Chrysalis Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Chrysalis Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-11-05.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	13% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 8% 43%	101195
	Night	14% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 5% 7% 44%	97803
Transparency	Day	37% 7% 12% 22% 17% 5%	104845
	Night	38% 6% 10% 21% 19% 6%	102292
Seeing	Day	16% 8% 22% 25% 19% 9%	15373
	Night	16% 6% 24% 32% 18% 2	25453

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	18% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 3 4 5% 52%	2836
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 6% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 3 4 52%	2840
	21st to end	Day	22% 9% 3 6% 3 3 3 2 3 4 42%	3124
February	1st to 10th	Day	14% 5% 2 5% 5% 4 4 3 6% 7% 44%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 7% 2 5% 4 3 4 3 5% 5% 44%	1722
	21st to end	Day	18% 8% 3 6% 4 4 3 3 5% 6% 40%	1665
March	1st to 10th	Day	23% 6% 2 5% 3 3 4 3 5% 7% 38%	3435
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 4 1 4 3 3 4 3 5% 7% 54%	3480
	21st to end	Day	20% 8% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 4 6% 42%	3815
April	1st to 10th	Day	10% 4 1 4 3 3 4 4 5% 8% 53%	2153
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 5% 2 5% 4 3 3 4 5% 7% 49%	2254
	21st to end	Day	14% 5% 2 5% 4 5% 4 3 6% 6% 45%	2365
May	1st to 10th	Day	12% 7% 3 7% 5% 6% 6% 4 7% 9% 34%	4082
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 7% 3 6% 4 4 5% 4 5% 8% 34%	4081
	21st to end	Day	8% 4 2 5% 4 4 5% 5% 7% 10% 46%	4476
June	1st to 10th	Day	8% 6% 2 7% 4 5% 4 5% 7% 11% 41%	2470
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 6% 2 6% 6% 5% 5% 4 8% 11% 41%	2470
	21st to end	Day	7% 5% 2 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 7% 11% 41%	2470
July	1st to 10th	Day	7% 5% 3 7% 5% 6% 6% 6% 8% 10% 38%	4120
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 6% 3 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 9% 11% 34%	4120
	21st to end	Day	12% 9% 4 9% 6% 6% 6% 5% 6% 9% 28%	4466
August	1st to 10th	Day	17% 8% 2 7% 5% 5% 5% 5% 8% 11% 27%	4104
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 6% 3 7% 6% 5% 6% 5% 9% 11% 35%	4044
	21st to end	Day	6% 4 2 5% 3 4 5% 3 7% 9% 53%	4180
September	1st to 10th	Day	11% 4 2 5% 4 5% 5% 4 6% 7% 47%	2239
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 7% 2 6% 4 3 5% 3 5% 8% 43%	2090
	21st to end	Day	21% 6% 2 6% 3 3 4 4 4 6% 39%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	14% 6% 1 5% 3 2 3 2 4 6% 54%	1913
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 5% 2 5% 3 2 3 3 4 5% 55%	1900
	21st to end	Day	12% 5% 2 5% 3 3 3 2 3 6% 56%	2090
November	1st to 10th	Day	13% 6% 2 5% 3 4 3 2 4 4 55%	1898
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 5% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 4 7% 52%	1796
	21st to end	Day	13% 5% 2 5% 4 3 4 4 5% 5% 50%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	17% 7% 2 5% 4 4 4 4 6% 6% 40%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 4 1 4 3 3 3 3 5% 5% 55%	2153
	21st to end	Day	18% 6% 2 5% 4 4 4 4 6% 8% 39%	3124
January	1st to 10th	Night	14% 7% 2 6% 3 3 4 2 5% 6% 48%	4109
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 7% 2 6% 4 3 4 3 4 5% 49%	4120
	21st to end	Night	22% 6% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 4 5% 43%	4532
