Papoose Flat
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Papoose Flat clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-11-04.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	1 2 1 3 2 2 3 3 4 6% 72%	104950
	Night	1 3 1 3 2 2 3 3 4 6% 72%	102790
Transparency	Day	12% 3 6% 17% 30% 32%	104696
	Night	13% 3 7% 20% 31% 26%	102635
Seeing	Day	5% 11% 31% 32% 17% 3	15202
	Night	3 5% 27% 43% 20% 3	24787

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SW (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	1 2 1 3 2 3 4 5% 7% 9% 63%	2539
	11th to 20th	Day	1 3 2 4 3 3 4 4 8% 9% 59%	2550
	21st to end	Day	3 5% 2 4 2 3 3 4 7% 9% 59%	3206
February	1st to 10th	Day	1 3 1 3 2 2 3 2 4 9% 68%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	2 3 1 3 4 4 4 4 6% 9% 62%	1850
	21st to end	Day	1 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 7% 68%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	1 3 1 4 4 4 4 4 6% 9% 61%	3138
	11th to 20th	Day	1 3 1 3 3 3 4 3 6% 9% 63%	3274
	21st to end	Day	1 4 2 4 3 3 4 4 7% 8% 61%	4165
April	1st to 10th	Day	2 4 1 3 3 3 2 3 4 6% 68%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	2 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 7% 70%	2249
	21st to end	Day	2 2 1 3 3 2 4 3 5% 6% 70%	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	1 2 1 3 2 2 2 2 3 6% 75%	4069
	11th to 20th	Day	2 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 5% 5% 71%	4071
	21st to end	Day	2 2 1 3 3 2 3 2 3 4 74%	4587
June	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 1 3 3 3 3 3 6% 7% 66%	2660
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 3 2 2 2 2 4 5% 78%	2660
	21st to end	Day	1 2 3 2 2 3 2 3 3 79%	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 83%	4420
	11th to 20th	Day	1 2 1 3 3 3 3 3 4 6% 73%	4420
	21st to end	Day	1 2 1 2 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 71%	4676
August	1st to 10th	Day	2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 80%	3783
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 87%	3724
	21st to end	Day	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 87%	4180
September	1st to 10th	Day	2 1 1 2 2 3 2 2 3 4 78%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 3 4 82%	2154
	21st to end	Day	1 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 4 84%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	1 1 2 1 1 2 3 4 5% 79%	3490
	11th to 20th	Day	1 2 1 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 80%	3177
	21st to end	Day	1 1 2 2 2 2 2 5% 7% 77%	3262
November	1st to 10th	Day	1 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 6% 76%	1701
	11th to 20th	Day	1 1 2 1 1 2 3 4 7% 79%	1710
	21st to end	Day	2 2 2 2 3 3 3 6% 7% 70%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	1 2 1 2 2 3 4 2 5% 8% 70%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	1 6% 2 5% 4 3 4 4 6% 10% 56%	1961
	21st to end	Day	2 6% 3 6% 3 3 3 4 7% 8% 55%	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	1 3 2 5% 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 67%	4406
	11th to 20th	Night	3 2 5% 3 3 3 3 5% 8% 65%	4406
	21st to end	Night	2 6% 2 5% 2 3 4 4 7% 9% 56%	4459
February	1st to 10th	Night	2 3 2 3 2 3 3 3 6% 7% 65%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	1 3 1 3 3 2 3 3 6% 7% 68%	2218
	21st to end	Night	1 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 6% 7% 68%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	2 1 4 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 67%	3736
	11th to 20th	Night	1 3 1 4 3 4 5% 4 6% 9% 61%	3700
	21st to end	Night	1 2 1 3 3 3 4 4 6% 7% 66%	3488
April	1st to 10th	Night	2 3 1 4 3 3 3 3 4 7% 69%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	1 2 1 3 4 2 2 1 5% 6% 73%	1879
	21st to end	Night	1 2 1 3 3 2 2 3 4 6% 72%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 1 3 2 2 2 2 3 4 79%	2898
	11th to 20th	Night	2 3 1 4 3 2 3 3 4 6% 69%	2834
	21st to end	Night	2 3 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 78%	2991
June	1st to 10th	Night	1 2 1 3 3 3 3 2 5% 6% 71%	1520
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 2 2 2 3 2 3 5% 78%	1520
	21st to end	Night	1 1 2 1 2 2 2 3 4 83%	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 2 1 2 1 2 4 86%	2540
	11th to 20th	Night	1 3 2 4 3 3 3 2 3 5% 71%	2540
	21st to end	Night	1 2 1 3 3 3 2 2 4 4 75%	2871
August	1st to 10th	Night	1 2 1 3 2 2 3 2 3 4 78%	3166
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 90%	3126
