Sprague
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Sprague clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-09-29.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	12% 9% 3 8% 6% 5% 5% 4 6% 7% 34%	101496
	Night	11% 10% 4 9% 6% 5% 5% 4 6% 7% 33%	96878
Transparency	Day	26% 48% 9% 14% 4	101229
	Night	27% 49% 8% 12% 4	96762
Seeing	Day	17% 12% 33% 25% 11% 2	16108
	Night	16% 8% 33% 30% 11% 1	25958

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover NE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	6% 14% 6% 14% 8% 6% 7% 5% 6% 7% 22%	2218
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 9% 5% 16% 11% 10% 9% 5% 8% 8% 14%	2220
	21st to end	Day	8% 17% 10% 15% 7% 5% 5% 4 5% 6% 17%	2771
February	1st to 10th	Day	8% 13% 5% 11% 7% 6% 7% 5% 6% 7% 24%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 11% 4 9% 6% 7% 7% 6% 7% 8% 28%	1664
	21st to end	Day	6% 11% 4 11% 9% 6% 5% 4 6% 8% 29%	1432
March	1st to 10th	Day	13% 11% 3 9% 10% 5% 5% 3 5% 7% 30%	3305
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 8% 4 14% 7% 4 4 5% 6% 8% 33%	3480
	21st to end	Day	13% 17% 4 8% 5% 4 4 3 4 6% 32%	3814
April	1st to 10th	Day	11% 11% 4 7% 5% 5% 4 4 6% 7% 36%	2276
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 12% 3 8% 6% 4 5% 4 6% 8% 31%	2442
	21st to end	Day	19% 10% 3 8% 5% 5% 4 3 5% 6% 31%	2470
May	1st to 10th	Day	18% 9% 3 6% 4 4 4 4 5% 6% 35%	4319
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 8% 3 7% 5% 5% 6% 4 6% 6% 33%	4414
	21st to end	Day	20% 10% 2 7% 5% 4 5% 3 5% 6% 34%	5173
June	1st to 10th	Day	13% 7% 2 7% 6% 5% 5% 5% 7% 8% 37%	2850
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 6% 3 6% 5% 5% 5% 4 7% 7% 36%	2850
	21st to end	Day	14% 7% 2 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 8% 9% 35%	2850
July	1st to 10th	Day	8% 4 2 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 7% 10% 42%	4750
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 4 1 5% 4 4 5% 4 7% 9% 49%	4750
	21st to end	Day	9% 5% 2 6% 5% 5% 4 5% 7% 8% 45%	5132
August	1st to 10th	Day	9% 5% 2 6% 5% 4 5% 5% 6% 9% 44%	4119
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 5% 2 7% 4 4 5% 5% 6% 9% 41%	4041
	21st to end	Day	14% 5% 2 5% 4 4 4 4 5% 9% 43%	4532
September	1st to 10th	Day	11% 5% 3 5% 5% 4 4 3 5% 7% 47%	2318
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 6% 2 6% 4 4 5% 4 6% 9% 39%	2138
	21st to end	Day	18% 7% 2 6% 4 5% 4 4 5% 8% 39%	2055
October	1st to 10th	Day	18% 12% 3 8% 4 5% 4 4 4 6% 32%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 12% 5% 8% 4 5% 4 4 6% 6% 32%	1800
	21st to end	Day	16% 16% 5% 12% 5% 3 4 3 5% 6% 26%	1814
November	1st to 10th	Day	14% 15% 4 8% 6% 4 4 5% 6% 5% 27%	1487
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 14% 6% 15% 8% 5% 4 4 5% 4 23%	1520
	21st to end	Day	12% 15% 5% 14% 7% 6% 4 5% 5% 6% 22%	1520
December	1st to 10th	Day	9% 13% 5% 16% 7% 6% 7% 5% 6% 7% 18%	1341
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 15% 7% 14% 7% 5% 6% 4 5% 6% 20%	1679
	21st to end	Day	14% 14% 5% 15% 8% 6% 4 3 5% 5% 20%	2442
January	1st to 10th	Night	5% 13% 6% 14% 9% 8% 8% 5% 7% 7% 19%	4737
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 12% 6% 16% 11% 10% 8% 5% 8% 6% 13%	4750
	21st to end	Night	10% 18% 8% 14% 6% 6% 5% 4 5% 6% 17%	4891
