Nanjemoy Creek Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Nanjemoy Creek Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-11-06.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	14% 6% 2 5% 4 4 4 4 6% 8% 43%	101182
	Night	15% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 5% 7% 43%	97825
Transparency	Day	21% 48% 7% 14% 9% 2	104820
	Night	21% 48% 6% 13% 10% 2	102327
Seeing	Day	17% 13% 28% 25% 13% 4	15063
	Night	17% 11% 30% 28% 12% 1	24591

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	18% 6% 2 4 3 3 3 3 4 7% 49%	2627
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 8% 2 6% 4 3 4 3 4 5% 42%	2840
	21st to end	Day	17% 9% 3 7% 4 4 4 3 4 6% 39%	3124
February	1st to 10th	Day	14% 7% 2 6% 5% 6% 5% 4 5% 7% 39%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 7% 2 5% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 43%	1730
	21st to end	Day	18% 8% 2 5% 5% 5% 5% 3 4 7% 38%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	22% 7% 2 5% 4 4 4 4 5% 6% 37%	3389
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 4 1 4 4 4 4 3 5% 7% 52%	3480
	21st to end	Day	21% 6% 2 5% 4 4 4 4 5% 6% 39%	3875
April	1st to 10th	Day	12% 6% 2 5% 5% 4 4 4 6% 7% 46%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 6% 2 5% 4 4 4 4 4 6% 49%	2254
	21st to end	Day	16% 6% 2 5% 4 4 4 4 5% 6% 43%	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	22% 8% 2 6% 5% 4 5% 4 6% 8% 31%	3974
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 7% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 8% 34%	4252
	21st to end	Day	10% 4 2 5% 4 4 5% 4 7% 9% 47%	4823
June	1st to 10th	Day	11% 4 2 5% 5% 4 5% 4 6% 9% 45%	2660
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 5% 2 5% 4 4 5% 5% 6% 9% 44%	2660
	21st to end	Day	8% 4 2 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 8% 9% 44%	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	6% 4 2 6% 4 5% 5% 5% 7% 13% 43%	4440
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 5% 2 5% 4 5% 5% 4 9% 12% 38%	4251
	21st to end	Day	11% 7% 3 7% 5% 5% 5% 5% 7% 10% 36%	4466
August	1st to 10th	Day	15% 6% 2 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 8% 10% 33%	4104
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 6% 2 6% 4 5% 5% 5% 8% 9% 40%	3835
	21st to end	Day	8% 4 1 5% 3 4 4 4 6% 9% 50%	4180
September	1st to 10th	Day	13% 5% 2 5% 4 4 4 4 6% 7% 47%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 6% 2 4 4 4 4 3 6% 8% 49%	2280
	21st to end	Day	19% 8% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 7% 38%	2001
October	1st to 10th	Day	17% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 48%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 5% 2 4 3 3 2 3 4 6% 53%	1900
	21st to end	Day	14% 5% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 51%	2090
November	1st to 10th	Day	12% 4 2 4 4 4 3 3 5% 6% 53%	1826
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 6% 2 3 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 51%	1710
	21st to end	Day	15% 6% 1 4 4 3 3 4 5% 5% 50%	1529
December	1st to 10th	Day	17% 6% 2 6% 3 3 4 4 6% 7% 41%	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 8% 2 4 3 3 4 3 4 6% 49%	1910
	21st to end	Day	17% 7% 3 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 7% 38%	2772
January	1st to 10th	Night	15% 8% 2 6% 4 3 3 3 4 6% 46%	4302
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 8% 2 5% 3 3 3 2 5% 5% 46%	4120
	21st to end	Night	19% 8% 3 7% 4 3 3 3 4 5% 43%	4532