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 88%	3498
September	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 3 87%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	1 2 1 2 1 1 1 2 3 4 82%	2024
	21st to end	Night	1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 3 4 83%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	1 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 4 80%	3490
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 84%	3745
	21st to end	Night	1 1 3 2 2 2 2 3 6% 78%	4299
November	1st to 10th	Night	2 2 1 2 2 2 3 7% 79%	2450
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 1 2 1 1 2 3 4 7% 76%	2470
	21st to end	Night	1 2 1 3 2 2 2 3 6% 8% 69%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 6% 7% 67%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	1 6% 2 5% 3 3 4 4 7% 10% 55%	3240
	21st to end	Night	3 6% 2 5% 4 3 5% 5% 6% 9% 53%	4862

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	12% 5% 10% 36% 30% 8%	2539
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 5% 19% 25% 25% 10%	2550
	21st to end	Day	19% 5% 14% 30% 27% 6%	3206
February	1st to 10th	Day	15% 3 9% 27% 28% 18%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 3 6% 27% 32% 15%	1860
	21st to end	Day	17% 3 8% 28% 32% 12%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	17% 5% 8% 27% 29% 15%	3138
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 4 10% 36% 26% 9%	3274
	21st to end	Day	17% 3 9% 29% 30% 12%	4165
April	1st to 10th	Day	16% 2 8% 28% 28% 18%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 3 7% 22% 35% 21%	2252
	21st to end	Day	13% 3 7% 26% 36% 15%	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	11% 2 3 18% 43% 23%	4069
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 4 4 14% 40% 27%	4074
	21st to end	Day	13% 2 3 14% 47% 21%	4587
June	1st to 10th	Day	15% 4 4 13% 31% 33%	2660
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 2 3 9% 26% 51%	2660
	21st to end	Day	9% 2 3 5% 19% 61%	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	9% 1 2 4 7% 77%	4351
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 3 5% 6% 19% 55%	4345
	21st to end	Day	13% 4 5% 15% 18% 45%	4528
August	1st to 10th	Day	11% 2 3 10% 32% 43%	3770
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 2 2 4 17% 71%	3760
	21st to end	Day	6% 1 2 4 24% 63%	4179
September	1st to 10th	Day	11% 3 3 6% 20% 57%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 2 2 10% 30% 48%	2154
	21st to end	Day	6% 1 2 9% 37% 44%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	9% 1 5% 9% 39% 37%	3490
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 1 3 7% 42% 36%	3177
	21st to end	Day	8% 1 3 11% 46% 31%	3262
November	1st to 10th	Day	10% 2 7% 22% 37% 24%	1701
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 1 7% 25% 42% 18%	1710
	21st to end	Day	13% 2 8% 25% 31% 21%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	14% 3 13% 28% 27% 16%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 6% 11% 26% 26% 10%	1961
	21st to end	Day	22% 5% 14% 29% 22% 8%	2794
January	1st to 10th	Night	17% 3 12% 31% 31% 7%	4406
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 4 14% 35% 22% 8%	4406
	21st to end	Night	21% 5% 16% 29% 23% 7%	4459
February	1st to 10th	Night	16% 3 11% 28% 26% 16%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 3 8% 25% 35% 14%	2219
	21st to end	Night	15% 4 9% 27% 35% 11%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	15% 6% 6% 26% 34% 12%	3736
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 5% 13% 30% 31% 7%	3700
	21st to end	Night	14% 3 11% 35% 32% 5%	3488
April	1st to 10th	Night	16% 3 9% 30% 28% 14%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 1 7% 28% 35% 17%	1879
	21st to end	Night	12% 2 7% 29% 37% 13%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	12% 2 3 19% 49% 15%	2898
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 5% 6% 17% 44% 16%	2835
	21st to end	Night	11% 1 5% 18% 51% 13%	2991
June	1st to 10th	Night	13% 3 6% 16% 35% 28%	1520
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 2 3 13% 26% 45%	1520
	21st to end	Night	7% 2 2 6% 26% 58%	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	6% 1 2 4 10% 77%	2500
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 2 4 7% 16% 55%	2492
	21st to end	Night	12% 3 6% 15% 19% 45%	2782
August	1st to 10th	Night	12% 1 3 14% 31% 38%	3156
	11th to 20th	Night	4 1 2 4 20% 69%	3156
