Lagoon Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Lagoon Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-11-12.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	4 4 1 4 2 2 3 3 5% 8% 64%	104854
	Night	5% 4 2 4 3 2 3 2 4 6% 64%	103074
Transparency	Day	20% 3 9% 18% 26% 23%	104613
	Night	21% 3 7% 18% 26% 25%	102904
Seeing	Day	6% 7% 21% 36% 23% 6%	15668
	Night	7% 3 10% 30% 36% 13%	25454

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SW (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	6% 2 1 3 2 2 3 2 4 5% 69%	2600
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 5% 1 5% 3 3 3 3 5% 9% 53%	2860
	21st to end	Day	13% 4 2 4 2 3 3 3 6% 8% 52%	3306
February	1st to 10th	Day	10% 5% 1 3 3 2 1 3 4 5% 62%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 4 1 3 2 3 3 3 6% 7% 60%	1850
	21st to end	Day	8% 4 2 4 3 3 2 3 5% 6% 61%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	9% 5% 2 5% 4 4 4 4 5% 6% 53%	3138
	11th to 20th	Day	4 4 1 3 2 3 2 3 6% 9% 63%	3366
	21st to end	Day	6% 3 1 4 3 4 5% 4 6% 10% 53%	4127
April	1st to 10th	Day	6% 5% 1 4 3 2 3 3 6% 8% 60%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	4 4 2 3 2 2 3 3 5% 7% 66%	2249
	21st to end	Day	4 4 1 4 3 2 2 2 4 8% 67%	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	3 4 1 3 2 2 2 2 4 6% 72%	3800
	11th to 20th	Day	3 7% 3 7% 3 3 3 3 6% 9% 52%	4035
	21st to end	Day	2 5% 2 5% 3 3 3 2 5% 9% 62%	4477
June	1st to 10th	Day	4 8% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 6% 8% 54%	2612
	11th to 20th	Day	3 4 2 4 3 2 3 2 5% 8% 63%	2660
	21st to end	Day	2 4 1 3 2 2 3 3 5% 8% 67%	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 5% 8% 73%	4420
	11th to 20th	Day	2 2 1 3 3 3 3 2 5% 9% 68%	4280
	21st to end	Day	1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 5% 8% 75%	4251
August	1st to 10th	Day	1 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 4 7% 76%	3783
	11th to 20th	Day	1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 6% 82%	3724
	21st to end	Day	1 1 2 2 2 2 2 5% 7% 74%	4180
September	1st to 10th	Day	1 2 1 3 2 2 3 2 4 6% 72%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	3 3 1 3 2 2 2 2 5% 8% 69%	2190
	21st to end	Day	2 3 1 4 2 2 3 3 5% 7% 70%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 5% 11% 71%	3445
	11th to 20th	Day	3 7% 2 4 2 2 3 3 6% 8% 60%	3161
	21st to end	Day	3 2 1 3 3 3 3 3 5% 5% 68%	3448
November	1st to 10th	Day	3 2 2 4 2 2 3 3 5% 7% 68%	1794
	11th to 20th	Day	4 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 7% 68%	1719
	21st to end	Day	4 3 2 4 3 3 3 3 5% 8% 64%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	7% 4 3 4 2 3 4 4 5% 8% 56%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 5% 2 6% 3 4 3 3 5% 7% 46%	2105
	21st to end	Day	12% 5% 1 6% 5% 4 4 5% 6% 7% 46%	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	7% 4 1 4 2 3 3 2 4 6% 65%	4344
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 6% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 54%	4110
	21st to end	Night	13% 5% 1 4 3 2 3 3 5% 7% 54%	4363
February	1st to 10th	Night	8% 5% 1 4 3 2 2 3 4 5% 62%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 5% 2 5% 2 3 3 2 4 5% 62%	2218
	21st to end	Night	11% 4 2 4 3 4 3 2 4 5% 59%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	8% 6% 2 5% 3 2 4 4 6% 9% 51%	3736
	11th to 20th	Night	4 5% 1 4 3 2 4 3 5% 6% 63%	3597
	21st to end	Night	9% 5% 2 4 2 3 2 3 4 6% 60%	3524
April	1st to 10th	Night	6% 6% 1 4 3 3 3 3 4 7% 61%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	4 5% 2 3 3 2 3 2 4 6% 66%	1879
	21st to end	Night	4 5% 1 3 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 65%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	3 4 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 5% 74%	3180
	11th to 20th	Night	3 10% 3 6% 4 3 3 2 4 6% 57%	2869
	21st to end	Night	2 3 1 2 2 2 2 1 3 4 78%	3110
June	1st to 10th	Night	3 6% 2 5% 5% 3 3 3 6% 7% 57%	1562
	11th to 20th	Night	1 6% 2 3 3 2 3 2 5% 7% 67%	1520
	21st to end	Night	2 4 2 5% 3 3 4 3 5% 9% 62%	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 1 3 2 2 2 2 6% 5% 74%	2540
	11th to 20th	Night	1 2 1 3 2 3 3 3 5% 9% 67%	2666
	21st to end	Night	1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 4 6% 76%	3318
August	1st to 10th	Night	1 2 1 3 2 2 2 1 4 7% 74%	3166
	11th to 20th	Night	1 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 5% 78%	3126
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 4 2 2 3 2 5% 6% 74%	3498
September	1st to 10th	Night	2 4 1 4 2 3 3 3 5% 9% 64%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	3 3 2 4 2 2 2 2 5% 7% 69%	1990
	21st to end	Night	1 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 5% 6% 72%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	2 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 5% 9% 73%	3518
	11th to 20th	Night	3 5% 3 4 2 2 3 3 6% 7% 63%	3777
	21st to end	Night	3 3 1 3 1 2 2 2 2 6% 76%	4121
November	1st to 10th	Night	3 3 1 3 3 2 2 2 5% 7% 69%	2502
	11th to 20th	Night	3 3 2 4 2 2 2 3 4 6% 68%	2483
	21st to end	Night	5% 3 1 4 3 3 4 3 4 7% 63%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	7% 5% 2 5% 3 3 3 2 4 6% 60%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 7% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 46%	3081
	21st to end	Night	13% 6% 2 6% 4 5% 4 4 4 6% 47%	4862

