Cloudbait Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Cloudbait Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-10-24.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	3 5% 2 6% 4 4 5% 4 6% 8% 52%	101150
	Night	2 5% 2 5% 3 4 4 4 6% 8% 57%	97824
Transparency	Day	27% 6% 11% 23% 23% 10%	100899
	Night	24% 5% 13% 26% 24% 8%	97665
Seeing	Day	9% 17% 32% 26% 14% 3	15459
	Night	5% 11% 35% 36% 12% 1	25461

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SW (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	3 2 4 3 4 5% 4 6% 9% 61%	2538
	11th to 20th	Day	1 2 1 6% 3 3 4 3 7% 10% 59%	2736
	21st to end	Day	6% 3 7% 4 3 4 3 6% 9% 55%	3146
February	1st to 10th	Day	1 5% 4 6% 3 2 3 4 6% 7% 60%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	1 2 1 4 3 3 3 4 6% 9% 64%	1825
	21st to end	Day	4 2 7% 4 3 4 3 5% 7% 60%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	6% 3 6% 4 3 3 3 4 6% 62%	3152
	11th to 20th	Day	3 11% 5% 8% 4 4 5% 4 5% 8% 44%	3490
	21st to end	Day	1 5% 3 6% 5% 4 4 4 7% 9% 53%	4027
April	1st to 10th	Day	2 6% 1 5% 4 5% 6% 4 6% 8% 52%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	4 9% 3 8% 5% 4 4 3 6% 7% 48%	2251
	21st to end	Day	4 9% 2 7% 5% 5% 5% 4 7% 8% 45%	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	5% 8% 3 7% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 7% 44%	3896
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 8% 3 8% 5% 5% 5% 5% 8% 9% 40%	4357
	21st to end	Day	3 4 2 5% 4 4 5% 5% 8% 10% 49%	4825
June	1st to 10th	Day	3 5% 2 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 8% 11% 46%	2660
	11th to 20th	Day	4 5% 2 5% 4 4 6% 5% 7% 8% 52%	2660
	21st to end	Day	3 3 2 6% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 9% 46%	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	4 3 2 6% 4 5% 5% 6% 7% 8% 49%	4430
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 5% 2 7% 5% 6% 6% 4 7% 10% 43%	4430
	21st to end	Day	6% 5% 2 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 7% 8% 43%	4563
August	1st to 10th	Day	7% 5% 2 8% 7% 6% 7% 6% 8% 10% 35%	4078
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 3 2 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 8% 9% 44%	3726
	21st to end	Day	4 5% 2 7% 5% 6% 7% 5% 8% 9% 42%	4180
September	1st to 10th	Day	5% 5% 3 6% 4 5% 5% 4 6% 6% 50%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 4 2 6% 4 4 4 4 5% 7% 57%	2275
	21st to end	Day	5% 4 1 4 3 3 4 3 4 5% 63%	2081
October	1st to 10th	Day	4 4 2 4 4 4 4 4 6% 7% 58%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	2 4 1 4 3 2 3 2 4 7% 68%	1900
	21st to end	Day	3 6% 2 4 3 2 4 3 4 5% 64%	1991
November	1st to 10th	Day	1 3 1 3 3 1 2 3 5% 7% 71%	1673
	11th to 20th	Day	3 2 3 3 3 2 2 5% 8% 70%	1710
	21st to end	Day	3 2 6% 4 3 3 3 5% 7% 64%	1630
December	1st to 10th	Day	3 1 5% 3 3 4 3 5% 8% 65%	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	1 3 2 3 3 3 4 2 7% 10% 61%	1926
	21st to end	Day	1 3 2 6% 3 3 3 3 6% 8% 62%	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	4 3 6% 3 4 4 4 6% 8% 58%	4417
	11th to 20th	Night	1 2 1 2 2 3 5% 4 6% 8% 68%	4261
	21st to end	Night	5% 2 6% 4 4 3 3 6% 7% 59%	4521
February	1st to 10th	Night	3 3 6% 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 64%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	1 4 2 7% 3 4 4 3 5% 6% 62%	2242
