Grenville Base Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Grenville Base Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-05 to 2024-10-14.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	15% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 8% 41%	100970
	Night	15% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 7% 43%	97525
Transparency	Day	39% 8% 13% 23% 15% 3	100775
	Night	39% 7% 12% 23% 16% 3	97396
Seeing	Day	18% 13% 26% 24% 14% 5%	14890
	Night	17% 11% 29% 29% 12% 1	24441

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	18% 4 1 5% 4 4 4 4 5% 5% 46%	2654
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 10% 3 7% 5% 4 3 3 4 5% 39%	2840
	21st to end	Day	18% 9% 3 7% 5% 4 4 3 5% 6% 37%	3124
February	1st to 10th	Day	14% 7% 2 7% 5% 5% 4 5% 6% 6% 39%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 8% 2 5% 5% 4 4 3 5% 7% 40%	1689
	21st to end	Day	18% 8% 2 6% 5% 5% 4 3 5% 5% 40%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	22% 7% 2 6% 5% 5% 4 3 4 7% 35%	3430
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 5% 2 5% 4 4 4 5% 5% 7% 50%	3480
	21st to end	Day	20% 7% 2 6% 4 4 3 3 5% 7% 39%	3838
April	1st to 10th	Day	12% 6% 2 6% 4 4 5% 5% 6% 7% 43%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 5% 2 6% 5% 3 4 3 4 6% 48%	2254
	21st to end	Day	19% 5% 2 6% 4 4 5% 3 6% 5% 40%	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	22% 8% 3 6% 4 5% 5% 4 6% 8% 31%	4072
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 6% 9% 31%	4206
	21st to end	Day	11% 4 2 5% 4 4 5% 4 7% 9% 44%	4823
June	1st to 10th	Day	11% 4 2 6% 5% 4 5% 5% 7% 9% 43%	2660
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 5% 3 6% 4 4 5% 5% 8% 8% 42%	2660
	21st to end	Day	8% 4 2 5% 4 4 5% 6% 7% 11% 44%	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	6% 4 2 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 8% 11% 43%	4440
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 5% 2 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 8% 11% 39%	4202
	21st to end	Day	11% 6% 2 7% 6% 5% 5% 5% 7% 8% 37%	4466
August	1st to 10th	Day	16% 5% 2 6% 4 5% 6% 5% 8% 10% 34%	4104
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 4 2 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 8% 9% 41%	3916
	21st to end	Day	11% 4 2 5% 4 5% 5% 4 6% 8% 49%	4180
September	1st to 10th	Day	13% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 4 7% 46%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 5% 2 5% 4 4 3 4 5% 7% 48%	2279
	21st to end	Day	21% 7% 2 5% 3 4 3 4 5% 5% 39%	1981
October	1st to 10th	Day	17% 5% 2 5% 4 4 3 3 5% 6% 46%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 4 1 4 4 3 4 3 4 5% 49%	1830
	21st to end	Day	15% 5% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 5% 7% 49%	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	12% 6% 1 4 4 3 3 3 5% 7% 51%	1798
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 6% 1 4 3 3 4 4 5% 6% 50%	1662
	21st to end	Day	16% 5% 2 3 3 4 4 4 5% 7% 47%	1520
December	1st to 10th	Day	15% 7% 2 6% 5% 3 4 4 6% 7% 40%	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 5% 2 6% 4 3 5% 3 4 7% 45%	1910
	21st to end	Day	19% 6% 2 6% 5% 4 6% 4 7% 7% 35%	2772
January	1st to 10th	Night	14% 7% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 5% 6% 47%	4287
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 7% 2 4 3 3 3 3 4 5% 47%	4120
	21st to end	Night	20% 8% 2 6% 3 3 3 3 4 6% 41%	4532