February	1st to 10th	Night	15% 7% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 43%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 8% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 3 5% 45%	2334
	21st to end	Night	18% 7% 2 5% 4 3 4 3 4 6% 43%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	23% 7% 3 5% 4 4 3 4 4 6% 38%	3462
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 3 5% 8% 51%	3480
	21st to end	Night	15% 8% 3 6% 4 3 3 3 4 5% 47%	3755
April	1st to 10th	Night	15% 7% 2 5% 4 3 3 4 5% 7% 43%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 6% 2 7% 3 3 4 3 5% 6% 49%	1875
	21st to end	Night	18% 4 2 5% 4 3 3 4 6% 7% 44%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	21% 10% 3 6% 4 4 4 4 5% 7% 33%	2948
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 5% 7% 34%	2637
	21st to end	Night	11% 4 2 5% 4 5% 5% 4 7% 11% 43%	2732
June	1st to 10th	Night	10% 5% 1 6% 4 4 5% 5% 7% 9% 42%	1520
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 5% 2 6% 5% 4 5% 5% 6% 10% 41%	1520
	21st to end	Night	9% 5% 2 6% 4 4 5% 3 8% 11% 44%	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	6% 4 3 7% 5% 5% 6% 5% 8% 11% 41%	2520
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 5% 3 6% 6% 5% 6% 5% 7% 10% 38%	2704
	21st to end	Night	10% 7% 3 8% 6% 6% 6% 5% 7% 8% 35%	3087
August	1st to 10th	Night	15% 6% 2 7% 5% 5% 5% 5% 7% 9% 33%	2825
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 7% 3 7% 6% 6% 6% 4 7% 9% 35%	2959
	21st to end	Night	10% 5% 2 5% 4 4 3 3 5% 7% 51%	3476
September	1st to 10th	Night	14% 5% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 5% 7% 46%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 6% 2 5% 5% 4 4 4 4 8% 48%	1900
	21st to end	Night	21% 8% 2 6% 3 4 4 4 5% 6% 38%	2175
October	1st to 10th	Night	17% 6% 2 4 4 3 4 3 4 6% 45%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 5% 2 6% 3 3 3 3 4 7% 50%	2280
	21st to end	Night	14% 5% 2 5% 3 3 4 3 5% 7% 49%	2508
November	1st to 10th	Night	13% 5% 2 4 3 4 3 2 4 5% 54%	2372
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 6% 2 4 3 3 3 2 4 6% 50%	2470
	21st to end	Night	12% 4 2 4 4 3 4 4 5% 7% 50%	2649
December	1st to 10th	Night	17% 8% 3 6% 3 4 3 3 5% 7% 42%	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 6% 2 6% 4 3 4 3 4 7% 44%	3285
	21st to end	Night	16% 6% 3 6% 5% 5% 4 4 6% 8% 38%	4884

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	22% 37% 4 23% 11% 4	2628
	11th to 20th	Day	28% 38% 4 14% 10% 5%	2840
	21st to end	Day	30% 42% 7% 12% 6% 1	3124
February	1st to 10th	Day	16% 66% 4 8% 4 1	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 64% 3 8% 7% 2	1739
	21st to end	Day	18% 66% 5% 5% 7% 1	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	32% 44% 6% 10% 6% 2	3389
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 42% 5% 20% 16% 3	3480
	21st to end	Day	27% 42% 6% 12% 10% 2	3875
April	1st to 10th	Day	15% 66% 3 7% 7% 1	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 66% 4 9% 7% 1	2254
	21st to end	Day	15% 66% 4 9% 5% 1	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	35% 43% 6% 11% 4 1	4010
	11th to 20th	Day	29% 44% 9% 14% 3	4256
	21st to end	Day	17% 44% 10% 14% 12% 2	4837
June	1st to 10th	Day	14% 66% 5% 10% 5%	2660
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 67% 5% 10% 8%	2660
	21st to end	Day	12% 65% 7% 9% 7% 1	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	20% 41% 18% 10% 7% 4	4370
	11th to 20th	Day	25% 38% 14% 18% 4	4177
