Sterner Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Sterner Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-07-05.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	15% 7% 3 6% 5% 4 4 4 6% 7% 39%	89670
	Night	15% 7% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 5% 7% 41%	89546
Transparency	Day	42% 7% 12% 23% 14% 2	89429
	Night	41% 6% 12% 23% 15% 2	89392
Seeing	Day	18% 11% 27% 24% 14% 6%	14434
	Night	17% 9% 31% 30% 12% 1	23876

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	15% 7% 3 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 42%	2517
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 11% 5% 10% 5% 5% 4 4 5% 5% 33%	2776
	21st to end	Day	17% 11% 4 9% 5% 5% 4 4 5% 5% 32%	3124
February	1st to 10th	Day	14% 10% 3 6% 5% 5% 4 4 7% 7% 37%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 8% 2 6% 4 5% 4 4 5% 6% 40%	1722
	21st to end	Day	18% 10% 3 7% 4 4 3 4 4 4 38%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	23% 7% 2 6% 5% 4 4 3 5% 6% 36%	3304
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 6% 3 6% 5% 5% 4 4 6% 7% 44%	3480
	21st to end	Day	20% 8% 2 5% 4 3 3 3 4 5% 42%	3928
April	1st to 10th	Day	14% 8% 3 7% 4 4 6% 4 6% 6% 38%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 6% 3 6% 5% 4 5% 4 5% 7% 42%	2254
	21st to end	Day	17% 7% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 5% 7% 40%	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	27% 7% 3 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 7% 29%	4035
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 7% 3 8% 5% 5% 4 4 6% 7% 28%	4398
	21st to end	Day	10% 5% 2 6% 4 4 5% 4 7% 9% 44%	4823
June	1st to 10th	Day	12% 5% 2 6% 5% 4 5% 5% 7% 9% 39%	2660
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 6% 2 7% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 9% 39%	2660
	21st to end	Day	9% 4 2 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 7% 10% 44%	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	8% 5% 2 6% 5% 6% 4 4 6% 10% 42%	2576
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 5% 2 6% 4 6% 5% 5% 8% 10% 43%	2520
	21st to end	Day	8% 6% 2 8% 7% 6% 5% 5% 8% 9% 36%	2572
August	1st to 10th	Day	9% 5% 3 7% 5% 5% 7% 5% 8% 9% 38%	2327
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 6% 3 7% 4 5% 5% 5% 8% 8% 38%	2207
	21st to end	Day	13% 5% 2 6% 4 5% 6% 4 5% 9% 42%	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	15% 6% 2 6% 4 5% 4 3 3 6% 44%	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 5% 2 5% 3 4 4 3 5% 8% 48%	2160
	21st to end	Day	16% 9% 3 6% 4 3 3 3 5% 7% 40%	1908
October	1st to 10th	Day	17% 6% 2 5% 4 4 3 4 5% 7% 44%	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 7% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 45%	1800
	21st to end	Day	16% 7% 3 5% 4 4 4 4 6% 6% 43%	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	12% 5% 2 5% 4 3 4 3 5% 6% 51%	1699
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 5% 2 5% 4 3 3 4 6% 7% 46%	1682
	21st to end	Day	15% 7% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 6% 43%	1520
December	1st to 10th	Day	17% 7% 3 8% 6% 4 3 4 7% 8% 34%	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 8% 3 7% 4 4 5% 3 6% 7% 36%	1910
	21st to end	Day	16% 9% 3 8% 5% 5% 5% 4 6% 7% 32%	2772
January	1st to 10th	Night	14% 8% 4 9% 5% 5% 4 4 5% 7% 36%	4429
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 9% 3 7% 3 4 4 3 5% 6% 40%	4180
	21st to end	Night	19% 11% 3 8% 5% 4 3 3 5% 5% 35%	4532
February	1st to 10th	Night	16% 8% 3 7% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 39%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 8% 3 6% 4 4 5% 3 5% 6% 39%	2342
	21st to end	Night	16% 9% 2 7% 5% 4 4 4 5% 6% 38%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	21% 9% 3 6% 4 4 3 3 5% 6% 38%	3546
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 6% 3 6% 5% 4 4 4 5% 6% 48%	3480
	21st to end	Night	13% 9% 3 7% 5% 3 3 3 4 5% 46%	3704
April	1st to 10th	Night	15% 8% 3 7% 5% 4 4 4 6% 7% 36%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 5% 2 7% 5% 3 4 4 5% 8% 44%	1875
