 4 4 5% 4 6% 10% 41%	3098
August	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 5% 9% 70%	1712
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 4 2 4 3 4 5% 4 6% 11% 52%	1828
	21st to end	Night	7% 3 1 5% 4 5% 5% 4 6% 10% 49%	2070
September	1st to 10th	Night	7% 6% 2 5% 4 4 5% 4 6% 8% 51%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 6% 2 6% 4 6% 4 4 5% 7% 46%	1980
	21st to end	Night	10% 5% 2 5% 3 4 4 3 5% 7% 52%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	6% 4 2 5% 3 3 4 3 4 6% 59%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 6% 1 5% 3 3 3 3 5% 5% 52%	2074
	21st to end	Night	16% 4 1 4 2 2 2 2 3 3 61%	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	13% 7% 2 6% 3 3 3 2 3 5% 53%	2220
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 6% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 4 6% 53%	2403
	21st to end	Night	19% 5% 2 5% 3 3 4 2 4 6% 46%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	17% 6% 2 4 3 3 3 2 5% 6% 50%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 7% 3 6% 3 3 3 2 3 4 47%	3036
	21st to end	Night	20% 5% 2 3 3 2 2 2 3 5% 54%	4532

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	35% 4 4 17% 25% 15%	2848
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 3 6% 14% 28% 16%	2850
	21st to end	Day	39% 5% 5% 11% 29% 11%	3370
February	1st to 10th	Day	44% 3 4 12% 21% 16%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	42% 4 7% 16% 18% 13%	1859
	21st to end	Day	39% 4 6% 17% 18% 16%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	42% 6% 6% 14% 21% 11%	3393
	11th to 20th	Day	54% 6% 6% 9% 16% 9%	3480
	21st to end	Day	38% 6% 9% 16% 20% 11%	3814
April	1st to 10th	Day	42% 6% 7% 16% 17% 12%	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	44% 6% 7% 15% 18% 11%	2070
	21st to end	Day	41% 6% 6% 20% 18% 10%	2418
May	1st to 10th	Day	53% 7% 8% 13% 14% 5%	4120
	11th to 20th	Day	40% 7% 8% 18% 21% 6%	4086
	21st to end	Day	39% 9% 13% 28% 11% 1	4489
June	1st to 10th	Day	30% 9% 12% 26% 19% 3	2470
	11th to 20th	Day	34% 7% 13% 24% 17% 5%	2470
	21st to end	Day	40% 8% 11% 23% 15% 3	2470
July	1st to 10th	Day	31% 9% 15% 37% 7% 1	4056
	11th to 20th	Day	27% 9% 17% 30% 16% 1	4051
	21st to end	Day	36% 10% 17% 29% 8%	4325
August	1st to 10th	Day	19% 6% 17% 37% 21% 1	2427
	11th to 20th	Day	28% 8% 17% 30% 12% 4	2172
	21st to end	Day	33% 10% 16% 25% 12% 3	2283
September	1st to 10th	Day	40% 7% 9% 20% 16% 8%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	40% 9% 11% 17% 17% 5%	1980
	21st to end	Day	33% 7% 11% 20% 18% 11%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Day	30% 6% 12% 19% 23% 10%	1980
	11th to 20th	Day	34% 6% 9% 15% 19% 17%	1868
	21st to end	Day	30% 4 5% 15% 25% 20%	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	39% 5% 8% 19% 19% 10%	1858
	11th to 20th	Day	36% 5% 7% 17% 21% 13%	1772
	21st to end	Day	43% 4 5% 15% 20% 14%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	39% 4 8% 20% 21% 9%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	41% 6% 7% 10% 21% 15%	2159
	21st to end	Day	35% 3 5% 14% 28% 15%	3135
January	1st to 10th	Night	35% 3 5% 15% 23% 19%	4108
	11th to 20th	Night	26% 2 4 17% 29% 21%	4120
	21st to end	Night	43% 4 5% 11% 24% 12%	4312
February	1st to 10th	Night	41% 3 6% 13% 20% 18%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	41% 3 5% 16% 19% 16%	2218
	21st to end	Night	42% 4 6% 14% 17% 17%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	44% 6% 7% 16% 18% 9%	3461
	11th to 20th	Night	52% 7% 9% 10% 13% 9%	3480
	21st to end	Night	41% 6% 9% 15% 19% 10%	3817
April	1st to 10th	Night	39% 6% 8% 17% 17% 14%	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	42% 5% 8% 13% 17% 15%	2054
	21st to end	Night	42% 5% 8% 20% 17% 9%	1762
May	1st to 10th	Night	50% 6% 8% 16% 13% 6%	2850
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 7% 11% 22% 18% 8%	2824
	21st to end	Night	37% 8% 14% 27% 11% 2	3099
June	1st to 10th	Night	23% 7% 16% 30% 22% 3	1710
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 7% 15% 30% 20% 5%	1710
	21st to end	Night	29% 9% 17% 28% 15% 3	1710
July	1st to 10th	Night	24% 8% 26% 36% 6% 1	2805
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 9% 20% 31% 15% 1	2796
	21st to end	Night	38% 10% 21% 24% 7%	2999
August	1st to 10th	Night	12% 7% 23% 40% 18% 1	1702
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 12% 21% 29% 11% 3	1828
	21st to end	Night	28% 9% 21% 28% 11% 3	2070
September	1st to 10th	Night	31% 7% 16% 22% 17% 7%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	36% 9% 13% 22% 14% 5%	1980
	21st to end	Night	30% 7% 14% 20% 17% 11%	1980
October	1st to 10th	Night	25% 6% 12% 24% 21% 12%	1980
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 5% 9% 16% 18% 18%	2074
	21st to end	Night	31% 3 6% 16% 23% 22%	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	35% 4 8% 18% 22% 13%	2220
	11th to 20th	Night	33% 5% 9% 19% 19% 16%	2403
	21st to end	Night	40% 4 8% 15% 19% 14%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	36% 4 8% 19% 21% 12%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	43% 3 4 11% 20% 19%	3037
	21st to end	Night	36% 3 4 13% 29% 14%	4532