	21st to end	Day	29% 38% 8% 14% 11%	4324
August	1st to 10th	Day	30% 39% 12% 16% 3	4091
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 41% 10% 20% 8%	3874
	21st to end	Day	17% 38% 10% 20% 13% 1	4180
September	1st to 10th	Day	16% 62% 6% 9% 6% 1	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 62% 4 10% 8% 2	2280
	21st to end	Day	23% 60% 3 9% 3 1	2001
October	1st to 10th	Day	23% 38% 5% 10% 21% 4	3160
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 37% 4 19% 20% 9%	3140
	21st to end	Day	7% 36% 7% 21% 18% 10%	3428
November	1st to 10th	Day	16% 58% 5% 11% 8% 3	1826
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 60% 3 10% 11% 3	1710
	21st to end	Day	14% 60% 3 13% 9% 1	1529
December	1st to 10th	Day	20% 61% 4 9% 3 3	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 48% 4 19% 8% 3	1906
	21st to end	Day	27% 42% 8% 17% 6%	2772
January	1st to 10th	Night	25% 38% 5% 17% 12% 4	4302
	11th to 20th	Night	25% 37% 4 17% 13% 3	4120
	21st to end	Night	30% 40% 4 16% 9% 1	4532
February	1st to 10th	Night	16% 66% 5% 9% 3 1	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 63% 2 8% 8% 2	2336
	21st to end	Night	15% 65% 4 8% 5% 2	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	32% 44% 6% 12% 6% 1	3462
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 42% 6% 19% 17% 3	3480
	21st to end	Night	23% 41% 4 14% 14% 3	3755
April	1st to 10th	Night	15% 65% 3 7% 8% 1	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 66% 5% 9% 6% 1	1875
	21st to end	Night	15% 66% 4 8% 6% 1	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	33% 44% 6% 11% 5% 1	2978
	11th to 20th	Night	32% 44% 8% 13% 3	2638
	21st to end	Night	19% 43% 10% 16% 9% 2	2739
June	1st to 10th	Night	14% 67% 5% 8% 7%	1520
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 67% 6% 9% 6% 1	1520
	21st to end	Night	11% 66% 6% 9% 7% 1	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	23% 41% 17% 10% 7% 1	2480
	11th to 20th	Night	26% 39% 15% 15% 4	2655
	21st to end	Night	33% 38% 8% 12% 9%	2988
August	1st to 10th	Night	33% 40% 11% 12% 3	2814
	11th to 20th	Night	26% 41% 9% 15% 8%	2986
	21st to end	Night	17% 38% 6% 21% 17%	3476
September	1st to 10th	Night	15% 62% 6% 10% 4 2	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 61% 5% 10% 8% 1	1900
	21st to end	Night	22% 62% 4 9% 4	2175
October	1st to 10th	Night	26% 38% 7% 12% 13% 5%	3800
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 36% 7% 13% 25% 8%	3779
	21st to end	Night	9% 37% 6% 23% 18% 8%	4120
November	1st to 10th	Night	15% 58% 5% 11% 8% 3	2372
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 59% 3 8% 12% 4	2470
	21st to end	Night	11% 60% 6% 12% 10% 1	2649
December	1st to 10th	Night	21% 60% 5% 9% 3 2	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 49% 4 13% 11% 4	3288
	21st to end	Night	26% 42% 10% 14% 6%	4884

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	25% 23% 32% 15% 4	213
	11th to 20th	Day	28% 27% 29% 14% 3	270
	21st to end	Day	22% 23% 38% 12% 4	297
February	1st to 10th	Day	21% 24% 37% 14% 3	270
	11th to 20th	Day	29% 25% 34% 10% 1	337
	21st to end	Day	29% 22% 30% 16% 3	382
March	1st to 10th	Day	22% 23% 32% 18% 3	460
	11th to 20th	Day	24% 22% 34% 15% 5% 1	460
	21st to end	Day	22% 19% 35% 19% 5% 1	506
April	1st to 10th	Day	20% 22% 32% 21% 5% 1	460
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 20% 31% 21% 10% 2	452
	21st to end	Day	22% 17% 32% 21% 7% 1	460
May	1st to 10th	Day	23% 16% 30% 19% 10% 2	463
