NovaLab Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the NovaLab Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-12-02.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	13% 6% 2 6% 4 4 5% 4 6% 8% 43%	101451
	Night	14% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 5% 7% 44%	98141
Transparency	Day	38% 6% 12% 22% 18% 5%	105127
	Night	39% 5% 10% 20% 20% 6%	102604
Seeing	Day	16% 8% 23% 25% 20% 10%	15422
	Night	16% 7% 24% 31% 19% 3	25513

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	18% 5% 2 4 3 2 2 2 4 5% 51%	2836
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 6% 2 4 3 3 3 2 4 4 53%	2840
	21st to end	Day	23% 7% 2 5% 3 3 4 2 4 5% 42%	3124
February	1st to 10th	Day	13% 7% 3 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 7% 42%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 6% 3 5% 3 3 3 3 4 6% 45%	1772
	21st to end	Day	19% 8% 2 7% 4 3 4 3 4 5% 41%	1642
March	1st to 10th	Day	23% 7% 2 6% 3 3 4 3 4 6% 38%	3435
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 4 2 4 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 54%	3480
	21st to end	Day	20% 7% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 4 5% 44%	3815
April	1st to 10th	Day	10% 3 2 4 3 3 4 4 6% 8% 53%	2118
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 5% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 7% 48%	2254
	21st to end	Day	13% 5% 2 5% 4 4 5% 3 5% 7% 47%	2392
May	1st to 10th	Day	11% 7% 2 7% 5% 5% 6% 5% 7% 10% 35%	4082
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 7% 3 7% 4 4 5% 4 6% 8% 35%	4081
	21st to end	Day	7% 4 2 6% 4 5% 4 4 6% 9% 48%	4476
June	1st to 10th	Day	8% 6% 2 7% 4 5% 6% 5% 7% 10% 41%	2470
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 5% 2 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 7% 11% 42%	2470
	21st to end	Day	6% 4 2 7% 5% 6% 6% 5% 8% 11% 39%	2470
July	1st to 10th	Day	7% 5% 2 7% 6% 5% 7% 5% 8% 10% 37%	4120
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 7% 3 7% 6% 5% 7% 6% 8% 12% 33%	4120
	21st to end	Day	11% 9% 3 9% 6% 6% 7% 5% 8% 11% 26%	4466
August	1st to 10th	Day	18% 7% 2 7% 5% 5% 6% 5% 8% 10% 27%	4104
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 5% 3 7% 6% 7% 7% 5% 8% 9% 35%	4044
	21st to end	Day	5% 4 2 5% 4 4 5% 4 6% 10% 50%	4212
September	1st to 10th	Day	8% 5% 2 6% 5% 5% 4 4 6% 9% 46%	2180
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 6% 2 5% 5% 3 4 3 6% 8% 43%	2090
	21st to end	Day	19% 7% 2 6% 4 4 5% 3 5% 6% 40%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	14% 5% 1 4 3 3 3 2 4 6% 55%	1943
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 5% 2 5% 3 3 3 2 3 5% 58%	1900
	21st to end	Day	13% 5% 1 6% 2 2 3 2 4 4 56%	2090
November	1st to 10th	Day	14% 5% 2 5% 2 2 3 3 4 6% 54%	1957
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 3 4 6% 53%	1872
	21st to end	Day	14% 6% 2 4 3 3 4 3 5% 6% 50%	1800
December	1st to 10th	Day	18% 7% 2 5% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 41%	1719
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 5% 1 4 3 2 3 2 5% 6% 53%	2153
	21st to end	Day	17% 7% 2 5% 3 4 4 4 5% 7% 42%	3124
January	1st to 10th	Night	16% 6% 2 5% 4 4 3 3 4 5% 48%	4109
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 7% 2 5% 4 4 4 3 4 5% 49%	4120
	21st to end	Night	22% 8% 2 5% 3 3 3 2 4 5% 44%	4532
