The Observatory on the Lake
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the The Observatory on the Lake clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-09-14.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	16% 10% 3 8% 5% 4 4 4 5% 7% 34%	101061
	Night	18% 10% 3 8% 5% 4 4 4 5% 6% 33%	96840
Transparency	Day	49% 6% 12% 21% 10% 1	100819
	Night	51% 6% 12% 20% 10% 1	96702
Seeing	Day	23% 16% 31% 20% 9% 3	14325
	Night	23% 13% 30% 24% 9% 1	23465

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover NE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	16% 16% 4 9% 6% 5% 4 3 4 5% 28%	2517
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 16% 8% 14% 7% 5% 5% 3 4 4 20%	2520
	21st to end	Day	17% 20% 8% 13% 6% 4 5% 3 3 4 17%	3028
February	1st to 10th	Day	17% 14% 4 12% 7% 5% 4 3 5% 5% 22%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 16% 5% 11% 6% 5% 4 4 5% 4 26%	1663
	21st to end	Day	20% 15% 5% 8% 6% 6% 5% 3 4 5% 24%	1555
March	1st to 10th	Day	22% 12% 3 9% 6% 4 3 2 4 4 30%	3204
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 17% 5% 10% 6% 5% 4 3 4 5% 31%	3480
	21st to end	Day	14% 9% 3 8% 4 4 3 3 5% 6% 41%	3967
April	1st to 10th	Day	21% 13% 3 7% 4 4 3 3 3 5% 32%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 10% 2 5% 4 4 3 2 4 6% 37%	2254
	21st to end	Day	21% 10% 3 8% 5% 4 4 3 5% 6% 32%	2379
May	1st to 10th	Day	20% 9% 3 8% 4 5% 5% 3 6% 6% 31%	4411
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 9% 3 8% 5% 4 5% 4 6% 8% 33%	4398
	21st to end	Day	13% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 7% 8% 41%	4837
June	1st to 10th	Day	19% 9% 3 6% 4 5% 5% 4 6% 7% 32%	2660
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 6% 3 6% 5% 4 5% 4 6% 9% 38%	2660
	21st to end	Day	17% 7% 3 6% 5% 5% 4 4 6% 8% 35%	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	11% 6% 2 6% 4 4 6% 5% 7% 10% 39%	4440
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 5% 2 5% 3 4 4 4 6% 11% 42%	4440
	21st to end	Day	9% 6% 2 6% 4 5% 6% 4 7% 9% 40%	4814
August	1st to 10th	Day	17% 8% 2 7% 4 4 4 4 6% 8% 37%	4202
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 6% 2 6% 4 4 5% 4 7% 9% 36%	4018
	21st to end	Day	14% 5% 3 5% 4 4 4 4 6% 10% 41%	4180
September	1st to 10th	Day	13% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 7% 7% 43%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 6% 2 5% 4 3 4 3 5% 8% 49%	2198
	21st to end	Day	17% 7% 2 5% 4 4 4 4 6% 7% 40%	1907
October	1st to 10th	Day	21% 8% 3 6% 4 4 4 4 4 7% 36%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 8% 3 8% 5% 4 5% 3 5% 8% 30%	1800
	21st to end	Day	27% 11% 3 7% 4 5% 4 3 5% 6% 26%	1890
November	1st to 10th	Day	16% 9% 3 7% 5% 4 5% 4 5% 7% 34%	1671
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 12% 3 10% 6% 5% 3 3 5% 7% 31%	1520
	21st to end	Day	21% 13% 4 8% 5% 5% 4 4 6% 5% 24%	1520
December	1st to 10th	Day	22% 16% 4 10% 6% 4 5% 3 4 5% 21%	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 15% 5% 10% 6% 4 4 3 4 5% 23%	1906
	21st to end	Day	27% 16% 6% 9% 5% 4 3 2 3 4 20%	2772
January	1st to 10th	Night	18% 14% 4 10% 6% 6% 5% 4 5% 6% 23%	4429
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 14% 5% 14% 7% 7% 5% 4 5% 5% 19%	4440
	21st to end	Night	21% 16% 6% 11% 5% 5% 4 3 4 4 21%	4626