	21st to end	Night	5% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 65%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	1 8% 3 6% 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 59%	3708
	11th to 20th	Night	2 13% 4 6% 4 3 3 4 6% 8% 48%	3490
	21st to end	Night	1 6% 2 5% 4 4 4 3 6% 9% 56%	3619
April	1st to 10th	Night	2 6% 3 6% 2 2 3 2 5% 6% 62%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	4 8% 3 6% 4 4 3 3 4 8% 52%	1877
	21st to end	Night	4 9% 2 6% 5% 3 4 3 5% 8% 51%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	5% 9% 3 5% 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 54%	3074
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 10% 2 6% 4 3 3 4 7% 9% 46%	2532
	21st to end	Night	4 6% 2 5% 4 3 4 3 5% 7% 57%	2762
June	1st to 10th	Night	3 4 2 4 3 4 5% 4 7% 9% 56%	1520
	11th to 20th	Night	3 3 1 3 3 3 4 3 6% 8% 62%	1520
	21st to end	Night	3 4 1 5% 4 4 6% 5% 7% 8% 52%	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	6% 5% 2 6% 4 4 5% 4 6% 8% 50%	2540
	11th to 20th	Night	3 4 1 5% 4 3 5% 5% 8% 13% 50%	2540
	21st to end	Night	3 4 2 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 8% 9% 47%	2982
August	1st to 10th	Night	7% 7% 3 9% 5% 6% 6% 5% 8% 11% 34%	2847
	11th to 20th	Night	3 3 2 5% 4 5% 7% 5% 8% 10% 48%	3113
	21st to end	Night	3 4 2 6% 4 6% 7% 6% 8% 12% 43%	3487
September	1st to 10th	Night	5% 4 3 6% 5% 4 5% 5% 6% 9% 49%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 4 6% 7% 59%	1905
	21st to end	Night	5% 5% 1 5% 3 3 3 3 4 6% 61%	2096
October	1st to 10th	Night	5% 5% 2 4 3 2 4 3 5% 6% 61%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	2 3 1 2 3 2 3 3 5% 6% 71%	2280
	21st to end	Night	3 4 2 4 2 3 3 3 5% 7% 64%	2412
November	1st to 10th	Night	1 3 1 4 3 3 2 2 5% 7% 69%	2405
	11th to 20th	Night	2 1 3 3 3 3 3 4 5% 72%	2470
	21st to end	Night	1 5% 2 4 3 3 2 3 5% 7% 65%	2546
December	1st to 10th	Night	1 2 1 4 3 4 3 3 5% 8% 65%	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	1 3 2 5% 3 3 4 4 7% 10% 60%	3271
	21st to end	Night	1 4 2 6% 4 4 3 3 5% 8% 61%	4873

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	17% 5% 13% 32% 24% 8%	2539
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 3 14% 33% 24% 7%	2736
	21st to end	Day	25% 4 12% 32% 22% 6%	3146
February	1st to 10th	Day	22% 5% 12% 30% 21% 10%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 5% 10% 29% 31% 9%	1835
	21st to end	Day	24% 5% 7% 22% 28% 15%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	22% 4 6% 20% 35% 12%	3152
	11th to 20th	Day	35% 6% 8% 31% 16% 3	3490
	21st to end	Day	25% 7% 10% 31% 23% 3	4027
April	1st to 10th	Day	26% 6% 11% 23% 23% 10%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	35% 4 8% 24% 21% 8%	2254
	21st to end	Day	34% 6% 10% 25% 21% 4	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	35% 7% 10% 19% 17% 12%	3896
	11th to 20th	Day	35% 7% 14% 22% 17% 6%	4361
	21st to end	Day	25% 7% 12% 19% 24% 12%	4825
June	1st to 10th	Day	28% 7% 16% 20% 20% 8%	2660
	11th to 20th	Day	27% 5% 8% 18% 24% 18%	2660
	21st to end	Day	30% 7% 10% 22% 21% 11%	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	27% 6% 10% 13% 19% 23%	4361
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 6% 11% 25% 17% 9%	4355
	21st to end	Day	34% 6% 14% 17% 15% 14%	4419
August	1st to 10th	Day	40% 9% 17% 19% 12% 4	4064
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 8% 14% 15% 19% 12%	3762
	21st to end	Day	34% 7% 13% 17% 22% 6%	4179