February	1st to 10th	Night	16% 6% 2 5% 3 4 4 3 5% 5% 46%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 6% 2 5% 3 3 4 3 4 5% 44%	2291
	21st to end	Night	16% 6% 3 5% 4 4 3 4 4 7% 45%	1810
March	1st to 10th	Night	22% 8% 3 6% 4 4 3 3 5% 5% 37%	3418
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 5% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 4 7% 53%	3480
	21st to end	Night	19% 5% 1 5% 4 4 4 3 5% 5% 46%	3817
April	1st to 10th	Night	12% 5% 2 5% 4 4 4 3 5% 7% 48%	2060
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 5% 2 5% 4 4 4 3 6% 7% 49%	1875
	21st to end	Night	13% 4 3 6% 5% 3 4 3 5% 7% 47%	1802
May	1st to 10th	Night	14% 7% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 8% 43%	2813
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 8% 3 8% 5% 4 4 3 5% 7% 38%	2812
	21st to end	Night	8% 5% 2 5% 4 4 5% 4 7% 11% 45%	3079
June	1st to 10th	Night	10% 5% 2 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 8% 11% 38%	1710
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 7% 2 7% 5% 4 5% 4 7% 13% 38%	1710
	21st to end	Night	7% 6% 2 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 8% 10% 38%	1710
July	1st to 10th	Night	8% 7% 3 9% 6% 7% 7% 6% 8% 9% 31%	2840
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 6% 3 7% 6% 5% 7% 6% 8% 11% 32%	2840
	21st to end	Night	13% 9% 4 9% 6% 6% 6% 6% 8% 10% 24%	3087
August	1st to 10th	Night	19% 9% 4 9% 6% 5% 5% 5% 7% 10% 23%	2825
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 7% 3 8% 6% 6% 6% 5% 7% 9% 34%	2785
	21st to end	Night	5% 4 2 6% 4 4 5% 4 6% 9% 51%	3411
September	1st to 10th	Night	9% 5% 2 6% 5% 6% 4 4 6% 8% 45%	1995
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 6% 2 7% 4 4 4 4 6% 7% 41%	2090
	21st to end	Night	16% 7% 2 6% 5% 4 5% 4 6% 6% 39%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	13% 6% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 5% 6% 49%	2237
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 6% 2 4 3 3 3 3 6% 5% 54%	2280
	21st to end	Night	12% 5% 2 5% 3 3 3 2 3 5% 56%	2508
November	1st to 10th	Night	15% 5% 2 5% 3 3 3 2 5% 5% 54%	2341
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 5% 2 4 3 4 4 4 4 6% 51%	2525
	21st to end	Night	13% 5% 2 4 3 3 4 4 5% 7% 51%	2600
December	1st to 10th	Night	19% 7% 3 5% 4 4 3 3 4 5% 43%	2495
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 6% 2 4 3 3 3 3 4 5% 50%	3042
	21st to end	Night	20% 5% 2 4 3 3 4 4 5% 7% 43%	4532

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	36% 3 4 28% 22% 6%	2837
	11th to 20th	Day	36% 3 5% 18% 32% 6%	2840
	21st to end	Day	46% 3 4 18% 23% 5%	3124
February	1st to 10th	Day	40% 5% 10% 21% 20% 5%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	42% 4 7% 21% 20% 6%	1781
	21st to end	Day	47% 4 8% 16% 19% 6%	1642
March	1st to 10th	Day	47% 5% 6% 17% 16% 9%	3435
	11th to 20th	Day	31% 5% 8% 20% 24% 13%	3480
	21st to end	Day	43% 4 7% 22% 21% 3	3815
April	1st to 10th	Day	29% 4 12% 24% 25% 7%	2118
	11th to 20th	Day	35% 4 10% 20% 22% 8%	2254
	21st to end	Day	36% 6% 11% 26% 18% 4	2392
May	1st to 10th	Day	43% 7% 16% 20% 12% 2	4120
	11th to 20th	Day	46% 7% 12% 21% 13% 1	4085
	21st to end	Day	31% 7% 15% 23% 20% 4	4489
June	1st to 10th	Day	36% 8% 16% 25% 14% 1	2470
	11th to 20th	Day	35% 7% 19% 22% 15% 2	2470
	21st to end	Day	35% 10% 17% 22% 14% 2	2470
July	1st to 10th	Day	38% 10% 19% 19% 12% 2	4055
	11th to 20th	Day	40% 10% 23% 21% 5% 1	4051
	21st to end	Day	50% 10% 14% 18% 8% 1	4324