February	1st to 10th	Night	17% 15% 3 11% 6% 6% 6% 3 5% 5% 24%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 13% 5% 10% 6% 4 4 3 5% 6% 30%	2403
	21st to end	Night	18% 12% 4 8% 6% 5% 4 4 5% 5% 30%	1898
March	1st to 10th	Night	19% 10% 5% 7% 5% 5% 4 3 5% 5% 33%	3633
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 15% 5% 8% 4 4 4 3 4 6% 27%	3479
	21st to end	Night	16% 9% 3 7% 4 3 3 3 5% 7% 41%	3663
April	1st to 10th	Night	21% 10% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 5% 5% 34%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 8% 3 7% 5% 4 4 3 5% 5% 38%	1875
	21st to end	Night	21% 9% 3 7% 5% 5% 4 3 6% 6% 33%	1818
May	1st to 10th	Night	22% 11% 3 7% 4 4 4 4 6% 6% 30%	2528
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 9% 3 6% 4 4 6% 3 5% 7% 35%	2495
	21st to end	Night	13% 6% 2 5% 4 4 5% 4 7% 8% 41%	2738
June	1st to 10th	Night	16% 7% 2 7% 6% 4 5% 4 7% 9% 33%	1520
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 5% 2 6% 5% 5% 4 3 6% 10% 42%	1520
	21st to end	Night	16% 5% 3 7% 4 5% 4 4 6% 8% 37%	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	11% 5% 2 8% 5% 6% 6% 5% 6% 8% 39%	2520
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 6% 3 5% 3 2 4 4 6% 8% 45%	2520
	21st to end	Night	10% 6% 2 5% 4 4 4 4 7% 8% 46%	2739
August	1st to 10th	Night	11% 7% 3 6% 5% 4 4 4 6% 7% 44%	2723
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 7% 2 6% 4 3 3 4 5% 8% 44%	2785
	21st to end	Night	9% 4 2 7% 5% 5% 5% 5% 7% 10% 41%	3468
September	1st to 10th	Night	12% 6% 2 7% 4 3 4 3 5% 7% 48%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 6% 1 5% 3 3 3 3 6% 7% 51%	1840
	21st to end	Night	17% 5% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 43%	2048
October	1st to 10th	Night	18% 8% 3 7% 4 5% 4 4 5% 6% 36%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 8% 3 7% 6% 4 5% 3 5% 6% 32%	2160
	21st to end	Night	23% 9% 3 9% 5% 4 4 4 5% 6% 28%	2466
November	1st to 10th	Night	19% 9% 3 7% 3 3 4 3 5% 6% 38%	2407
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 10% 3 6% 4 4 5% 4 6% 7% 34%	2657
	21st to end	Night	21% 12% 3 8% 5% 5% 6% 4 5% 5% 27%	2660
December	1st to 10th	Night	20% 16% 4 9% 6% 4 4 4 5% 6% 22%	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 14% 5% 9% 5% 4 4 3 4 5% 28%	3288
	21st to end	Night	30% 15% 4 8% 5% 4 4 3 4 5% 18%	4884

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	57% 8% 13% 14% 6% 2	2518
	11th to 20th	Day	66% 7% 11% 9% 6%	2520
	21st to end	Day	71% 6% 8% 9% 5% 1	3028
February	1st to 10th	Day	63% 6% 9% 16% 5% 1	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	60% 5% 10% 14% 10% 1	1672
	21st to end	Day	63% 5% 10% 12% 9% 1	1555
March	1st to 10th	Day	58% 4 11% 17% 9% 1	3207
	11th to 20th	Day	55% 5% 16% 12% 10% 2	3480
	21st to end	Day	43% 5% 9% 25% 15% 4	3967
April	1st to 10th	Day	55% 4 8% 17% 13% 3	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	49% 4 8% 21% 15% 2	2254
	21st to end	Day	54% 5% 8% 17% 12% 4	2379
May	1st to 10th	Day	51% 7% 10% 21% 10% 2	4425
	11th to 20th	Day	48% 8% 12% 21% 9% 1	4402
	21st to end	Day	38% 8% 14% 25% 14% 2	4837
June	1st to 10th	Day	48% 8% 12% 18% 12% 1	2660
	11th to 20th	Day	41% 6% 12% 25% 13% 2	2660
	21st to end	Day	45% 8% 14% 21% 11% 1	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	38% 7% 15% 27% 13% 1	4370
	11th to 20th	Day	35% 6% 17% 32% 9%	4365