	21st to end	Night	18% 6% 2 6% 3 3 3 4 6% 6% 43%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	23% 8% 3 7% 5% 4 3 3 5% 7% 31%	2886
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 8% 3 7% 5% 4 4 4 7% 6% 29%	2495
	21st to end	Night	10% 6% 2 6% 4 5% 4 4 6% 10% 41%	2732
June	1st to 10th	Night	12% 5% 2 5% 3 4 5% 4 6% 8% 45%	1520
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 6% 2 6% 5% 5% 4 5% 7% 9% 41%	1520
	21st to end	Night	8% 5% 3 5% 5% 5% 5% 4 7% 10% 43%	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	8% 6% 2 8% 5% 5% 6% 4 8% 9% 38%	1478
	11th to 20th	Night	6% 3 2 5% 4 5% 6% 5% 7% 10% 48%	1440
	21st to end	Night	9% 5% 2 5% 4 4 4 5% 7% 10% 45%	1743
August	1st to 10th	Night	8% 4 2 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 8% 8% 42%	1611
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 6% 3 8% 5% 5% 6% 4 5% 7% 41%	1674
	21st to end	Night	12% 5% 2 6% 5% 5% 5% 4 5% 9% 44%	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	13% 6% 2 6% 4 4 5% 3 5% 7% 46%	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 6% 2 4 3 3 3 3 5% 7% 53%	1800
	21st to end	Night	16% 6% 2 7% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 43%	2050
October	1st to 10th	Night	18% 7% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 44%	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 5% 2 5% 4 3 4 3 5% 6% 48%	2160
	21st to end	Night	18% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 3 6% 7% 46%	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	12% 5% 2 6% 3 4 3 3 5% 5% 52%	2375
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 8% 2 5% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 46%	2495
	21st to end	Night	12% 5% 2 6% 5% 4 5% 4 6% 8% 44%	2660
December	1st to 10th	Night	17% 8% 3 7% 5% 4 4 4 5% 7% 37%	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 6% 2 6% 5% 5% 4 4 5% 6% 39%	3285
	21st to end	Night	16% 8% 3 7% 5% 5% 6% 4 6% 8% 31%	4884

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	41% 4 14% 26% 11% 3	2518
	11th to 20th	Day	51% 5% 11% 18% 13% 3	2776
	21st to end	Day	52% 6% 10% 23% 8% 1	3124
February	1st to 10th	Day	44% 6% 13% 24% 11% 2	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	44% 6% 11% 24% 13% 3	1731
	21st to end	Day	49% 4 11% 20% 12% 4	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	48% 5% 10% 25% 9% 3	3304
	11th to 20th	Day	36% 5% 11% 26% 17% 3	3480
	21st to end	Day	45% 5% 9% 22% 17% 3	3928
April	1st to 10th	Day	44% 5% 12% 19% 16% 4	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	39% 7% 11% 22% 17% 4	2254
	21st to end	Day	43% 5% 10% 22% 16% 3	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	53% 6% 9% 20% 10% 1	4072
	11th to 20th	Day	53% 8% 13% 17% 8% 1	4402
	21st to end	Day	34% 9% 14% 25% 17% 2	4837
June	1st to 10th	Day	38% 9% 12% 24% 15% 1	2660
	11th to 20th	Day	39% 9% 14% 23% 13% 3	2660
	21st to end	Day	33% 9% 14% 27% 16% 1	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	37% 10% 12% 22% 16% 3	2506
	11th to 20th	Day	32% 9% 15% 26% 16% 2	2445
	21st to end	Day	39% 10% 13% 20% 15% 2	2428
August	1st to 10th	Day	39% 10% 13% 23% 13%	2314
	11th to 20th	Day	40% 8% 13% 22% 15% 2	2207
	21st to end	Day	38% 8% 12% 24% 14% 4	2376
September	1st to 10th	Day	41% 6% 11% 19% 18% 4	2160
	11th to 20th	Day	34% 6% 10% 26% 21% 4	2160
	21st to end	Day	43% 6% 8% 20% 20% 3	1908
October	1st to 10th	Day	40% 6% 11% 25% 17% 2	1800
	11th to 20th	Day	39% 5% 11% 24% 19% 2	1800
	21st to end	Day	40% 5% 11% 25% 17% 2	1980
November	1st to 10th	Day	35% 3 13% 25% 19% 4	1699
	11th to 20th	Day	38% 5% 11% 23% 19% 3	1682
	21st to end	Day	40% 6% 11% 29% 11% 2	1520
December	1st to 10th	Day	47% 6% 14% 21% 11% 1	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	44% 4 13% 29% 8% 1	1906
	21st to end	Day	49% 5% 16% 19% 10% 1	2772
January	1st to 10th	Night	43% 5% 12% 26% 11% 3	4429
	11th to 20th	Night	44% 4 14% 24% 12% 2	4180
	21st to end	Night	49% 3 10% 27% 9% 2	4532
February	1st to 10th	Night	45% 5% 13% 23% 12% 1	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	45% 4 10% 21% 18% 3	2344
