Chapel Hill
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Chapel Hill clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-12-24.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	13% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 8% 43%	101246
	Night	14% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 7% 44%	98820
Transparency	Day	39% 4 12% 22% 18% 5%	104896
	Night	39% 4 10% 21% 20% 6%	103309
Seeing	Day	17% 11% 25% 24% 16% 6%	15492
	Night	17% 10% 24% 30% 17% 2	25799

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	19% 5% 2 5% 2 3 3 2 3 5% 51%	2836
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 7% 2 5% 3 3 3 2 4 4 52%	2840
	21st to end	Day	19% 10% 3 6% 3 4 4 3 4 5% 41%	3124
February	1st to 10th	Day	14% 7% 2 5% 4 4 3 4 6% 7% 44%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 6% 1 5% 4 3 3 2 5% 4 45%	1663
	21st to end	Day	19% 7% 2 7% 4 4 3 3 5% 6% 40%	1726
March	1st to 10th	Day	23% 7% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 37%	3435
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 5% 1 4 4 3 4 3 4 7% 55%	3480
	21st to end	Day	20% 6% 2 6% 4 3 3 3 4 5% 43%	3815
April	1st to 10th	Day	11% 4 2 4 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 54%	2199
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 5% 2 6% 3 4 4 4 5% 7% 48%	2254
	21st to end	Day	14% 5% 2 5% 4 4 4 4 6% 7% 46%	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	11% 7% 3 7% 5% 5% 6% 5% 8% 9% 34%	4076
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 7% 2 7% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 9% 33%	4081
	21st to end	Day	8% 4 1 5% 4 4 5% 4 6% 9% 49%	4476
June	1st to 10th	Day	9% 5% 2 6% 5% 5% 5% 6% 8% 10% 39%	2470
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 5% 1 5% 5% 4 5% 4 7% 10% 44%	2470
	21st to end	Day	7% 5% 2 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 8% 11% 40%	2470
July	1st to 10th	Day	7% 5% 2 8% 6% 6% 7% 6% 8% 10% 37%	4120
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 6% 2 8% 5% 5% 6% 5% 9% 12% 32%	4120
	21st to end	Day	11% 8% 3 8% 6% 7% 7% 6% 7% 10% 28%	4466
August	1st to 10th	Day	20% 7% 3 8% 6% 4 7% 5% 8% 10% 23%	4104
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 6% 2 8% 5% 6% 6% 5% 7% 10% 36%	3930
	21st to end	Day	7% 4 2 5% 4 4 4 4 6% 11% 50%	4180
September	1st to 10th	Day	9% 4 2 6% 5% 4 5% 4 7% 8% 46%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 8% 41%	2133
	21st to end	Day	21% 7% 2 7% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 39%	2057
October	1st to 10th	Day	14% 6% 2 6% 3 3 3 2 4 6% 50%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 4 2 4 3 3 4 2 4 5% 57%	1900
	21st to end	Day	11% 5% 1 5% 3 3 3 2 4 4 57%	2090
November	1st to 10th	Day	13% 5% 2 5% 4 2 3 2 4 5% 54%	1957
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 5% 2 5% 3 3 2 3 5% 6% 52%	1975
	21st to end	Day	14% 5% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 4 6% 51%	1715
December	1st to 10th	Day	17% 7% 2 5% 4 3 4 3 4 7% 43%	1600
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 4 2 4 2 2 3 2 4 6% 54%	2163
	21st to end	Day	17% 6% 2 5% 4 4 4 3 5% 7% 43%	3151
January	1st to 10th	Night	15% 6% 2 6% 4 4 3 3 5% 5% 47%	4109
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 8% 2 6% 3 3 3 3 4 6% 47%	4120
	21st to end	Night	20% 7% 2 5% 3 3 4 3 4 5% 44%	4532