	21st to end	Day	38% 7% 15% 29% 10%	4661
August	1st to 10th	Day	45% 6% 15% 24% 10% 1	4188
	11th to 20th	Day	42% 7% 15% 26% 9%	4057
	21st to end	Day	38% 5% 16% 29% 11%	4180
September	1st to 10th	Day	38% 6% 15% 28% 12% 1	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	35% 5% 14% 30% 16% 1	2198
	21st to end	Day	43% 7% 13% 28% 9%	1907
October	1st to 10th	Day	48% 5% 13% 22% 12% 1	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	52% 7% 16% 19% 6% 1	1800
	21st to end	Day	59% 6% 9% 18% 8%	1890
November	1st to 10th	Day	48% 8% 13% 21% 9% 1	1671
	11th to 20th	Day	54% 6% 11% 18% 10% 1	1520
	21st to end	Day	60% 7% 13% 11% 9%	1520
December	1st to 10th	Day	66% 5% 12% 12% 5% 1	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	63% 6% 15% 12% 4	1906
	21st to end	Day	69% 4 8% 14% 5%	2772
January	1st to 10th	Night	61% 8% 14% 12% 5%	4429
	11th to 20th	Night	64% 9% 11% 11% 5% 1	4440
	21st to end	Night	67% 6% 10% 11% 6% 1	4626
February	1st to 10th	Night	62% 6% 10% 16% 6%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	56% 4 10% 19% 10%	2405
	21st to end	Night	56% 6% 10% 18% 9% 1	1898
March	1st to 10th	Night	53% 5% 9% 22% 10% 1	3643
	11th to 20th	Night	57% 6% 13% 15% 9% 1	3480
	21st to end	Night	43% 3 10% 23% 19% 3	3663
April	1st to 10th	Night	51% 5% 7% 20% 14% 2	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	49% 5% 9% 18% 18% 2	1875
	21st to end	Night	52% 4 9% 15% 16% 3	1818
May	1st to 10th	Night	53% 6% 10% 17% 12% 3	2534
	11th to 20th	Night	46% 9% 11% 22% 9% 2	2496
	21st to end	Night	38% 7% 12% 20% 21% 2	2739
June	1st to 10th	Night	46% 8% 12% 21% 12% 1	1520
	11th to 20th	Night	37% 6% 14% 21% 19% 2	1520
	21st to end	Night	44% 9% 12% 21% 13% 1	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	41% 6% 12% 22% 18% 1	2480
	11th to 20th	Night	36% 6% 13% 34% 12%	2472
	21st to end	Night	35% 7% 16% 28% 12% 2	2651
August	1st to 10th	Night	38% 7% 13% 27% 13% 1	2713
	11th to 20th	Night	38% 6% 14% 32% 10% 1	2812
	21st to end	Night	35% 8% 16% 29% 11% 1	3468
September	1st to 10th	Night	36% 6% 13% 30% 14% 1	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	31% 5% 15% 34% 14% 1	1840
	21st to end	Night	40% 6% 10% 31% 12% 1	2048
October	1st to 10th	Night	47% 7% 10% 20% 14% 1	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	51% 6% 14% 20% 8% 1	2160
	21st to end	Night	56% 7% 14% 13% 10% 1	2466
November	1st to 10th	Night	46% 6% 14% 22% 11% 1	2407
	11th to 20th	Night	49% 7% 13% 18% 11% 2	2657
	21st to end	Night	57% 7% 13% 16% 6%	2660
December	1st to 10th	Night	62% 6% 12% 14% 5%	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	59% 5% 12% 15% 7% 1	3288
	21st to end	Night	69% 5% 11% 12% 3	4884

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	27% 20% 33% 14% 5% 1	180
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 18% 32% 14% 2 1	180
	21st to end	Day	28% 19% 31% 18% 4	270
February	1st to 10th	Day	34% 26% 29% 10% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	30% 27% 35% 8%	270
	21st to end	Day	34% 20% 31% 12% 2	367
March	1st to 10th	Day	25% 21% 33% 17% 5%	460
	11th to 20th	Day	28% 21% 32% 15% 4	460
	21st to end	Day	32% 21% 28% 12% 6% 1	506
April	1st to 10th	Day	30% 20% 32% 13% 5%	460
	11th to 20th	Day	32% 23% 22% 12% 8% 3	452
	21st to end	Day	28% 24% 29% 12% 6% 2	460
May	1st to 10th	Day	24% 15% 30% 23% 7% 2	463