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	22% 14% 36% 22% 5%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	29% 15% 29% 20% 7%	270
	21st to end	Day	21% 15% 37% 22% 5%	297
February	1st to 10th	Day	32% 14% 29% 20% 5%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	28% 18% 33% 17% 3	270
	21st to end	Day	27% 18% 42% 13%	225
March	1st to 10th	Day	24% 16% 41% 16% 3	270
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 17% 40% 16% 5%	270
	21st to end	Day	22% 17% 37% 19% 4 1	297
April	1st to 10th	Day	23% 16% 39% 19% 3	270
	11th to 20th	Day	24% 21% 30% 19% 6%	268
	21st to end	Day	20% 13% 39% 22% 6%	598
May	1st to 10th	Day	19% 10% 38% 26% 7%	653
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 9% 29% 33% 9% 2	675
	21st to end	Day	17% 8% 26% 33% 15% 1	734
June	1st to 10th	Day	8% 3 18% 39% 28% 5%	680
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 3 17% 44% 24% 3	680
	21st to end	Day	9% 2 17% 38% 28% 8%	680
July	1st to 10th	Day	8% 3 11% 37% 32% 9%	671
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 1 8% 36% 42% 7%	668
	21st to end	Day	6% 1 6% 35% 43% 9%	739
August	1st to 10th	Day	3 1 5% 37% 41% 13%	659
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 5% 38% 39% 10%	454
	21st to end	Day	5% 1 4 32% 38% 20%	402
September	1st to 10th	Day	9% 1 7% 28% 40% 15%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 1 8% 26% 43% 14%	270
	21st to end	Day	11% 2 10% 24% 42% 11%	270
October	1st to 10th	Day	6% 3 17% 37% 28% 10%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 6% 21% 36% 19% 6%	270
	21st to end	Day	23% 12% 26% 23% 14% 3	297
November	1st to 10th	Day	19% 4 28% 31% 14% 3	270
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 14% 24% 27% 10% 3	270
	21st to end	Day	26% 15% 32% 17% 8% 2	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	16% 11% 35% 26% 8% 3	270
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 17% 29% 22% 9%	270
	21st to end	Day	24% 11% 36% 22% 6%	297
January	1st to 10th	Night	20% 10% 29% 31% 8%	950
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 12% 29% 30% 8%	950
	21st to end	Night	22% 11% 30% 29% 8%	916
February	1st to 10th	Night	25% 13% 31% 25% 6%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	27% 11% 33% 25% 3	744
	21st to end	Night	26% 13% 41% 19% 2	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	24% 10% 35% 26% 4	601
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 9% 34% 28% 5%	570
	21st to end	Night	19% 10% 40% 27% 3	627
April	1st to 10th	Night	17% 13% 36% 29% 4	570
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 11% 35% 27% 4	563
	21st to end	Night	21% 11% 38% 22% 8%	570
May	1st to 10th	Night	20% 10% 36% 28% 5%	570
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 9% 32% 36% 9% 1	561
	21st to end	Night	16% 7% 30% 35% 12%	617
June	1st to 10th	Night	7% 3 21% 46% 22% 1	570
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 2 33% 45% 14% 1	570
	21st to end	Night	7% 3 18% 44% 23% 4	570
July	1st to 10th	Night	9% 3 14% 42% 29% 4	555
	11th to 20th	Night	3 1 11% 51% 31% 2	552
	21st to end	Night	6% 2 9% 48% 31% 3	624
August	1st to 10th	Night	1 10% 49% 35% 3	567
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 1 9% 49% 32% 5%	549
	21st to end	Night	7% 7% 38% 41% 6%	594
September	1st to 10th	Night	9% 1 9% 37% 39% 5%	540
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 1 8% 38% 39% 3	540
	21st to end	Night	13% 1 12% 33% 36% 4	540
October	1st to 10th	Night	8% 2 13% 44% 28% 5%	540
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 4 22% 36% 21% 2	634
	21st to end	Night	18% 8% 21% 31% 20% 2	792
November	1st to 10th	Night	14% 6% 21% 38% 20% 2	740
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 7% 26% 36% 15% 1	883
	21st to end	Night	21% 12% 27% 29% 11% 1	950
December	1st to 10th	Night	21% 7% 29% 33% 9% 1	950
	11th to 20th	Night	26% 9% 27% 30% 8%	950
	21st to end	Night	22% 8% 30% 33% 7%	1045

Page generated at 2024-08-12 08:52:49. Version ac07

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