February	1st to 10th	Night	17% 5% 2 6% 4 3 3 4 5% 5% 45%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 7% 2 6% 3 3 3 3 4 5% 44%	2400
	21st to end	Night	15% 6% 2 5% 4 4 3 4 6% 7% 45%	1727
March	1st to 10th	Night	23% 8% 3 7% 5% 4 4 3 5% 5% 34%	3418
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 6% 2 5% 3 3 4 2 5% 5% 52%	3480
	21st to end	Night	18% 5% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 4 6% 48%	3817
April	1st to 10th	Night	13% 6% 2 4 4 4 4 3 4 7% 49%	1981
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 5% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 4 6% 51%	1875
	21st to end	Night	12% 4 2 6% 4 3 5% 5% 5% 7% 47%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	13% 7% 3 7% 5% 4 5% 4 5% 9% 39%	2847
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 7% 3 7% 4 4 3 3 4 6% 38%	2812
	21st to end	Night	8% 5% 2 5% 3 4 5% 4 7% 11% 46%	3079
June	1st to 10th	Night	10% 6% 2 6% 4 5% 6% 4 8% 9% 39%	1710
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 6% 3 7% 5% 4 4 4 8% 10% 41%	1710
	21st to end	Night	7% 6% 2 6% 5% 4 5% 5% 7% 12% 40%	1710
July	1st to 10th	Night	8% 5% 3 8% 6% 6% 7% 5% 8% 9% 34%	2840
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 7% 3 6% 4 4 5% 5% 8% 10% 33%	2840
	21st to end	Night	14% 9% 3 10% 6% 5% 6% 4 6% 9% 28%	3087
August	1st to 10th	Night	22% 6% 3 7% 6% 5% 5% 5% 8% 10% 23%	2825
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 5% 2 7% 5% 5% 6% 6% 8% 10% 37%	2865
	21st to end	Night	6% 4 2 6% 5% 4 5% 3 6% 9% 51%	3476
September	1st to 10th	Night	12% 6% 2 6% 4 3 4 3 6% 8% 47%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 6% 7% 43%	2042
	21st to end	Night	19% 8% 3 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 6% 37%	2121
October	1st to 10th	Night	15% 6% 3 5% 4 3 3 3 4 5% 49%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 6% 2 5% 3 3 3 2 4 6% 54%	2280
	21st to end	Night	12% 5% 2 4 3 4 3 3 4 5% 56%	2508
November	1st to 10th	Night	13% 6% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 4 5% 53%	2341
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 5% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 4 5% 50%	2423
	21st to end	Night	14% 4 2 4 3 3 3 4 5% 6% 52%	2675
December	1st to 10th	Night	17% 7% 3 6% 5% 3 3 4 4 5% 43%	2800
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 6% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 5% 5% 48%	3242
	21st to end	Night	17% 6% 2 5% 3 3 3 2 5% 7% 46%	4578

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	38% 2 4 27% 23% 6%	2837
	11th to 20th	Day	37% 3 4 18% 32% 6%	2840
	21st to end	Day	47% 3 5% 17% 21% 6%	3124
February	1st to 10th	Day	40% 3 10% 22% 20% 5%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	44% 2 6% 20% 22% 7%	1672
	21st to end	Day	46% 3 9% 17% 19% 6%	1726
March	1st to 10th	Day	48% 3 7% 20% 15% 8%	3435
	11th to 20th	Day	31% 3 8% 20% 25% 13%	3480
	21st to end	Day	45% 3 7% 21% 20% 4	3815
April	1st to 10th	Day	30% 3 10% 24% 25% 8%	2199
	11th to 20th	Day	35% 3 10% 23% 21% 8%	2254
	21st to end	Day	38% 3 11% 24% 19% 4	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	46% 4 16% 19% 13% 2	4114
	11th to 20th	Day	47% 4 11% 24% 12% 1	4085
	21st to end	Day	31% 3 17% 24% 20% 4	4489
June	1st to 10th	Day	37% 5% 15% 26% 15% 1	2470
	11th to 20th	Day	34% 5% 17% 25% 16% 2	2470
	21st to end	Day	35% 7% 17% 24% 16% 2	2470
July	1st to 10th	Day	39% 10% 18% 18% 13% 3	4055