February	1st to 10th	Night	15% 7% 2 6% 5% 5% 5% 4 5% 6% 41%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 7% 2 6% 4 3 4 3 5% 6% 43%	2375
	21st to end	Night	17% 8% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 5% 42%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	21% 7% 2 6% 4 3 5% 3 5% 6% 38%	3418
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 6% 2 4 4 3 4 3 5% 7% 50%	3480
	21st to end	Night	14% 8% 2 5% 4 3 4 2 5% 5% 47%	3792
April	1st to 10th	Night	15% 8% 2 5% 5% 5% 4 3 6% 6% 41%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 6% 2 5% 4 4 4 3 5% 9% 46%	1875
	21st to end	Night	17% 4 2 4 4 4 5% 4 6% 7% 43%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	23% 8% 3 7% 4 4 4 4 5% 8% 30%	2851
	11th to 20th	Night	25% 8% 2 7% 5% 4 3 3 4 7% 32%	2686
	21st to end	Night	11% 4 2 5% 4 4 4 4 7% 10% 44%	2732
June	1st to 10th	Night	10% 5% 3 5% 4 5% 4 4 7% 9% 45%	1520
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 5% 3 5% 5% 4 6% 4 6% 8% 43%	1520
	21st to end	Night	8% 5% 2 5% 4 5% 5% 4 7% 10% 44%	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	8% 5% 2 7% 5% 5% 6% 5% 7% 9% 42%	2520
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 5% 3 7% 6% 5% 6% 5% 7% 11% 39%	2740
	21st to end	Night	9% 8% 4 7% 5% 5% 5% 4 7% 9% 37%	3087
August	1st to 10th	Night	16% 5% 3 7% 5% 6% 5% 4 7% 9% 33%	2825
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 6% 3 8% 5% 7% 5% 4 6% 9% 38%	2879
	21st to end	Night	12% 5% 2 5% 3 3 4 4 5% 8% 49%	3476
September	1st to 10th	Night	14% 5% 2 5% 5% 5% 4 3 6% 5% 45%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 6% 2 5% 4 4 4 3 5% 7% 50%	1900
	21st to end	Night	21% 7% 3 6% 4 4 3 3 4 5% 40%	2194
October	1st to 10th	Night	19% 6% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 4 5% 47%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 3 4 5% 52%	2203
	21st to end	Night	15% 5% 2 5% 3 4 4 2 4 6% 50%	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	12% 6% 2 5% 3 2 3 3 4 5% 54%	2278
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 6% 2 3 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 50%	2516
	21st to end	Night	14% 4 1 5% 4 4 4 4 6% 6% 48%	2660
December	1st to 10th	Night	17% 7% 3 6% 4 4 3 4 5% 6% 42%	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 6% 2 5% 4 4 4 3 4 7% 43%	3285
	21st to end	Night	17% 6% 2 6% 4 5% 5% 4 6% 8% 36%	4884

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	37% 5% 9% 30% 14% 4	2655
	11th to 20th	Day	44% 6% 10% 19% 15% 6%	2840
	21st to end	Day	47% 6% 10% 22% 12% 2	3124
February	1st to 10th	Day	43% 7% 13% 23% 12% 2	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	43% 4 11% 22% 17% 3	1698
	21st to end	Day	45% 5% 13% 18% 15% 3	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	47% 6% 11% 20% 13% 4	3430
	11th to 20th	Day	31% 7% 11% 26% 21% 4	3480
	21st to end	Day	44% 7% 11% 19% 15% 3	3838
April	1st to 10th	Day	38% 6% 12% 20% 18% 5%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	37% 6% 11% 21% 20% 6%	2254
	21st to end	Day	42% 8% 11% 21% 14% 4	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	49% 10% 12% 19% 10% 1	4110
	11th to 20th	Day	46% 10% 13% 21% 8% 1	4210
	21st to end	Day	31% 11% 16% 23% 17% 2	4837
June	1st to 10th	Day	34% 9% 15% 24% 16% 1	2660
	11th to 20th	Day	36% 10% 14% 24% 14% 2	2660
	21st to end	Day	30% 11% 16% 24% 16% 2	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	32% 12% 19% 21% 11% 5%	4370
	11th to 20th	Day	35% 10% 16% 28% 10% 1	4130