February	1st to 10th	Night	8% 11% 5% 10% 8% 6% 6% 5% 7% 8% 26%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 10% 3 8% 5% 6% 6% 5% 7% 8% 34%	2403
	21st to end	Night	6% 10% 5% 13% 9% 6% 5% 4 6% 7% 30%	2039
March	1st to 10th	Night	12% 10% 3 10% 7% 5% 5% 4 5% 7% 32%	3540
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 9% 4 10% 6% 5% 6% 4 6% 9% 35%	3479
	21st to end	Night	14% 14% 5% 10% 5% 5% 4 3 4 5% 30%	3817
April	1st to 10th	Night	13% 9% 3 7% 5% 5% 5% 3 6% 6% 38%	1901
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 11% 4 8% 4 4 4 4 5% 5% 37%	1689
	21st to end	Night	16% 9% 3 7% 6% 5% 4 3 5% 6% 36%	1710
May	1st to 10th	Night	20% 8% 3 6% 4 4 3 3 5% 6% 38%	2631
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 7% 2 6% 4 5% 4 4 6% 6% 37%	2489
	21st to end	Night	18% 8% 3 6% 3 4 4 3 4 5% 43%	2414
June	1st to 10th	Night	14% 4 3 5% 5% 4 5% 4 6% 7% 43%	1330
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 4 2 6% 4 5% 5% 4 6% 9% 43%	1330
	21st to end	Night	10% 6% 2 6% 4 3 5% 3 7% 7% 45%	1330
July	1st to 10th	Night	9% 3 1 4 3 3 4 4 7% 9% 52%	2220
	11th to 20th	Night	4 3 1 4 3 3 3 3 5% 10% 59%	2220
	21st to end	Night	8% 3 1 4 3 4 5% 4 7% 9% 52%	2430
August	1st to 10th	Night	5% 3 2 6% 4 4 6% 4 7% 10% 48%	2804
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 4 2 3 3 3 4 4 6% 9% 52%	2798
	21st to end	Night	11% 5% 2 7% 3 4 4 3 6% 8% 47%	3135
September	1st to 10th	Night	10% 6% 1 4 4 4 3 4 5% 7% 53%	1862
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 6% 1 5% 4 3 4 4 5% 8% 46%	2038
	21st to end	Night	17% 7% 2 5% 4 3 4 3 5% 8% 42%	2079
October	1st to 10th	Night	16% 8% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 5% 8% 37%	2155
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 11% 3 7% 4 4 5% 3 6% 7% 33%	2160
	21st to end	Night	16% 12% 4 9% 5% 6% 5% 4 6% 6% 28%	2538
November	1st to 10th	Night	14% 13% 5% 10% 5% 4 5% 4 5% 6% 28%	2591
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 13% 5% 14% 7% 4 6% 5% 5% 5% 24%	2660
	21st to end	Night	12% 14% 5% 11% 7% 5% 5% 5% 6% 7% 24%	2660
December	1st to 10th	Night	7% 13% 5% 15% 10% 8% 7% 5% 6% 6% 18%	2835
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 15% 5% 15% 9% 6% 6% 5% 6% 6% 18%	3518
	21st to end	Night	13% 14% 5% 13% 8% 6% 5% 4 5% 6% 20%	5225

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	40% 39% 5% 12% 4	2219
	11th to 20th	Day	43% 37% 10% 9% 2	2220
	21st to end	Day	41% 40% 7% 9% 3	2771
February	1st to 10th	Day	21% 65% 6% 5% 3	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 64% 5% 8% 3	1673
	21st to end	Day	17% 65% 4 7% 6%	1432
March	1st to 10th	Day	32% 40% 8% 14% 6%	3307
	11th to 20th	Day	30% 40% 10% 12% 8%	3480
	21st to end	Day	34% 40% 4 15% 7% 1	3814
April	1st to 10th	Day	15% 65% 4 9% 6%	2276
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 66% 4 9% 4 1	2442
	21st to end	Day	18% 65% 4 9% 3 1	2470
May	1st to 10th	Day	29% 42% 6% 17% 6%	4330
	11th to 20th	Day	34% 41% 7% 12% 7%	4418
	21st to end	Day	33% 40% 7% 17% 3	5173
June	1st to 10th	Day	14% 65% 6% 10% 5%	2850
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 65% 5% 8% 4	2850
	21st to end	Day	17% 64% 7% 9% 2	2850
July	1st to 10th	Day	25% 37% 16% 19% 3	4676
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 35% 17% 24% 5%	4669
	21st to end	Day	25% 35% 12% 24% 3	4969
August	1st to 10th	Day	23% 37% 12% 20% 8%	4104