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	19% 2 7% 25% 32% 14%	2600
	11th to 20th	Day	29% 5% 14% 19% 18% 15%	2860
	21st to end	Day	30% 4 6% 22% 24% 15%	3306
February	1st to 10th	Day	26% 3 5% 16% 25% 24%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	24% 3 8% 16% 27% 22%	1860
	21st to end	Day	25% 3 9% 22% 22% 18%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	30% 6% 9% 25% 15% 15%	3138
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 4 19% 29% 15% 15%	3366
	21st to end	Day	24% 8% 17% 27% 17% 7%	4127
April	1st to 10th	Day	24% 4 14% 25% 22% 12%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 3 10% 26% 27% 15%	2252
	21st to end	Day	19% 4 13% 24% 30% 10%	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	15% 4 12% 18% 33% 18%	3800
	11th to 20th	Day	28% 4 18% 19% 25% 6%	4038
	21st to end	Day	20% 6% 20% 29% 22% 3	4477
June	1st to 10th	Day	26% 6% 14% 19% 26% 10%	2612
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 4 10% 15% 32% 18%	2660
	21st to end	Day	18% 2 9% 12% 31% 29%	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	12% 1 4 12% 15% 56%	4351
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 2 5% 14% 27% 37%	4205
	21st to end	Day	12% 2 6% 19% 30% 31%	4117
August	1st to 10th	Day	12% 1 5% 14% 42% 26%	3770
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 1 5% 10% 34% 41%	3760
	21st to end	Day	11% 1 5% 14% 32% 37%	4179
September	1st to 10th	Day	15% 2 7% 13% 29% 33%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 3 7% 15% 30% 27%	2190
	21st to end	Day	16% 2 7% 19% 29% 26%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	10% 2 5% 18% 21% 44%	3445
	11th to 20th	Day	22% 2 5% 15% 32% 24%	3161
	21st to end	Day	18% 3 4 11% 33% 31%	3448
November	1st to 10th	Day	19% 2 7% 17% 24% 31%	1794
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 4 8% 15% 19% 37%	1719
	21st to end	Day	20% 3 8% 14% 24% 31%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	27% 5% 5% 18% 22% 23%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	37% 4 8% 15% 20% 15%	2104
	21st to end	Day	35% 6% 11% 21% 15% 11%	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	22% 4 6% 15% 34% 19%	4344
	11th to 20th	Night	31% 4 9% 22% 16% 17%	4110
	21st to end	Night	31% 3 7% 18% 25% 17%	4363
February	1st to 10th	Night	26% 3 6% 14% 24% 27%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	27% 3 5% 17% 24% 24%	2219
	21st to end	Night	29% 3 7% 18% 22% 21%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	25% 9% 10% 23% 24% 11%	3736
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 6% 16% 25% 18% 15%	3597
	21st to end	Night	24% 6% 13% 28% 21% 8%	3524
April	1st to 10th	Night	25% 3 13% 25% 22% 12%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 4 9% 24% 28% 16%	1879
	21st to end	Night	21% 3 12% 23% 29% 13%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	15% 4 9% 20% 35% 16%	3180
	11th to 20th	Night	28% 6% 12% 21% 27% 6%	2870
	21st to end	Night	11% 3 10% 40% 32% 4	3110
June	1st to 10th	Night	27% 5% 14% 21% 26% 8%	1562
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 3 9% 17% 34% 18%	1520
	21st to end	Night	20% 2 7% 11% 31% 29%	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	11% 2 4 7% 16% 60%	2500
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 4 4 12% 29% 38%	2618
	21st to end	Night	10% 2 5% 21% 29% 34%	3214
August	1st to 10th	Night	13% 2 3 15% 38% 30%	3156
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 2 4 11% 33% 40%	3156
	21st to end	Night	11% 2 4 9% 38% 37%	3498
September	1st to 10th	Night	18% 2 8% 9% 27% 37%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 2 5% 13% 35% 29%	1990
	21st to end	Night	15% 1 6% 13% 34% 31%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	11% 2 3 14% 23% 47%	3518
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 2 5% 17% 28% 28%	3777
	21st to end	Night	14% 1 3 9% 31% 42%	4121
November	1st to 10th	Night	16% 3 6% 15% 25% 35%	2502
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 2 6% 14% 21% 38%	2483
	21st to end	Night	23% 3 6% 17% 20% 32%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	26% 3 6% 16% 20% 29%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	39% 3 8% 13% 20% 17%	3081
	21st to end	Night	37% 6% 8% 22% 17% 12%	4862