February	1st to 10th	Night	15% 8% 2 5% 4 4 4 4 5% 6% 44%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 7% 2 4 3 3 4 3 5% 5% 44%	2342
	21st to end	Night	15% 7% 3 6% 4 3 4 4 5% 6% 43%	1787
March	1st to 10th	Night	22% 8% 2 7% 4 4 4 3 4 5% 36%	3418
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 5% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 4 6% 53%	3480
	21st to end	Night	19% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 3 4 6% 48%	3817
April	1st to 10th	Night	12% 6% 2 5% 4 4 4 3 6% 7% 48%	2025
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 6% 1 6% 4 3 4 3 5% 8% 49%	1875
	21st to end	Night	15% 6% 1 5% 4 3 4 3 5% 7% 46%	1830
May	1st to 10th	Night	13% 6% 2 7% 5% 4 4 4 5% 8% 41%	2813
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 8% 3 7% 4 4 4 3 4 6% 40%	2812
	21st to end	Night	9% 5% 2 5% 4 3 4 4 7% 11% 46%	3079
June	1st to 10th	Night	9% 5% 3 6% 5% 4 6% 5% 7% 11% 39%	1710
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 5% 2 6% 4 5% 6% 5% 7% 11% 42%	1710
	21st to end	Night	8% 5% 2 4 5% 5% 6% 4 8% 10% 43%	1710
July	1st to 10th	Night	6% 6% 3 9% 6% 7% 6% 5% 9% 8% 34%	2840
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 7% 3 7% 5% 6% 7% 5% 8% 10% 34%	2840
	21st to end	Night	15% 9% 3 7% 6% 5% 5% 5% 7% 8% 29%	3087
August	1st to 10th	Night	19% 7% 3 8% 5% 5% 6% 5% 8% 9% 25%	2825
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 6% 2 6% 5% 5% 5% 6% 8% 11% 38%	2785
	21st to end	Night	6% 5% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 8% 51%	3444
September	1st to 10th	Night	10% 6% 2 5% 4 4 5% 5% 6% 7% 46%	1936
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 7% 2 6% 4 5% 4 4 5% 7% 42%	2090
	21st to end	Night	19% 8% 3 6% 4 4 5% 4 5% 5% 38%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	14% 6% 2 6% 4 4 3 2 4 6% 49%	2266
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 6% 1 4 3 3 3 3 4 5% 55%	2280
	21st to end	Night	13% 5% 2 4 4 3 2 2 3 5% 57%	2508
November	1st to 10th	Night	14% 6% 2 5% 3 2 2 2 3 4 55%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 5% 2 5% 4 4 4 3 4 6% 53%	2379
	21st to end	Night	13% 5% 2 4 3 3 4 4 5% 6% 51%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	18% 7% 2 6% 4 3 4 3 4 6% 42%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 5% 2 4 4 3 4 3 4 6% 49%	3042
	21st to end	Night	19% 5% 2 4 3 4 4 4 5% 7% 41%	4532

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	35% 3 6% 28% 21% 7%	2837
	11th to 20th	Day	36% 4 5% 20% 30% 5%	2840
	21st to end	Day	47% 3 5% 19% 22% 4	3124
February	1st to 10th	Day	39% 5% 11% 21% 20% 4	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	41% 4 7% 23% 19% 6%	1731
	21st to end	Day	44% 4 11% 15% 18% 7%	1665
March	1st to 10th	Day	46% 4 8% 20% 14% 8%	3435
	11th to 20th	Day	30% 5% 8% 23% 23% 11%	3480
	21st to end	Day	44% 4 9% 21% 19% 3	3815
April	1st to 10th	Day	29% 4 12% 23% 24% 8%	2153
	11th to 20th	Day	35% 5% 11% 20% 21% 7%	2254
	21st to end	Day	38% 6% 11% 25% 16% 4	2365
May	1st to 10th	Day	44% 9% 15% 19% 11% 3	4120
	11th to 20th	Day	46% 8% 11% 24% 9% 1	4085
	21st to end	Day	30% 9% 16% 23% 19% 3	4489
June	1st to 10th	Day	35% 8% 17% 26% 13% 1	2470
	11th to 20th	Day	35% 9% 18% 22% 14% 2	2470
	21st to end	Day	34% 9% 18% 23% 14% 1	2470
July	1st to 10th	Day	37% 13% 17% 18% 11% 3	4055
	11th to 20th	Day	39% 10% 21% 23% 6% 1	4051
	21st to end	Day	50% 10% 13% 18% 8% 1	4324
August	1st to 10th	Day	48% 9% 18% 20% 5%	4091
	11th to 20th	Day	37% 11% 21% 21% 9% 1	4083