September	1st to 10th	Day	31% 5% 9% 18% 25% 12%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	26% 4 9% 19% 29% 13%	2275
	21st to end	Day	23% 4 6% 24% 34% 10%	2081
October	1st to 10th	Day	24% 5% 10% 19% 30% 13%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 3 7% 23% 34% 15%	1900
	21st to end	Day	22% 4 7% 27% 29% 12%	1991
November	1st to 10th	Day	13% 3 10% 23% 36% 14%	1673
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 3 6% 36% 30% 9%	1710
	21st to end	Day	20% 3 8% 27% 29% 13%	1630
December	1st to 10th	Day	18% 5% 15% 30% 24% 8%	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 4 14% 32% 27% 7%	1924
	21st to end	Day	18% 6% 9% 28% 27% 12%	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	22% 5% 11% 31% 28% 4	4417
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 4 13% 31% 30% 8%	4261
	21st to end	Night	23% 3 15% 31% 23% 4	4521
February	1st to 10th	Night	20% 4 11% 34% 23% 8%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 5% 9% 29% 26% 7%	2242
	21st to end	Night	19% 4 7% 27% 31% 12%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	25% 5% 7% 21% 37% 6%	3708
	11th to 20th	Night	33% 4 12% 31% 19% 2	3490
	21st to end	Night	23% 5% 14% 34% 21% 2	3619
April	1st to 10th	Night	23% 5% 11% 27% 27% 7%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	30% 4 11% 28% 22% 5%	1877
	21st to end	Night	29% 5% 15% 29% 18% 4	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	28% 6% 13% 22% 21% 10%	3074
	11th to 20th	Night	33% 4 16% 27% 14% 5%	2533
	21st to end	Night	25% 6% 13% 21% 26% 9%	2762
June	1st to 10th	Night	23% 5% 21% 25% 15% 11%	1520
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 5% 12% 22% 24% 18%	1520
	21st to end	Night	25% 7% 12% 24% 21% 11%	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	29% 6% 11% 19% 20% 15%	2500
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 6% 19% 33% 12% 5%	2492
	21st to end	Night	27% 7% 19% 23% 8% 15%	2888
August	1st to 10th	Night	41% 9% 21% 16% 10% 4	2838
	11th to 20th	Night	27% 9% 23% 17% 18% 6%	3143
	21st to end	Night	30% 8% 19% 22% 19% 3	3487
September	1st to 10th	Night	29% 7% 11% 23% 21% 9%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 4 12% 23% 24% 14%	1905
	21st to end	Night	24% 4 9% 26% 30% 8%	2096
October	1st to 10th	Night	23% 5% 11% 24% 26% 11%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 4 8% 24% 37% 13%	2280
	21st to end	Night	20% 4 8% 28% 30% 10%	2412
November	1st to 10th	Night	14% 4 10% 28% 30% 13%	2405
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 4 7% 34% 30% 10%	2470
	21st to end	Night	19% 3 9% 27% 30% 12%	2546
December	1st to 10th	Night	18% 5% 15% 29% 26% 8%	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 4 14% 28% 30% 6%	3272
	21st to end	Night	22% 4 12% 25% 28% 9%	4873

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	7% 21% 31% 31% 9% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 20% 40% 25% 2 1	270
	21st to end	Day	4 18% 44% 26% 7% 2	297
February	1st to 10th	Day	3 38% 39% 17% 2 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 31% 42% 16% 4	270
	21st to end	Day	9% 33% 40% 15% 3	225
March	1st to 10th	Day	6% 28% 37% 23% 7%	279
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 27% 37% 21% 6%	460
	21st to end	Day	13% 33% 37% 15% 2	506
April	1st to 10th	Day	13% 29% 36% 16% 5%	460
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 29% 32% 14% 4 1	452
	21st to end	Day	16% 28% 33% 17% 4 1	460