August	1st to 10th	Day	49% 8% 18% 19% 5%	4091
	11th to 20th	Day	41% 8% 21% 19% 10% 2	4083
	21st to end	Day	28% 7% 15% 34% 14% 2	4212
September	1st to 10th	Day	33% 7% 14% 22% 19% 4	2180
	11th to 20th	Day	39% 7% 13% 18% 21% 3	2090
	21st to end	Day	45% 5% 9% 20% 17% 4	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	30% 4 7% 21% 28% 11%	3229
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 2 5% 20% 26% 26%	3140
	21st to end	Day	26% 3 6% 25% 23% 17%	3428
November	1st to 10th	Day	33% 3 7% 22% 27% 8%	1957
	11th to 20th	Day	32% 3 6% 24% 28% 7%	1872
	21st to end	Day	36% 3 8% 22% 25% 6%	1800
December	1st to 10th	Day	44% 4 9% 21% 18% 4	1719
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 2 8% 21% 27% 9%	2150
	21st to end	Day	41% 5% 7% 25% 19% 2	3124
January	1st to 10th	Night	38% 5% 6% 19% 26% 6%	4109
	11th to 20th	Night	38% 4 6% 17% 29% 6%	4120
	21st to end	Night	45% 2 5% 17% 24% 7%	4532
February	1st to 10th	Night	40% 4 9% 21% 21% 5%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	43% 3 7% 17% 22% 7%	2293
	21st to end	Night	40% 4 10% 19% 20% 6%	1810
March	1st to 10th	Night	49% 5% 7% 16% 17% 6%	3418
	11th to 20th	Night	32% 4 6% 17% 24% 15%	3480
	21st to end	Night	41% 4 6% 22% 20% 7%	3817
April	1st to 10th	Night	35% 4 9% 20% 25% 7%	2060
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 4 9% 21% 23% 8%	1875
	21st to end	Night	37% 4 12% 22% 20% 4	1802
May	1st to 10th	Night	41% 6% 15% 23% 14% 2	2840
	11th to 20th	Night	46% 6% 11% 20% 16% 1	2813
	21st to end	Night	31% 8% 12% 30% 17% 1	3087
June	1st to 10th	Night	38% 8% 16% 23% 13% 2	1710
	11th to 20th	Night	37% 7% 19% 22% 14% 1	1710
	21st to end	Night	37% 11% 15% 20% 13% 4	1710
July	1st to 10th	Night	46% 10% 15% 15% 13% 2	2795
	11th to 20th	Night	41% 11% 24% 17% 5% 1	2786
	21st to end	Night	53% 9% 15% 17% 6%	2988
August	1st to 10th	Night	54% 8% 18% 14% 5%	2814
	11th to 20th	Night	43% 9% 21% 17% 9% 1	2812
	21st to end	Night	28% 7% 14% 28% 20% 3	3411
September	1st to 10th	Night	35% 7% 15% 20% 17% 5%	1995
	11th to 20th	Night	42% 8% 11% 18% 20% 2	2090
	21st to end	Night	43% 7% 11% 16% 18% 4	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	36% 5% 8% 19% 25% 8%	3731
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 2 6% 21% 28% 20%	3779
	21st to end	Night	28% 2 5% 23% 25% 16%	4120
November	1st to 10th	Night	35% 4 7% 20% 24% 11%	2341
	11th to 20th	Night	35% 4 6% 18% 27% 10%	2525
	21st to end	Night	33% 4 6% 24% 27% 7%	2600
December	1st to 10th	Night	44% 3 8% 20% 19% 5%	2495
	11th to 20th	Night	38% 4 8% 18% 24% 9%	3044
	21st to end	Night	40% 4 8% 22% 23% 3	4532

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	21% 18% 33% 22% 5%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	26% 17% 33% 18% 6% 1	270
	21st to end	Day	20% 14% 41% 19% 6%	297
February	1st to 10th	Day	18% 19% 36% 17% 10%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	29% 17% 39% 11% 4	270
	21st to end	Day	28% 18% 31% 17% 5% 1	297
March	1st to 10th	Day	21% 12% 33% 26% 8% 1	460
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 12% 42% 21% 7%	460
	21st to end	Day	20% 12% 37% 22% 7% 1	506
April	1st to 10th	Day	18% 15% 30% 24% 12% 2	460
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 15% 27% 21% 17% 4	452
	21st to end	Day	18% 8% 30% 23% 16% 5%	460
May	1st to 10th	Day	14% 9% 31% 23% 15% 7%	463