	11th to 20th	Day	26% 37% 16% 19% 2	4080
	21st to end	Day	28% 36% 16% 17% 2	4531
September	1st to 10th	Day	14% 60% 7% 14% 4	2318
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 60% 9% 12% 2	2138
	21st to end	Day	21% 60% 5% 11% 2	2055
October	1st to 10th	Day	22% 63% 6% 5% 3	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 63% 5% 13% 3	1800
	21st to end	Day	25% 62% 4 7% 2	1814
November	1st to 10th	Day	26% 59% 5% 8% 2	1487
	11th to 20th	Day	24% 61% 7% 6% 2	1520
	21st to end	Day	27% 59% 4 7% 2	1520
December	1st to 10th	Day	27% 59% 5% 7% 2	1341
	11th to 20th	Day	32% 48% 9% 9% 2	1680
	21st to end	Day	40% 37% 4 14% 4	2442
January	1st to 10th	Night	42% 38% 9% 9% 2	4737
	11th to 20th	Night	46% 38% 5% 10% 2	4750
	21st to end	Night	45% 40% 8% 6% 2	4891
February	1st to 10th	Night	20% 65% 6% 5% 3	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 65% 6% 9% 2	2404
	21st to end	Night	18% 64% 3 10% 5%	2039
March	1st to 10th	Night	29% 42% 8% 14% 7%	3551
	11th to 20th	Night	26% 42% 12% 13% 7%	3480
	21st to end	Night	37% 40% 3 13% 7% 1	3817
April	1st to 10th	Night	15% 65% 4 8% 8%	1901
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 65% 2 8% 7% 1	1689
	21st to end	Night	17% 65% 3 12% 2 1	1710
May	1st to 10th	Night	30% 40% 5% 17% 7%	2639
	11th to 20th	Night	30% 40% 7% 15% 8%	2490
	21st to end	Night	28% 40% 6% 21% 5%	2414
June	1st to 10th	Night	14% 65% 6% 10% 5%	1330
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 65% 4 9% 7% 1	1330
	21st to end	Night	14% 64% 8% 11% 2	1330
July	1st to 10th	Night	21% 37% 18% 20% 3	2185
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 35% 15% 32% 4 1	2178
	21st to end	Night	20% 35% 18% 24% 3	2353
August	1st to 10th	Night	22% 36% 11% 25% 5%	2795
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 37% 19% 19% 3	2825
	21st to end	Night	27% 36% 16% 18% 4	3135
September	1st to 10th	Night	13% 61% 7% 14% 4	1862
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 60% 10% 11% 3	2038
	21st to end	Night	20% 60% 6% 10% 4 1	2079
October	1st to 10th	Night	20% 64% 6% 7% 4	2155
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 63% 4 13% 4	2160
	21st to end	Night	25% 62% 4 8% 2	2538
November	1st to 10th	Night	25% 59% 6% 8% 1	2591
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 61% 6% 8% 3	2660
	21st to end	Night	26% 60% 5% 5% 3	2660
December	1st to 10th	Night	26% 60% 6% 7% 2	2835
	11th to 20th	Night	30% 50% 7% 9% 4	3516
	21st to end	Night	39% 39% 6% 11% 4	5225

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	15% 13% 38% 24% 9% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 11% 37% 30% 8%	270
	21st to end	Day	15% 9% 39% 25% 10% 1	297
February	1st to 10th	Day	16% 13% 41% 23% 7% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 21% 39% 18% 8% 3	270
	21st to end	Day	14% 17% 41% 20% 8%	225
March	1st to 10th	Day	16% 11% 41% 24% 6% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 16% 34% 21% 11% 2	270
	21st to end	Day	16% 14% 40% 21% 8% 1	297
April	1st to 10th	Day	14% 15% 37% 23% 11% 1	456
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 17% 31% 22% 8% 1	640
	21st to end	Day	22% 12% 32% 26% 7% 1	650
May	1st to 10th	Day	21% 15% 34% 23% 6% 2	653
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 12% 33% 24% 9% 2	675
	21st to end	Day	21% 12% 30% 26% 9% 1	734