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 10% 32% 25% 11% 2	487
	21st to end	Day	16% 8% 27% 26% 18% 5%	529
June	1st to 10th	Day	10% 10% 29% 27% 19% 5%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 8% 27% 32% 17% 5%	490
	21st to end	Day	9% 6% 29% 35% 17% 4	490
July	1st to 10th	Day	11% 4 19% 35% 23% 8%	485
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 1 17% 40% 26% 9%	484
	21st to end	Day	9% 4 23% 35% 22% 7%	532
August	1st to 10th	Day	10% 5% 22% 32% 24% 8%	486
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 3 22% 33% 24% 8%	479
	21st to end	Day	8% 5% 22% 31% 21% 13%	539
September	1st to 10th	Day	14% 5% 22% 27% 18% 14%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 7% 21% 33% 17% 10%	490
	21st to end	Day	24% 11% 25% 26% 10% 4	490
October	1st to 10th	Day	19% 8% 24% 26% 17% 6%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 13% 26% 29% 13% 3	490
	21st to end	Day	15% 12% 36% 24% 9% 3	539
November	1st to 10th	Day	16% 11% 33% 25% 12% 3	436
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 19% 31% 21% 9% 2	370
	21st to end	Day	21% 20% 29% 19% 11% 1	189
December	1st to 10th	Day	18% 22% 39% 14% 6% 1	180
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 24% 28% 22% 6%	180
	21st to end	Day	25% 18% 30% 21% 5% 1	198
January	1st to 10th	Night	21% 22% 37% 18% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 18% 32% 23% 4	760
	21st to end	Night	21% 19% 38% 21% 2	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	19% 17% 37% 25% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	25% 22% 37% 14% 2	743
	21st to end	Night	24% 19% 36% 18% 3	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	21% 16% 38% 23% 2	760
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 17% 36% 19% 6%	760
	21st to end	Night	19% 16% 40% 21% 4	836
April	1st to 10th	Night	19% 20% 37% 21% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 14% 37% 27% 7%	751
	21st to end	Night	20% 12% 34% 27% 8%	760
May	1st to 10th	Night	18% 12% 33% 27% 10%	656
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 7% 33% 33% 10%	464
	21st to end	Night	14% 4 25% 36% 20% 1	411
June	1st to 10th	Night	12% 2 27% 38% 21% 1	380
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 6% 22% 39% 20% 2	380
	21st to end	Night	8% 4 25% 46% 15% 2	380
July	1st to 10th	Night	8% 3 21% 40% 26% 2	370
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 2 14% 43% 32% 4	473
	21st to end	Night	7% 2 20% 40% 28% 3	624
August	1st to 10th	Night	10% 2 15% 42% 28% 3	567
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 3 17% 42% 24% 2	660
	21st to end	Night	12% 2 17% 36% 28% 5%	836
September	1st to 10th	Night	16% 2 18% 34% 26% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 4 17% 38% 26% 4	760
	21st to end	Night	23% 6% 23% 31% 17% 1	760
October	1st to 10th	Night	18% 7% 23% 29% 18% 5%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 12% 27% 28% 16% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	17% 11% 32% 27% 13% 1	836
November	1st to 10th	Night	15% 10% 35% 28% 11% 2	764
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 16% 31% 26% 8%	760
	21st to end	Night	16% 16% 32% 27% 9% 1	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	21% 16% 33% 20% 9% 1	760
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 14% 39% 23% 5%	760
	21st to end	Night	20% 13% 35% 28% 4	836

Page generated at 2024-11-03 13:19:04. Version ac07

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