Ivan's Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Ivan's Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-12-24.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	7% 6% 2 7% 6% 6% 7% 6% 8% 11% 33%	101071
	Night	7% 5% 2 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 8% 10% 40%	98986
Transparency	Day	19% 51% 13% 11% 4 1	104768
	Night	20% 50% 12% 12% 5% 1	103428
Seeing	Day	7% 3 14% 28% 30% 18%	16195
	Night	8% 2 14% 30% 32% 13%	26333

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	10% 8% 3 7% 5% 5% 5% 4 7% 9% 38%	2836
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 7% 3 9% 6% 5% 6% 5% 7% 9% 24%	2840
	21st to end	Day	7% 8% 3 10% 6% 6% 6% 5% 6% 7% 37%	3133
February	1st to 10th	Day	9% 7% 3 6% 5% 5% 5% 4 8% 10% 37%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 5% 2 5% 4 4 5% 4 7% 10% 47%	1969
	21st to end	Day	6% 5% 2 7% 5% 5% 5% 5% 7% 8% 45%	1727
March	1st to 10th	Day	7% 6% 2 8% 6% 7% 8% 6% 9% 11% 30%	3435
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 3 1 5% 4 4 4 5% 8% 10% 50%	3480
	21st to end	Day	10% 4 2 5% 5% 5% 5% 4 6% 9% 46%	3815
April	1st to 10th	Day	5% 4 1 5% 4 4 6% 6% 8% 12% 44%	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 6% 2 6% 6% 5% 7% 6% 8% 10% 39%	2168
	21st to end	Day	7% 4 2 5% 6% 6% 5% 6% 7% 11% 41%	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	3 2 1 4 3 4 4 4 7% 11% 58%	3765
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 5% 2 8% 6% 6% 6% 6% 8% 11% 36%	3790
	21st to end	Day	6% 5% 2 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 11% 41%	4476
June	1st to 10th	Day	13% 9% 4 10% 8% 8% 9% 6% 8% 9% 16%	2470
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 8% 3 10% 8% 9% 8% 7% 9% 10% 19%	2470
	21st to end	Day	7% 7% 3 9% 7% 8% 8% 6% 11% 11% 22%	2470
July	1st to 10th	Day	5% 6% 2 8% 5% 6% 7% 7% 9% 15% 29%	4120
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 5% 3 8% 6% 7% 8% 7% 11% 14% 26%	4120
	21st to end	Day	4 4 2 7% 6% 6% 8% 6% 11% 16% 30%	4466
August	1st to 10th	Day	5% 5% 3 10% 8% 8% 8% 8% 11% 13% 21%	4014
	11th to 20th	Day	4 5% 2 7% 7% 7% 8% 7% 11% 16% 26%	3730
	21st to end	Day	5% 4 2 8% 6% 8% 9% 7% 12% 18% 21%	3938
September	1st to 10th	Day	8% 6% 3 9% 7% 9% 8% 8% 10% 11% 20%	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 7% 3 9% 8% 9% 9% 6% 11% 10% 20%	2090
	21st to end	Day	11% 9% 4 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 8% 9% 19%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	9% 8% 3 10% 7% 8% 7% 6% 9% 11% 22%	1986
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 6% 3 8% 7% 7% 9% 6% 8% 11% 27%	1900
	21st to end	Day	11% 6% 3 8% 5% 6% 5% 5% 7% 9% 34%	2090
November	1st to 10th	Day	9% 5% 2 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 10% 10% 37%	1957
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 7% 3 8% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 8% 32%	2000
	21st to end	Day	8% 5% 3 8% 5% 6% 6% 5% 7% 9% 38%	2000
December	1st to 10th	Day	8% 6% 2 8% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 8% 41%	1972
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 7% 2 6% 5% 5% 5% 4 6% 9% 40%	2243
	21st to end	Day	13% 6% 2 8% 5% 7% 6% 6% 8% 10% 29%	3151
January	1st to 10th	Night	9% 7% 3 7% 5% 5% 6% 5% 8% 9% 37%	4109
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 9% 3 9% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 8% 27%	4120
	21st to end	Night	8% 7% 3 8% 6% 6% 6% 5% 6% 7% 37%	4518