	11th to 20th	Day	42% 9% 23% 19% 6% 1	4051
	21st to end	Day	49% 8% 14% 18% 10%	4324
August	1st to 10th	Day	54% 7% 19% 15% 5%	4091
	11th to 20th	Day	39% 9% 21% 23% 8% 1	3969
	21st to end	Day	28% 5% 15% 35% 15% 2	4180
September	1st to 10th	Day	34% 6% 15% 20% 20% 5%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	42% 4 11% 18% 21% 3	2133
	21st to end	Day	47% 4 8% 21% 17% 5%	2057
October	1st to 10th	Day	33% 4 7% 20% 27% 9%	3160
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 2 5% 21% 27% 25%	3140
	21st to end	Day	25% 3 7% 25% 24% 16%	3428
November	1st to 10th	Day	34% 2 7% 22% 26% 8%	1957
	11th to 20th	Day	34% 2 7% 22% 27% 7%	1975
	21st to end	Day	35% 3 7% 23% 25% 6%	1715
December	1st to 10th	Day	43% 2 10% 21% 20% 5%	1600
	11th to 20th	Day	34% 1 7% 25% 23% 9%	2160
	21st to end	Day	42% 2 10% 24% 20% 2	3151
January	1st to 10th	Night	39% 2 5% 22% 26% 6%	4109
	11th to 20th	Night	40% 2 7% 19% 27% 6%	4120
	21st to end	Night	44% 2 4 20% 22% 7%	4532
February	1st to 10th	Night	40% 3 8% 23% 21% 5%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	44% 2 8% 17% 22% 8%	2402
	21st to end	Night	39% 3 9% 21% 20% 8%	1727
March	1st to 10th	Night	54% 3 7% 16% 16% 5%	3418
	11th to 20th	Night	35% 2 6% 16% 23% 17%	3480
	21st to end	Night	39% 3 7% 22% 23% 6%	3817
April	1st to 10th	Night	37% 3 9% 18% 26% 7%	1981
	11th to 20th	Night	35% 2 9% 24% 21% 9%	1875
	21st to end	Night	37% 4 11% 25% 19% 5%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	43% 4 16% 22% 13% 2	2874
	11th to 20th	Night	48% 3 9% 22% 16% 1	2813
	21st to end	Night	31% 5% 16% 27% 18% 2	3087
June	1st to 10th	Night	39% 7% 16% 23% 14% 2	1710
	11th to 20th	Night	37% 6% 17% 22% 16% 2	1710
	21st to end	Night	35% 9% 17% 22% 14% 3	1710
July	1st to 10th	Night	42% 11% 16% 16% 12% 2	2795
	11th to 20th	Night	43% 10% 24% 17% 5% 1	2786
	21st to end	Night	53% 7% 13% 16% 10%	2988
August	1st to 10th	Night	53% 8% 19% 15% 5% 1	2814
	11th to 20th	Night	37% 9% 20% 25% 7% 1	2892
	21st to end	Night	30% 5% 12% 30% 21% 2	3476
September	1st to 10th	Night	35% 6% 14% 21% 18% 6%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	40% 5% 11% 19% 23% 3	2042
	21st to end	Night	47% 5% 11% 18% 15% 4	2121
October	1st to 10th	Night	38% 3 7% 20% 25% 6%	3800
	11th to 20th	Night	25% 2 5% 20% 28% 20%	3779
	21st to end	Night	24% 3 7% 26% 24% 16%	4120
November	1st to 10th	Night	35% 3 7% 21% 26% 9%	2341
	11th to 20th	Night	37% 2 7% 17% 25% 11%	2423
	21st to end	Night	33% 3 7% 25% 26% 7%	2675
December	1st to 10th	Night	45% 3 8% 20% 20% 5%	2800
	11th to 20th	Night	39% 2 7% 21% 21% 9%	3244
	21st to end	Night	40% 2 6% 26% 24% 2	4578

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	27% 21% 36% 14% 3	270
	11th to 20th	Day	28% 24% 33% 12% 4	270
	21st to end	Day	22% 22% 42% 11% 3	297
February	1st to 10th	Day	20% 20% 41% 14% 4	270
	11th to 20th	Day	39% 20% 33% 7% 1	270
	21st to end	Day	26% 20% 33% 17% 3	381
March	1st to 10th	Day	24% 18% 33% 17% 7%	460
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 23% 39% 12% 5% 1	460
	21st to end	Day	21% 20% 37% 17% 4 1	506
April	1st to 10th	Day	23% 18% 34% 17% 7% 2	460
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 19% 30% 23% 9% 4	452
	21st to end	Day	18% 11% 31% 26% 11% 2	460
May	1st to 10th	Day	18% 16% 32% 22% 8% 4	463
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 9% 23% 30% 18% 4	487