	21st to end	Day	26% 8% 16% 35% 14% 2	4180
September	1st to 10th	Day	34% 8% 13% 22% 18% 5%	2239
	11th to 20th	Day	39% 6% 12% 22% 19% 2	2090
	21st to end	Day	45% 6% 9% 19% 18% 3	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	31% 5% 8% 19% 28% 10%	3173
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 3 5% 22% 25% 23%	3140
	21st to end	Day	24% 4 8% 26% 23% 15%	3428
November	1st to 10th	Day	33% 3 8% 21% 26% 8%	1898
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 3 8% 24% 24% 7%	1796
	21st to end	Day	35% 4 9% 22% 26% 5%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	42% 6% 9% 20% 19% 4	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	32% 4 8% 22% 26% 9%	2150
	21st to end	Day	41% 5% 10% 23% 19% 2	3124
January	1st to 10th	Night	37% 3 8% 21% 25% 5%	4109
	11th to 20th	Night	38% 4 7% 18% 28% 6%	4120
	21st to end	Night	44% 4 5% 21% 19% 6%	4532
February	1st to 10th	Night	40% 4 9% 22% 20% 4	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	42% 3 8% 18% 21% 7%	2344
	21st to end	Night	41% 5% 10% 20% 19% 6%	1787
March	1st to 10th	Night	50% 5% 8% 15% 17% 5%	3418
	11th to 20th	Night	32% 5% 6% 18% 24% 14%	3480
	21st to end	Night	39% 4 7% 24% 20% 6%	3817
April	1st to 10th	Night	36% 4 11% 18% 25% 5%	2025
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 4 10% 21% 23% 8%	1875
	21st to end	Night	37% 5% 12% 24% 18% 4	1830
May	1st to 10th	Night	41% 7% 15% 23% 12% 1	2840
	11th to 20th	Night	45% 7% 9% 22% 16% 1	2813
	21st to end	Night	29% 8% 16% 28% 14% 3	3087
June	1st to 10th	Night	36% 10% 15% 23% 14% 2	1710
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 9% 17% 24% 14% 2	1710
	21st to end	Night	34% 10% 17% 21% 15% 4	1710
July	1st to 10th	Night	42% 14% 13% 16% 13% 2	2795
	11th to 20th	Night	41% 13% 20% 18% 5% 2	2786
	21st to end	Night	50% 10% 14% 19% 7%	2988
August	1st to 10th	Night	51% 10% 17% 16% 6%	2814
	11th to 20th	Night	35% 10% 22% 22% 10% 1	2812
	21st to end	Night	29% 8% 12% 34% 16% 2	3444
September	1st to 10th	Night	34% 10% 13% 21% 16% 6%	1936
	11th to 20th	Night	41% 7% 10% 18% 21% 2	2090
	21st to end	Night	47% 6% 10% 17% 16% 4	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	38% 5% 8% 18% 24% 7%	3786
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 3 6% 23% 29% 17%	3779
	21st to end	Night	24% 3 6% 26% 25% 16%	4120
November	1st to 10th	Night	34% 4 7% 21% 25% 9%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 4 7% 19% 25% 11%	2379
	21st to end	Night	34% 4 6% 24% 26% 6%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	43% 4 9% 20% 19% 5%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	38% 4 8% 20% 22% 9%	3044
	21st to end	Night	41% 5% 9% 21% 22% 2	4532

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	24% 16% 35% 16% 8% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 18% 36% 19% 5%	270
	21st to end	Day	20% 17% 41% 18% 4	297
February	1st to 10th	Day	16% 17% 40% 17% 9% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	32% 16% 36% 11% 5%	270
	21st to end	Day	26% 19% 34% 19% 3	320
March	1st to 10th	Day	21% 13% 33% 26% 6% 1	460
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 12% 42% 20% 6% 1	460
	21st to end	Day	22% 13% 35% 24% 6% 1	506
April	1st to 10th	Day	18% 15% 31% 23% 11% 2	460
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 14% 29% 25% 15% 4	452
	21st to end	Day	19% 11% 26% 25% 16% 3	460
May	1st to 10th	Day	18% 12% 26% 25% 14% 5%	463