February	1st to 10th	Night	8% 6% 2 5% 4 4 4 4 8% 9% 45%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 3 2 4 4 4 4 4 6% 7% 55%	2094
	21st to end	Night	6% 4 2 4 4 3 4 4 6% 9% 54%	1727
March	1st to 10th	Night	6% 6% 2 8% 6% 5% 6% 5% 7% 9% 39%	3418
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 3 1 4 3 4 4 4 7% 11% 56%	3480
	21st to end	Night	8% 4 1 4 4 3 4 4 6% 8% 53%	3817
April	1st to 10th	Night	4 3 1 4 4 3 4 4 7% 10% 55%	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 4 2 5% 4 5% 5% 5% 7% 10% 48%	1957
	21st to end	Night	5% 5% 2 5% 4 3 4 5% 8% 9% 51%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 1 3 2 2 3 4 6% 10% 64%	3130
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 4 2 5% 4 4 5% 5% 7% 10% 47%	3130
	21st to end	Night	6% 6% 2 5% 4 4 5% 5% 7% 10% 46%	3079
June	1st to 10th	Night	12% 6% 3 8% 8% 6% 7% 7% 9% 10% 25%	1710
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 6% 2 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 9% 13% 31%	1710
	21st to end	Night	5% 5% 2 7% 6% 7% 6% 6% 10% 14% 32%	1710
July	1st to 10th	Night	4 5% 2 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 8% 11% 40%	2840
	11th to 20th	Night	4 5% 2 8% 5% 5% 6% 6% 10% 13% 36%	2840
	21st to end	Night	2 3 2 6% 5% 6% 6% 4 9% 14% 42%	3087
August	1st to 10th	Night	5% 4 2 7% 5% 7% 8% 7% 9% 13% 34%	2883
	11th to 20th	Night	2 4 2 6% 5% 6% 6% 6% 9% 13% 41%	3097
	21st to end	Night	5% 4 2 7% 5% 7% 8% 7% 13% 17% 25%	3697
September	1st to 10th	Night	6% 6% 3 8% 6% 7% 8% 7% 10% 11% 28%	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 6% 2 9% 7% 7% 6% 6% 9% 12% 27%	2090
	21st to end	Night	9% 7% 3 9% 7% 8% 7% 7% 9% 11% 23%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	8% 5% 3 10% 6% 8% 8% 6% 9% 10% 26%	2191
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 6% 2 6% 5% 5% 7% 5% 8% 11% 35%	2280
	21st to end	Night	11% 6% 2 6% 4 5% 5% 5% 7% 8% 40%	2508
November	1st to 10th	Night	9% 6% 2 6% 4 5% 5% 4 6% 9% 44%	2341
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 6% 3 6% 6% 6% 5% 4 7% 9% 39%	2400
	21st to end	Night	8% 6% 2 6% 5% 4 6% 4 6% 10% 43%	2400
December	1st to 10th	Night	7% 5% 2 5% 5% 4 5% 4 6% 11% 45%	2423
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 7% 2 6% 4 4 5% 4 6% 8% 43%	3172
	21st to end	Night	10% 8% 3 9% 5% 6% 6% 5% 7% 9% 32%	4578

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	29% 40% 7% 14% 10% 1	2837
	11th to 20th	Day	37% 42% 10% 8% 3	2840
	21st to end	Day	28% 42% 6% 11% 8% 4	3133
February	1st to 10th	Day	12% 67% 8% 9% 4 1	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 64% 5% 10% 10% 3	1979
	21st to end	Day	12% 66% 6% 6% 7% 2	1727
March	1st to 10th	Day	28% 49% 11% 8% 3 1	3435
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 45% 15% 25% 4 1	3480
	21st to end	Day	19% 44% 7% 18% 9% 3	3815
April	1st to 10th	Day	7% 67% 8% 11% 5% 1	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 68% 7% 7% 6% 2	2168
	21st to end	Day	9% 67% 5% 10% 8% 1	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	8% 44% 8% 23% 14% 3	3800
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 47% 18% 14% 3	3794
	21st to end	Day	11% 44% 11% 26% 9%	4489
June	1st to 10th	Day	17% 71% 6% 4 1	2470
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 71% 6% 4	2470
	21st to end	Day	10% 72% 13% 5%	2470
July	1st to 10th	Day	16% 43% 25% 15%	4055
	11th to 20th	Day	22% 44% 27% 7%	4051