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 6% 20% 27% 21% 11%	487
	21st to end	Day	14% 4 15% 26% 29% 12%	529
June	1st to 10th	Day	9% 4 15% 31% 28% 12%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 3 17% 25% 27% 19%	490
	21st to end	Day	9% 2 12% 32% 29% 17%	490
July	1st to 10th	Day	9% 2 9% 25% 31% 24%	485
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 1 8% 28% 31% 24%	484
	21st to end	Day	8% 2 9% 30% 32% 19%	532
August	1st to 10th	Day	14% 2 15% 21% 30% 18%	486
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 2 8% 28% 31% 20%	479
	21st to end	Day	10% 2 9% 24% 30% 24%	539
September	1st to 10th	Day	10% 2 11% 25% 32% 20%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 3 12% 22% 27% 20%	490
	21st to end	Day	21% 5% 18% 26% 22% 8%	490
October	1st to 10th	Day	18% 5% 15% 27% 23% 12%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 7% 24% 27% 24% 8%	490
	21st to end	Day	15% 8% 21% 30% 19% 7%	539
November	1st to 10th	Day	20% 6% 25% 26% 17% 4	495
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 10% 35% 23% 12% 3	372
	21st to end	Day	14% 8% 35% 25% 14% 4	300
December	1st to 10th	Day	23% 10% 36% 23% 7% 1	273
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 11% 32% 23% 12% 1	270
	21st to end	Day	22% 14% 30% 23% 10% 2	297
January	1st to 10th	Night	21% 13% 33% 27% 6%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 11% 36% 28% 5%	760
	21st to end	Night	19% 10% 39% 30% 3	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	19% 11% 36% 31% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	24% 15% 38% 21% 2	743
	21st to end	Night	20% 15% 36% 25% 4	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	19% 11% 34% 32% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 12% 35% 26% 8% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	20% 9% 36% 29% 6%	836
April	1st to 10th	Night	16% 13% 33% 29% 9%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 13% 28% 30% 14%	751
	21st to end	Night	15% 6% 29% 37% 12%	662
May	1st to 10th	Night	13% 7% 30% 34% 15% 1	570
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 5% 21% 36% 22% 2	561
	21st to end	Night	13% 3 10% 36% 35% 3	617
June	1st to 10th	Night	11% 2 12% 39% 32% 3	570
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 3 14% 29% 35% 7%	570
	21st to end	Night	8% 2 11% 38% 38% 3	570
July	1st to 10th	Night	7% 3 9% 30% 43% 8%	555
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 2 5% 31% 44% 9%	552
	21st to end	Night	8% 1 9% 34% 39% 8%	624
August	1st to 10th	Night	13% 1 11% 29% 38% 8%	567
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 2 7% 30% 41% 7%	564
	21st to end	Night	10% 2 7% 31% 43% 7%	797
September	1st to 10th	Night	11% 2 9% 30% 41% 7%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 3 12% 24% 38% 6%	760
	21st to end	Night	19% 3 16% 33% 26% 3	760
October	1st to 10th	Night	15% 6% 16% 30% 27% 7%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 6% 22% 34% 19% 2	760
	21st to end	Night	14% 7% 24% 32% 20% 2	836
November	1st to 10th	Night	17% 6% 23% 34% 18% 2	780
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 9% 29% 35% 12%	800
	21st to end	Night	15% 7% 30% 34% 13% 1	800
December	1st to 10th	Night	22% 9% 29% 32% 8%	768
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 7% 29% 34% 9% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	25% 9% 26% 32% 7%	836

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