	21st to end	Day	42% 9% 11% 22% 16% 1	4324
August	1st to 10th	Day	42% 9% 18% 23% 7%	4091
	11th to 20th	Day	34% 11% 13% 27% 14% 1	3955
	21st to end	Day	33% 7% 15% 27% 16% 2	4180
September	1st to 10th	Day	37% 8% 13% 17% 20% 4	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	34% 6% 9% 28% 20% 4	2279
	21st to end	Day	45% 8% 10% 19% 16% 2	1981
October	1st to 10th	Day	38% 6% 11% 24% 18% 4	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	36% 5% 10% 25% 20% 3	1831
	21st to end	Day	35% 5% 9% 26% 22% 3	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	33% 5% 13% 25% 20% 5%	1798
	11th to 20th	Day	34% 6% 10% 23% 21% 6%	1662
	21st to end	Day	36% 6% 11% 27% 18% 2	1520
December	1st to 10th	Day	40% 7% 13% 24% 12% 3	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	38% 5% 11% 31% 11% 4	1906
	21st to end	Day	41% 9% 15% 25% 10% 1	2772
January	1st to 10th	Night	35% 6% 10% 27% 18% 4	4287
	11th to 20th	Night	39% 5% 10% 23% 19% 4	4120
	21st to end	Night	44% 5% 10% 25% 15% 1	4532
February	1st to 10th	Night	42% 7% 13% 23% 14% 2	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	42% 4 10% 21% 17% 5%	2377
	21st to end	Night	43% 5% 11% 21% 15% 5%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	44% 7% 11% 24% 12% 2	3418
	11th to 20th	Night	30% 7% 12% 25% 23% 4	3480
	21st to end	Night	39% 5% 9% 22% 19% 5%	3792
April	1st to 10th	Night	41% 7% 9% 19% 19% 4	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	35% 7% 13% 20% 19% 6%	1875
	21st to end	Night	37% 9% 11% 24% 13% 5%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	50% 9% 11% 17% 10% 2	2878
	11th to 20th	Night	50% 9% 11% 19% 8% 1	2687
	21st to end	Night	32% 11% 17% 24% 12% 3	2739
June	1st to 10th	Night	33% 10% 14% 25% 17% 2	1520
	11th to 20th	Night	36% 10% 15% 23% 14% 2	1520
	21st to end	Night	33% 8% 17% 22% 18% 3	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	36% 10% 20% 17% 13% 3	2480
	11th to 20th	Night	36% 11% 19% 22% 11% 1	2690
	21st to end	Night	41% 9% 15% 20% 15% 1	2988
August	1st to 10th	Night	45% 10% 16% 22% 8% 1	2814
	11th to 20th	Night	40% 8% 12% 24% 15% 1	2906
	21st to end	Night	32% 6% 13% 30% 17% 2	3476
September	1st to 10th	Night	39% 8% 10% 19% 19% 5%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 6% 10% 26% 22% 3	1900
	21st to end	Night	46% 6% 10% 19% 16% 3	2194
October	1st to 10th	Night	40% 5% 12% 22% 18% 3	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 5% 10% 26% 22% 3	2207
	21st to end	Night	35% 6% 9% 24% 22% 4	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	33% 4 10% 26% 21% 6%	2278
	11th to 20th	Night	35% 5% 8% 23% 22% 6%	2516
	21st to end	Night	35% 5% 12% 25% 20% 4	2660
December	1st to 10th	Night	43% 5% 11% 23% 14% 3	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	40% 6% 10% 23% 17% 4	3288
	21st to end	Night	41% 10% 16% 20% 12% 1	4884

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	28% 26% 29% 15% 2	220
	11th to 20th	Day	31% 26% 27% 15% 1	270
	21st to end	Day	22% 31% 31% 12% 3 1	297
February	1st to 10th	Day	19% 28% 36% 13% 4	270
	11th to 20th	Day	35% 26% 32% 5% 2	296
	21st to end	Day	29% 22% 30% 16% 2	382
March	1st to 10th	Day	24% 23% 29% 21% 3	460
	11th to 20th	Day	24% 24% 30% 16% 5% 2	460
	21st to end	Day	21% 21% 33% 19% 5% 1	506
April	1st to 10th	Day	20% 26% 27% 20% 6% 1	460
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 20% 29% 20% 13% 3	452
	21st to end	Day	23% 16% 32% 18% 10% 2	460
May	1st to 10th	Day	22% 17% 28% 19% 10% 4	463