	21st to end	Night	5% 1 1 6% 22% 65%	3498
September	1st to 10th	Night	6% 1 2 8% 27% 57%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 1 2 11% 30% 47%	2024
	21st to end	Night	7% 1 2 11% 34% 46%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	9% 1 5% 10% 36% 39%	3490
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 1 2 9% 46% 35%	3745
	21st to end	Night	10% 1 4 11% 42% 32%	4299
November	1st to 10th	Night	8% 1 7% 21% 40% 23%	2450
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 1 10% 24% 36% 21%	2470
	21st to end	Night	13% 2 8% 22% 37% 17%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	15% 4 9% 29% 26% 16%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 5% 14% 27% 24% 9%	3240
	21st to end	Night	22% 7% 14% 28% 22% 7%	4862

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	7% 7% 36% 30% 18% 2	180
	11th to 20th	Day	4 10% 32% 33% 18% 4	190
	21st to end	Day	7% 13% 30% 27% 20% 3	423
February	1st to 10th	Day	6% 14% 31% 34% 13% 3	460
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 13% 35% 33% 9% 2	455
	21st to end	Day	6% 14% 35% 36% 7% 1	382
March	1st to 10th	Day	4 15% 37% 35% 7% 2	460
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 17% 28% 34% 12% 2	460
	21st to end	Day	8% 19% 38% 28% 7%	506
April	1st to 10th	Day	10% 18% 30% 28% 12% 1	460
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 18% 33% 30% 8%	452
	21st to end	Day	9% 15% 34% 27% 13% 3	460
May	1st to 10th	Day	9% 17% 35% 25% 11% 2	463
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 12% 32% 27% 18% 3	488
	21st to end	Day	10% 13% 30% 28% 17% 2	529
June	1st to 10th	Day	4 13% 29% 31% 19% 5%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	4 14% 33% 28% 18% 4	490
	21st to end	Day	2 12% 32% 32% 18% 4	490
July	1st to 10th	Day	3 8% 31% 35% 18% 6%	486
	11th to 20th	Day	3 4 25% 39% 21% 8%	484
	21st to end	Day	4 6% 27% 33% 24% 6%	531
August	1st to 10th	Day	4 7% 35% 30% 22% 3	487
	11th to 20th	Day	1 12% 27% 31% 23% 5%	477
	21st to end	Day	4 7% 30% 32% 22% 6%	539
September	1st to 10th	Day	3 8% 28% 36% 21% 4	490
	11th to 20th	Day	4 12% 31% 34% 16% 3	490
	21st to end	Day	2 8% 31% 36% 20% 3	490
October	1st to 10th	Day	3 10% 29% 34% 19% 4	490
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 8% 29% 34% 21% 3	490
	21st to end	Day	4 11% 27% 35% 18% 6%	428
November	1st to 10th	Day	4 5% 28% 34% 24% 5%	279
	11th to 20th	Day	3 6% 27% 38% 18% 8%	270
	21st to end	Day	1 8% 26% 38% 23% 4	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	3 5% 31% 46% 12% 3	270
	11th to 20th	Day	2 8% 35% 33% 17% 5%	195
	21st to end	Day	5% 15% 34% 27% 18% 2	198
January	1st to 10th	Night	4 7% 32% 37% 16% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	2 5% 37% 38% 16% 2	760
	21st to end	Night	6% 8% 33% 37% 14% 2	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	4 8% 33% 38% 14% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	4 7% 32% 42% 13% 2	744
	21st to end	Night	4 7% 39% 40% 10%	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	2 6% 38% 40% 12% 2	760
	11th to 20th	Night	3 7% 34% 36% 18% 2	760
	21st to end	Night	4 9% 38% 37% 11% 1	836
April	1st to 10th	Night	4 7% 37% 37% 14% 1	760
	11th to 20th	Night	3 11% 35% 34% 15% 2	751
	21st to end	Night	2 8% 34% 38% 17% 1	760
May	1st to 10th	Night	6% 9% 33% 39% 11% 2	595
	11th to 20th	Night	4 5% 27% 45% 19% 1	561
	21st to end	Night	6% 8% 27% 41% 17% 1	550
June	1st to 10th	Night	2 3 23% 48% 21% 3	380
	11th to 20th	Night	2 4 23% 51% 18% 2	380
	21st to end	Night	1 1 22% 50% 24% 1	380
July	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 10% 53% 32% 3	370
	11th to 20th	Night	3 1 6% 56% 32% 2	368
	21st to end	Night	3 2 6% 56% 32% 1	478
August	1st to 10th	Night	3 1 15% 57% 22% 2	756
	11th to 20th	Night	1 1 15% 53% 28% 3	752
	21st to end	Night	2 1 9% 50% 36% 2	836
September	1st to 10th	Night	1 1 12% 52% 32% 2	760
	11th to 20th	Night	2 2 15% 51% 26% 4	760
	21st to end	Night	2 2 16% 43% 32% 5%	760
October	1st to 10th	Night	1 3 23% 42% 26% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	4 4 18% 46% 24% 4	760
	21st to end	Night	2 7% 22% 38% 25% 7%	836
November	1st to 10th	Night	2 3 23% 41% 25% 6%	754
	11th to 20th	Night	1 4 27% 43% 19% 6%	760
	21st to end	Night	4 4 28% 43% 19% 2	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	2 5% 31% 45% 15% 2	760
	11th to 20th	Night	3 6% 35% 41% 14% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	4 8% 37% 36% 15% 1	836

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