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 14% 35% 21% 8% 2	487
	21st to end	Day	16% 16% 31% 25% 9% 2	529
June	1st to 10th	Day	23% 12% 34% 21% 7% 2	490
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 15% 33% 22% 11% 2	490
	21st to end	Day	20% 14% 33% 21% 10% 2	490
July	1st to 10th	Day	14% 10% 28% 30% 15% 3	485
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 9% 31% 27% 14% 5%	484
	21st to end	Day	13% 7% 36% 30% 11% 4	532
August	1st to 10th	Day	14% 8% 31% 27% 16% 3	486
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 6% 29% 29% 16% 6%	479
	21st to end	Day	14% 10% 32% 26% 11% 8%	539
September	1st to 10th	Day	14% 10% 31% 26% 12% 7%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 11% 25% 24% 17% 11%	463
	21st to end	Day	16% 14% 29% 24% 14% 3	450
October	1st to 10th	Day	28% 16% 24% 16% 12% 4	450
	11th to 20th	Day	24% 23% 30% 15% 6% 1	450
	21st to end	Day	32% 18% 25% 21% 4	450
November	1st to 10th	Day	25% 18% 28% 19% 8% 1	365
	11th to 20th	Day	28% 17% 34% 12% 6% 2	180
	21st to end	Day	23% 25% 34% 12% 4 1	180
December	1st to 10th	Day	32% 22% 30% 12% 4	180
	11th to 20th	Day	28% 24% 36% 9% 3	180
	21st to end	Day	34% 21% 32% 11% 2	198
January	1st to 10th	Night	30% 16% 30% 18% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	29% 20% 28% 18% 5%	760
	21st to end	Night	22% 16% 35% 22% 5%	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	26% 18% 33% 20% 2	760
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 18% 39% 17% 3	743
	21st to end	Night	26% 20% 32% 18% 3	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	23% 18% 35% 21% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	28% 17% 30% 21% 4 1	760
	21st to end	Night	24% 14% 36% 19% 7%	836
April	1st to 10th	Night	25% 14% 36% 21% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 18% 34% 17% 8% 1	751
	21st to end	Night	26% 12% 30% 23% 9%	678
May	1st to 10th	Night	26% 8% 28% 25% 12% 1	394
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 10% 35% 32% 8%	374
	21st to end	Night	12% 8% 36% 30% 12% 1	411
June	1st to 10th	Night	16% 8% 33% 32% 11% 1	380
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 8% 31% 33% 13% 1	380
	21st to end	Night	18% 4 26% 39% 13%	380
July	1st to 10th	Night	10% 5% 27% 38% 19%	370
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 4 28% 37% 17% 1	368
	21st to end	Night	13% 3 27% 41% 15% 1	416
August	1st to 10th	Night	13% 3 25% 35% 23% 1	504
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 4 23% 33% 23% 3	564
	21st to end	Night	10% 6% 29% 35% 17% 2	828
September	1st to 10th	Night	15% 6% 28% 33% 15% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 7% 22% 27% 24% 6%	736
	21st to end	Night	18% 9% 25% 26% 18% 3	720
October	1st to 10th	Night	22% 13% 28% 19% 17% 2	720
	11th to 20th	Night	25% 15% 29% 22% 8% 1	720
	21st to end	Night	27% 15% 28% 24% 5%	792
November	1st to 10th	Night	25% 13% 30% 22% 9%	740
	11th to 20th	Night	25% 18% 31% 18% 8% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	29% 16% 30% 17% 7%	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	31% 18% 29% 19% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	27% 20% 33% 17% 3 1	760
	21st to end	Night	35% 16% 31% 17% 2	836

Page generated at 2024-09-11 10:00:04. Version ac07

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