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	17% 4 33% 35% 11%	215
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 8% 29% 37% 11% 2	370
	21st to end	Day	14% 12% 31% 31% 11% 2	452
February	1st to 10th	Day	13% 13% 29% 28% 13% 3	460
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 11% 31% 33% 11% 2	455
	21st to end	Day	13% 14% 30% 31% 11% 1	382
March	1st to 10th	Day	14% 15% 32% 29% 9% 1	460
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 11% 32% 28% 15% 2	460
	21st to end	Day	10% 14% 31% 31% 12% 1	506
April	1st to 10th	Day	9% 10% 27% 36% 15% 3	460
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 14% 27% 35% 13% 5%	452
	21st to end	Day	5% 9% 27% 36% 19% 5%	460
May	1st to 10th	Day	6% 8% 27% 36% 19% 4	463
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 7% 22% 39% 22% 4	488
	21st to end	Day	6% 9% 25% 35% 20% 5%	529
June	1st to 10th	Day	6% 5% 19% 36% 27% 8%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	3 3 16% 40% 30% 8%	490
	21st to end	Day	3 1 12% 39% 36% 8%	490
July	1st to 10th	Day	3 1 5% 39% 37% 14%	486
	11th to 20th	Day	2 1 4 32% 44% 17%	484
	21st to end	Day	1 4 37% 41% 17%	531
August	1st to 10th	Day	3 8% 40% 36% 13%	487
	11th to 20th	Day	3 1 6% 38% 40% 13%	477
	21st to end	Day	1 2 9% 42% 37% 9%	539
September	1st to 10th	Day	3 1 13% 42% 30% 11%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 3 20% 43% 23% 6%	490
	21st to end	Day	1 5% 16% 39% 32% 7%	490
October	1st to 10th	Day	3 3 19% 46% 24% 4	490
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 5% 21% 44% 21% 5%	490
	21st to end	Day	4 7% 22% 37% 23% 7%	539
November	1st to 10th	Day	5% 8% 21% 37% 21% 9%	330
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 7% 32% 33% 19% 5%	273
	21st to end	Day	5% 12% 27% 33% 17% 5%	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	10% 11% 26% 34% 16% 3	270
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 10% 29% 33% 18% 3	252
	21st to end	Day	14% 10% 33% 28% 14% 3	198
January	1st to 10th	Night	12% 5% 17% 40% 20% 6%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 6% 21% 39% 22% 2	760
	21st to end	Night	14% 9% 17% 36% 21% 3	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	11% 6% 16% 35% 25% 7%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 5% 16% 39% 24% 6%	744
	21st to end	Night	13% 8% 18% 35% 24% 3	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	11% 6% 17% 40% 23% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 4 14% 36% 30% 8%	760
	21st to end	Night	9% 4 16% 36% 32% 4	836
April	1st to 10th	Night	8% 3 12% 38% 34% 6%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 5% 13% 34% 35% 7%	751
	21st to end	Night	6% 4 10% 34% 37% 10%	760
May	1st to 10th	Night	7% 3 10% 34% 37% 9%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 3 8% 30% 41% 12%	583
	21st to end	Night	2 3 10% 31% 42% 11%	617
June	1st to 10th	Night	4 2 4 30% 44% 16%	422
	11th to 20th	Night	2 1 3 21% 53% 19%	380
	21st to end	Night	4 1 1 18% 57% 18%	380
July	1st to 10th	Night	4 1 4 60% 32%	370
	11th to 20th	Night	4 5% 45% 46%	442
	21st to end	Night	3 1 9% 49% 37%	745
August	1st to 10th	Night	3 1 1 14% 53% 28%	756
	11th to 20th	Night	3 1 1 12% 49% 34%	752
	21st to end	Night	2 1 1 13% 53% 30%	836
September	1st to 10th	Night	4 1 3 18% 49% 26%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	3 1 3 23% 53% 17%	760
	21st to end	Night	2 1 4 24% 51% 18%	760
October	1st to 10th	Night	4 1 6% 34% 47% 9%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 1 7% 33% 43% 10%	760
	21st to end	Night	5% 3 10% 36% 35% 12%	836
November	1st to 10th	Night	4 5% 11% 38% 31% 11%	780
	11th to 20th	Night	4 3 13% 39% 31% 10%	764
	21st to end	Night	6% 5% 19% 37% 29% 5%	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	8% 7% 18% 38% 24% 6%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 6% 18% 39% 20% 4	760
	21st to end	Night	11% 8% 17% 39% 21% 4	836

Page generated at 2024-11-08 19:45:35. Version ac07

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