June	1st to 10th	Day	16% 12% 32% 24% 13% 3	680
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 12% 35% 23% 9% 2	680
	21st to end	Day	17% 9% 30% 27% 12% 5%	680
July	1st to 10th	Day	10% 8% 29% 30% 17% 7%	671
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 10% 27% 31% 16% 4	668
	21st to end	Day	8% 7% 29% 34% 15% 6%	739
August	1st to 10th	Day	8% 9% 30% 30% 18% 4	676
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 7% 28% 30% 17% 6%	665
	21st to end	Day	15% 7% 34% 25% 16% 3	748
September	1st to 10th	Day	13% 11% 35% 26% 14% 1	528
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 13% 37% 23% 7% 1	348
	21st to end	Day	27% 13% 35% 20% 4 1	294
October	1st to 10th	Day	24% 13% 27% 24% 10% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 14% 37% 26% 4	270
	21st to end	Day	28% 19% 31% 17% 5%	297
November	1st to 10th	Day	23% 13% 35% 23% 6%	270
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 21% 34% 20% 4	270
	21st to end	Day	21% 21% 34% 21% 2 1	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	16% 15% 36% 25% 7% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 16% 44% 19% 3	270
	21st to end	Day	18% 10% 38% 23% 10% 2	297
January	1st to 10th	Night	11% 11% 35% 29% 12% 2	950
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 8% 36% 31% 9% 1	950
	21st to end	Night	15% 10% 38% 28% 8% 1	1045
February	1st to 10th	Night	13% 9% 34% 33% 10% 1	950
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 10% 35% 28% 11% 3	929
	21st to end	Night	10% 9% 40% 28% 10% 2	783
March	1st to 10th	Night	15% 10% 33% 28% 11% 1	655
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 10% 42% 27% 9% 1	570
	21st to end	Night	20% 10% 28% 29% 11% 2	627
April	1st to 10th	Night	17% 8% 32% 32% 10% 1	570
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 9% 33% 29% 9% 1	563
	21st to end	Night	17% 7% 32% 35% 9%	570
May	1st to 10th	Night	19% 9% 32% 31% 8% 1	570
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 9% 30% 30% 10% 1	561
	21st to end	Night	20% 6% 31% 33% 10%	617
June	1st to 10th	Night	16% 6% 29% 36% 13% 1	570
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 7% 32% 33% 12%	570
	21st to end	Night	11% 7% 25% 38% 19% 1	570
July	1st to 10th	Night	10% 2 26% 39% 22% 1	555
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 6% 27% 40% 18% 2	552
	21st to end	Night	8% 3 23% 44% 19% 2	624
August	1st to 10th	Night	8% 3 25% 42% 20% 1	567
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 5% 23% 34% 23% 3	564
	21st to end	Night	13% 6% 26% 36% 19% 1	627
September	1st to 10th	Night	13% 5% 31% 34% 15% 2	570
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 6% 34% 29% 15% 1	570
	21st to end	Night	20% 6% 33% 28% 12% 1	567
October	1st to 10th	Night	20% 10% 36% 27% 7%	715
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 9% 35% 26% 8% 1	720
	21st to end	Night	24% 12% 31% 26% 7% 1	937
November	1st to 10th	Night	20% 10% 37% 24% 9% 1	925
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 11% 35% 27% 7% 1	950
	21st to end	Night	19% 13% 39% 21% 6% 1	950
December	1st to 10th	Night	14% 8% 37% 29% 10% 1	950
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 11% 38% 25% 6% 1	950
	21st to end	Night	20% 10% 34% 27% 8% 1	1045

Page generated at 2024-09-26 08:52:18. Version ac07

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