	21st to end	Day	19% 6% 20% 27% 21% 8%	529
June	1st to 10th	Day	12% 5% 24% 32% 22% 6%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 7% 21% 30% 26% 8%	490
	21st to end	Day	11% 4 20% 33% 26% 6%	490
July	1st to 10th	Day	10% 2 11% 32% 33% 11%	485
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 2 12% 32% 35% 12%	484
	21st to end	Day	10% 2 15% 34% 27% 11%	532
August	1st to 10th	Day	16% 4 17% 28% 25% 10%	486
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 2 14% 31% 26% 15%	479
	21st to end	Day	11% 4 11% 31% 27% 16%	539
September	1st to 10th	Day	12% 4 18% 25% 28% 14%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 4 11% 29% 26% 11%	490
	21st to end	Day	25% 8% 22% 27% 16% 3	490
October	1st to 10th	Day	17% 8% 21% 25% 21% 9%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 10% 24% 29% 17% 4	490
	21st to end	Day	14% 12% 24% 29% 15% 6%	539
November	1st to 10th	Day	18% 10% 31% 25% 13% 3	495
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 15% 29% 25% 11% 1	475
	21st to end	Day	15% 18% 32% 21% 12% 2	257
December	1st to 10th	Day	21% 21% 37% 13% 8% 1	200
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 17% 36% 19% 7% 1	260
	21st to end	Day	25% 17% 30% 17% 10% 1	306
January	1st to 10th	Night	21% 18% 31% 24% 5%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 17% 32% 25% 7%	760
	21st to end	Night	20% 16% 36% 25% 3	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	20% 13% 35% 28% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	25% 20% 34% 20% 1	743
	21st to end	Night	19% 17% 36% 24% 4	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	18% 16% 34% 27% 6%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 16% 31% 22% 9% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	18% 14% 38% 25% 5%	836
April	1st to 10th	Night	17% 18% 32% 25% 7%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 14% 33% 25% 12% 1	751
	21st to end	Night	15% 9% 34% 34% 8%	760
May	1st to 10th	Night	15% 10% 32% 33% 9% 1	591
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 6% 24% 34% 17% 1	561
	21st to end	Night	13% 3 14% 40% 27% 2	617
June	1st to 10th	Night	13% 4 17% 40% 25% 2	570
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 4 15% 38% 27% 5%	570
	21st to end	Night	9% 3 14% 39% 31% 3	570
July	1st to 10th	Night	8% 2 13% 33% 40% 4	555
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 2 9% 37% 36% 7%	552
	21st to end	Night	7% 3 13% 40% 33% 5%	624
August	1st to 10th	Night	15% 2 9% 35% 34% 4	567
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 3 10% 35% 33% 7%	605
	21st to end	Night	11% 3 8% 32% 38% 7%	836
September	1st to 10th	Night	15% 2 11% 33% 33% 6%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 3 14% 30% 30% 5%	760
	21st to end	Night	25% 4 17% 33% 21% 1	760
October	1st to 10th	Night	17% 5% 16% 30% 26% 6%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 9% 24% 29% 19% 2	760
	21st to end	Night	15% 9% 25% 29% 20% 2	836
November	1st to 10th	Night	17% 8% 24% 36% 14% 2	780
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 13% 29% 32% 11%	800
	21st to end	Night	16% 13% 28% 30% 13% 1	800
December	1st to 10th	Night	21% 13% 30% 28% 7%	800
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 11% 31% 31% 8%	800
	21st to end	Night	22% 15% 26% 29% 8%	851

Page generated at 2024-12-21 04:13:51. Version ac07

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