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 4 19% 28% 23% 10%	487
	21st to end	Day	15% 4 15% 29% 24% 14%	529
June	1st to 10th	Day	10% 3 17% 32% 25% 13%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 2 16% 29% 23% 20%	490
	21st to end	Day	9% 3 12% 31% 32% 13%	490
July	1st to 10th	Day	10% 2 9% 26% 33% 21%	485
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 1 8% 27% 35% 23%	484
	21st to end	Day	8% 2 9% 27% 36% 18%	532
August	1st to 10th	Day	16% 2 13% 23% 29% 17%	486
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 1 10% 27% 31% 21%	479
	21st to end	Day	10% 2 8% 24% 35% 22%	539
September	1st to 10th	Day	13% 2 12% 21% 30% 22%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 3 12% 22% 26% 20%	490
	21st to end	Day	26% 4 17% 27% 20% 6%	490
October	1st to 10th	Day	18% 4 15% 31% 22% 10%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 7% 22% 28% 23% 6%	490
	21st to end	Day	14% 7% 23% 32% 19% 5%	539
November	1st to 10th	Day	18% 6% 26% 27% 18% 4	472
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 11% 32% 23% 15% 3	356
	21st to end	Day	13% 14% 29% 27% 14% 4	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	21% 10% 37% 26% 6% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 10% 33% 28% 10% 2	270
	21st to end	Day	25% 15% 27% 20% 11% 2	297
January	1st to 10th	Night	19% 11% 37% 28% 5%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 10% 38% 28% 4	760
	21st to end	Night	18% 9% 41% 30% 3	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	19% 11% 38% 29% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	25% 12% 39% 22% 2	743
	21st to end	Night	19% 14% 36% 27% 4	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	18% 12% 35% 30% 5%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 11% 36% 26% 7% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	19% 8% 36% 32% 6%	836
April	1st to 10th	Night	15% 14% 34% 29% 8%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 10% 33% 29% 12%	751
	21st to end	Night	16% 7% 31% 37% 10%	690
May	1st to 10th	Night	11% 8% 29% 36% 15% 1	570
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 5% 22% 33% 23% 2	561
	21st to end	Night	14% 2 11% 37% 33% 4	617
June	1st to 10th	Night	11% 2 14% 40% 31% 3	570
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 1 13% 35% 34% 6%	570
	21st to end	Night	10% 1 11% 38% 38% 2	570
July	1st to 10th	Night	10% 3 6% 33% 41% 6%	555
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 2 7% 32% 46% 7%	552
	21st to end	Night	10% 3 6% 39% 35% 7%	624
August	1st to 10th	Night	14% 2 7% 33% 36% 7%	567
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 2 7% 31% 41% 6%	564
	21st to end	Night	11% 2 6% 31% 41% 9%	817
September	1st to 10th	Night	13% 2 8% 32% 37% 8%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 3 9% 30% 34% 7%	760
	21st to end	Night	22% 3 14% 33% 25% 3	760
October	1st to 10th	Night	16% 3 16% 32% 26% 6%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 6% 26% 32% 19% 2	760
	21st to end	Night	14% 6% 25% 35% 19% 1	836
November	1st to 10th	Night	17% 6% 22% 37% 16% 2	760
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 7% 31% 36% 11%	760
	21st to end	Night	15% 7% 31% 34% 13% 1	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	21% 8% 32% 31% 8%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 6% 34% 33% 7%	760
	21st to end	Night	22% 9% 27% 33% 8%	836

Page generated at 2024-11-03 02:11:21. Version ac07

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