May	1st to 10th	Day	14% 24% 34% 20% 7% 1	520
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 16% 29% 32% 11% 3	675
	21st to end	Day	9% 17% 29% 28% 15% 3	734
June	1st to 10th	Day	5% 14% 28% 29% 21% 4	680
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 13% 31% 29% 15% 4	680
	21st to end	Day	3 12% 33% 27% 20% 4	680
July	1st to 10th	Day	7% 6% 21% 34% 28% 4	671
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 3 19% 34% 28% 8%	668
	21st to end	Day	10% 5% 19% 33% 26% 6%	601
August	1st to 10th	Day	10% 8% 24% 35% 19% 5%	487
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 8% 26% 34% 18% 5%	477
	21st to end	Day	9% 7% 30% 33% 18% 4	539
September	1st to 10th	Day	8% 8% 29% 30% 22% 3	490
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 11% 33% 32% 14% 3	485
	21st to end	Day	7% 14% 20% 31% 24% 5%	300
October	1st to 10th	Day	6% 14% 28% 25% 22% 4	300
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 18% 31% 26% 17% 2	300
	21st to end	Day	11% 18% 34% 25% 9% 2	306
November	1st to 10th	Day	8% 17% 37% 24% 12% 2	270
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 20% 37% 27% 8% 3	270
	21st to end	Day	3 18% 46% 24% 9%	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	9% 19% 40% 24% 7% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	3 24% 44% 24% 6%	270
	21st to end	Day	8% 24% 42% 20% 4 1	297
January	1st to 10th	Night	2 17% 41% 30% 9% 1	950
	11th to 20th	Night	3 20% 45% 25% 7% 1	846
	21st to end	Night	1 13% 44% 35% 5% 1	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	2 15% 54% 26% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	2 16% 50% 29% 3	744
	21st to end	Night	2 18% 51% 27% 2	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	3 15% 46% 31% 5%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 11% 40% 35% 8%	760
	21st to end	Night	5% 15% 47% 29% 4	717
April	1st to 10th	Night	6% 18% 42% 30% 4	570
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 16% 37% 31% 7%	563
	21st to end	Night	9% 13% 39% 31% 8%	570
May	1st to 10th	Night	11% 12% 32% 36% 8% 1	570
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 7% 30% 37% 13% 2	561
	21st to end	Night	9% 9% 31% 36% 15% 1	617
June	1st to 10th	Night	6% 5% 26% 43% 18% 2	570
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 4 28% 48% 14% 2	570
	21st to end	Night	5% 4 21% 44% 26% 2	570
July	1st to 10th	Night	6% 3 16% 40% 31% 3	555
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 2 11% 44% 34% 4	552
	21st to end	Night	6% 2 10% 39% 40% 3	624
August	1st to 10th	Night	8% 4 14% 40% 32% 3	567
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 2 15% 45% 29% 3	564
	21st to end	Night	7% 2 14% 47% 28% 2	627
September	1st to 10th	Night	5% 3 17% 47% 23% 5%	570
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 2 23% 46% 19% 2	570
	21st to end	Night	7% 5% 27% 43% 17% 2	576
October	1st to 10th	Night	5% 6% 33% 41% 13% 2	760
	11th to 20th	Night	3 6% 38% 40% 12% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	6% 10% 36% 36% 12% 2	804
November	1st to 10th	Night	3 10% 39% 38% 10% 1	925
	11th to 20th	Night	3 16% 42% 32% 7% 1	950
	21st to end	Night	3 14% 38% 37% 8%	950
December	1st to 10th	Night	3 15% 43% 34% 5%	950
	11th to 20th	Night	2 16% 45% 31% 5% 1	950
	21st to end	Night	3 20% 45% 28% 4	1045

Page generated at 2024-10-21 00:20:04. Version ac07

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