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 10% 30% 21% 14% 4	487
	21st to end	Day	19% 6% 24% 26% 19% 6%	529
June	1st to 10th	Day	11% 8% 27% 29% 19% 5%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 8% 28% 30% 16% 6%	490
	21st to end	Day	10% 6% 28% 32% 18% 6%	490
July	1st to 10th	Day	12% 4 17% 31% 24% 11%	485
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 3 21% 34% 28% 9%	484
	21st to end	Day	12% 4 20% 33% 23% 8%	532
August	1st to 10th	Day	13% 4 20% 25% 27% 11%	486
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 4 19% 32% 22% 11%	479
	21st to end	Day	9% 3 19% 33% 23% 13%	539
September	1st to 10th	Day	16% 7% 20% 25% 19% 12%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 5% 20% 29% 20% 12%	490
	21st to end	Day	28% 11% 20% 24% 14% 3	490
October	1st to 10th	Day	21% 7% 20% 26% 19% 7%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 14% 25% 29% 14% 2	462
	21st to end	Day	17% 11% 36% 24% 10% 3	495
November	1st to 10th	Day	16% 13% 31% 26% 10% 4	426
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 15% 33% 21% 10% 2	322
	21st to end	Day	19% 22% 31% 20% 7% 1	180
December	1st to 10th	Day	17% 22% 37% 19% 4 1	180
	11th to 20th	Day	22% 24% 28% 21% 6%	180
	21st to end	Day	23% 21% 31% 18% 7% 1	198
January	1st to 10th	Night	20% 20% 39% 18% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 16% 33% 25% 4	760
	21st to end	Night	19% 17% 43% 20% 2	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	19% 15% 39% 24% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 21% 37% 16% 2	743
	21st to end	Night	25% 17% 38% 17% 3	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	19% 19% 37% 22% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 19% 32% 21% 5% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	19% 17% 39% 20% 4	836
April	1st to 10th	Night	18% 20% 36% 22% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 13% 35% 27% 8% 1	751
	21st to end	Night	19% 11% 33% 29% 8%	760
May	1st to 10th	Night	22% 8% 26% 32% 12% 1	595
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 6% 27% 34% 12% 1	487
	21st to end	Night	15% 3 22% 39% 20% 1	411
June	1st to 10th	Night	9% 3 26% 41% 21%	380
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 4 23% 41% 19% 1	380
	21st to end	Night	9% 2 23% 49% 17% 1	380
July	1st to 10th	Night	12% 3 18% 38% 26% 4	370
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 1 14% 40% 35% 3	495
	21st to end	Night	9% 3 17% 40% 28% 3	624
August	1st to 10th	Night	11% 2 12% 41% 30% 3	567
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 3 15% 41% 29% 3	619
	21st to end	Night	11% 3 16% 41% 25% 4	836
September	1st to 10th	Night	17% 2 18% 32% 27% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 4 18% 35% 28% 3	760
	21st to end	Night	24% 5% 21% 30% 19% 1	760
October	1st to 10th	Night	21% 5% 23% 29% 19% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 11% 26% 33% 13% 1	735
	21st to end	Night	17% 12% 32% 27% 12%	792
November	1st to 10th	Night	14% 10% 33% 30% 11% 1	740
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 13% 33% 28% 8% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	16% 14% 33% 29% 8% 1	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	20% 17% 35% 22% 7%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 12% 41% 24% 4	760
	21st to end	Night	20% 14% 33% 31% 3	836

Page generated at 2024-10-11 10:50:01. Version ac07

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