	21st to end	Day	17% 46% 26% 11%	4324
August	1st to 10th	Day	30% 46% 17% 6% 1	4001
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 46% 23% 14%	3766
	21st to end	Day	21% 47% 28% 4	3938
September	1st to 10th	Day	15% 68% 11% 5%	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 66% 11% 5% 1	2090
	21st to end	Day	18% 67% 7% 6% 2	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	29% 45% 13% 9% 3	3298
	11th to 20th	Day	30% 41% 12% 10% 7% 1	3140
	21st to end	Day	20% 39% 8% 22% 9% 2	3428
November	1st to 10th	Day	15% 60% 10% 9% 5% 1	1957
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 60% 6% 7% 5% 2	2000
	21st to end	Day	16% 59% 6% 9% 7% 3	2000
December	1st to 10th	Day	16% 59% 8% 11% 6% 1	1972
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 48% 8% 9% 12% 5%	2240
	21st to end	Day	33% 42% 11% 9% 5%	3151
January	1st to 10th	Night	31% 41% 8% 12% 7% 1	4109
	11th to 20th	Night	40% 40% 9% 8% 2	4120
	21st to end	Night	29% 43% 6% 10% 8% 4	4518
February	1st to 10th	Night	10% 66% 8% 11% 4	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 64% 4 10% 11% 4	2095
	21st to end	Night	11% 66% 5% 7% 8% 3	1727
March	1st to 10th	Night	29% 48% 10% 9% 3 1	3418
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 45% 20% 20% 5% 1	3480
	21st to end	Night	17% 42% 11% 12% 16% 2	3817
April	1st to 10th	Night	6% 66% 6% 15% 5% 1	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 68% 6% 8% 8% 1	1957
	21st to end	Night	8% 67% 7% 11% 6% 1	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	8% 43% 13% 26% 8% 3	3160
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 46% 15% 21% 5%	3131
	21st to end	Night	12% 44% 13% 24% 6%	3087
June	1st to 10th	Night	14% 70% 10% 6% 1	1710
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 71% 7% 6%	1710
	21st to end	Night	10% 69% 15% 5%	1710
July	1st to 10th	Night	18% 43% 25% 15%	2795
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 43% 32% 7%	2786
	21st to end	Night	18% 43% 28% 12%	2988
August	1st to 10th	Night	26% 45% 17% 10% 1	2872
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 43% 21% 18%	3127
	21st to end	Night	21% 49% 26% 3	3697
September	1st to 10th	Night	17% 67% 10% 5%	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 67% 12% 5% 1	2090
	21st to end	Night	17% 67% 7% 6% 3	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	33% 44% 12% 9% 1	3659
	11th to 20th	Night	32% 41% 9% 11% 7%	3779
	21st to end	Night	21% 40% 8% 20% 9% 3	4120
November	1st to 10th	Night	16% 59% 9% 10% 5% 1	2341
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 60% 6% 9% 5% 2	2400
	21st to end	Night	17% 59% 6% 8% 7% 3	2400
December	1st to 10th	Night	14% 60% 6% 12% 8%	2423
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 49% 7% 9% 10% 7%	3174
	21st to end	Night	34% 43% 10% 8% 5% 1	4578

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	8% 5% 29% 40% 17% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 7% 26% 31% 19% 3	270
	21st to end	Day	9% 5% 35% 41% 9% 1	297
February	1st to 10th	Day	7% 7% 21% 40% 21% 3	270
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 5% 20% 38% 24% 5%	392
	21st to end	Day	6% 3 21% 38% 30% 2	382
March	1st to 10th	Day	3 5% 28% 44% 17% 2	460
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 3 23% 40% 27% 2	460
	21st to end	Day	5% 1 23% 40% 26% 4	506
April	1st to 10th	Day	3 2 24% 43% 23% 4	460
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 3 22% 40% 22% 6%	452
	21st to end	Day	4 2 14% 43% 32% 5%	460
May	1st to 10th	Day	3 1 9% 42% 37% 10%	463
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 2 12% 33% 33% 11%	487
	21st to end	Day	10% 2 8% 17% 40% 23%	529
June	1st to 10th	Day	10% 3 8% 19% 40% 20%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 2 8% 15% 31% 36%	490
	21st to end	Day	2 2 3 11% 34% 47%	490
July	1st to 10th	Day	4 1 3 8% 34% 49%	485
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 1 2 10% 37% 44%	484
	21st to end	Day	4 1 2 15% 34% 45%	532
August	1st to 10th	Day	6% 1 5% 12% 35% 40%	486
	11th to 20th	Day	4 1 2 11% 37% 46%	479
	21st to end	Day	8% 1 6% 17% 35% 33%	539
September	1st to 10th	Day	8% 1 3 12% 38% 37%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 1 4 16% 34% 39%	490
	21st to end	Day	8% 3 8% 19% 33% 28%	490
October	1st to 10th	Day	11% 2 8% 30% 37% 11%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 4 12% 32% 29% 12%	490
	21st to end	Day	10% 4 17% 30% 31% 8%	539
November	1st to 10th	Day	8% 5% 18% 35% 26% 8%	495
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 4 20% 35% 26% 4	500
	21st to end	Day	6% 4 22% 39% 28% 2	500
December	1st to 10th	Day	10% 4 18% 39% 26% 3	472
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 3 24% 33% 26% 5%	300
	21st to end	Day	8% 7% 22% 32% 25% 6%	306
January	1st to 10th	Night	10% 5% 20% 38% 25% 2	760
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 6% 24% 37% 21% 2	760
	21st to end	Night	8% 5% 27% 42% 16%	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	9% 6% 21% 41% 22% 1	760
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 4 24% 39% 24% 1	743
	21st to end	Night	6% 2 20% 46% 26%	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	5% 3 30% 41% 20% 2	760
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 3 21% 43% 26% 2	760
	21st to end	Night	6% 3 21% 45% 24% 1	836
April	1st to 10th	Night	4 2 14% 49% 28% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 3 18% 46% 27% 2	751
	21st to end	Night	7% 1 16% 47% 28% 2	760
May	1st to 10th	Night	4 1 10% 42% 39% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 2 13% 40% 32% 4	749
	21st to end	Night	8% 1 10% 23% 47% 12%	617
June	1st to 10th	Night	11% 1 5% 22% 45% 16%	570
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 2 5% 14% 43% 30%	570
	21st to end	Night	5% 1 3 12% 37% 43%	570
July	1st to 10th	Night	5% 1 3 7% 39% 45%	555
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 2 1 7% 41% 44%	552
	21st to end	Night	3 2 8% 41% 46%	624
August	1st to 10th	Night	8% 1 2 9% 43% 36%	599
	11th to 20th	Night	4 2 9% 46% 39%	750
	21st to end	Night	9% 1 4 16% 38% 33%	836
September	1st to 10th	Night	7% 1 6% 13% 37% 36%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 2 4 15% 38% 33%	760
	21st to end	Night	11% 2 7% 16% 35% 28%	760
October	1st to 10th	Night	10% 2 9% 28% 40% 11%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 3 11% 25% 41% 9%	760
	21st to end	Night	15% 2 14% 33% 29% 7%	836
November	1st to 10th	Night	11% 3 20% 33% 29% 5%	780
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 3 20% 33% 32% 4	800
	21st to end	Night	10% 3 19% 40% 27% 2	800
December	1st to 10th	Night	9% 4 18% 36% 30% 4	800
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 5% 21% 33% 28% 4	800
	21st to end	Night	9% 4 21% 34% 29% 3	851

Page generated at 2024-12-21 04:13:48. Version ac07

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