	21st to end	Night	46% 5% 10% 20% 15% 4	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	47% 6% 9% 25% 12% 1	3546
	11th to 20th	Night	34% 6% 11% 32% 15% 2	3480
	21st to end	Night	41% 4 7% 21% 22% 4	3704
April	1st to 10th	Night	45% 6% 11% 19% 17% 4	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	39% 6% 11% 21% 19% 4	1875
	21st to end	Night	40% 6% 11% 22% 17% 5%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	52% 7% 8% 18% 12% 2	2915
	11th to 20th	Night	53% 10% 11% 14% 10% 1	2496
	21st to end	Night	36% 9% 14% 25% 13% 3	2739
June	1st to 10th	Night	35% 8% 10% 26% 18% 2	1520
	11th to 20th	Night	35% 10% 14% 22% 17% 2	1520
	21st to end	Night	35% 8% 13% 27% 16% 2	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	39% 10% 16% 19% 13% 4	1438
	11th to 20th	Night	30% 10% 15% 25% 17% 3	1392
	21st to end	Night	31% 10% 18% 22% 18% 2	1646
August	1st to 10th	Night	34% 11% 16% 26% 13% 1	1600
	11th to 20th	Night	40% 10% 13% 20% 16% 1	1674
	21st to end	Night	36% 9% 13% 22% 17% 3	1980
September	1st to 10th	Night	38% 7% 11% 21% 19% 4	1800
	11th to 20th	Night	31% 6% 10% 24% 25% 4	1800
	21st to end	Night	41% 6% 9% 20% 20% 3	2050
October	1st to 10th	Night	41% 6% 11% 23% 17% 2	2160
	11th to 20th	Night	36% 5% 11% 28% 18% 2	2160
	21st to end	Night	37% 5% 9% 27% 19% 2	2376
November	1st to 10th	Night	33% 5% 11% 25% 21% 5%	2375
	11th to 20th	Night	40% 4 8% 24% 19% 5%	2495
	21st to end	Night	38% 5% 12% 27% 16% 2	2660
December	1st to 10th	Night	47% 6% 12% 23% 13% 1	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	43% 5% 13% 22% 15% 3	3288
	21st to end	Night	48% 7% 14% 21% 9% 1	4884

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	23% 23% 32% 16% 5% 1	180
	11th to 20th	Day	31% 21% 31% 16% 2	252
	21st to end	Day	21% 23% 37% 13% 5% 1	297
February	1st to 10th	Day	26% 19% 36% 16% 3	270
	11th to 20th	Day	26% 23% 40% 9% 2	329
	21st to end	Day	29% 18% 32% 18% 3	382
March	1st to 10th	Day	22% 19% 31% 23% 5%	460
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 20% 33% 19% 4 1	460
	21st to end	Day	25% 18% 32% 18% 6% 2	506
April	1st to 10th	Day	21% 18% 36% 17% 7% 1	460
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 18% 30% 19% 11% 4	452
	21st to end	Day	26% 12% 31% 21% 8% 3	460
May	1st to 10th	Day	27% 14% 27% 19% 10% 4	463
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 11% 27% 24% 13% 4	487
	21st to end	Day	16% 5% 22% 27% 22% 9%	529
June	1st to 10th	Day	14% 8% 29% 26% 16% 8%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 7% 25% 27% 19% 7%	490
	21st to end	Day	12% 5% 25% 31% 19% 8%	490
July	1st to 10th	Day	13% 3 16% 28% 27% 13%	461
	11th to 20th	Day	4 3 18% 32% 32% 12%	444
	21st to end	Day	12% 4 19% 34% 24% 7%	488
August	1st to 10th	Day	11% 3 18% 29% 28% 11%	446
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 2 16% 32% 24% 13%	439
	21st to end	Day	11% 4 18% 30% 23% 14%	495
September	1st to 10th	Day	18% 6% 16% 23% 22% 15%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 4 19% 28% 23% 13%	450
	21st to end	Day	22% 8% 24% 25% 15% 6%	450
October	1st to 10th	Day	20% 8% 22% 24% 18% 8%	450
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 10% 28% 28% 15% 3	450
	21st to end	Day	18% 9% 39% 24% 9% 2	495
November	1st to 10th	Day	17% 10% 31% 26% 15% 2	379
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 15% 30% 24% 11% 1	342
	21st to end	Day	21% 20% 34% 18% 8%	180
December	1st to 10th	Day	24% 16% 38% 15% 4 2	180
	11th to 20th	Day	27% 18% 31% 16% 7% 1	180
	21st to end	Day	21% 18% 34% 19% 8%	198
January	1st to 10th	Night	17% 14% 44% 21% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 14% 33% 27% 3	760
	21st to end	Night	17% 13% 45% 22% 2	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	20% 14% 37% 28% 2	760
	11th to 20th	Night	22% 17% 41% 19% 1	743
	21st to end	Night	21% 18% 39% 18% 3	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	19% 14% 39% 24% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	20% 15% 36% 23% 5%	760
	21st to end	Night	21% 11% 38% 24% 5% 1	836
April	1st to 10th	Night	20% 14% 40% 21% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 10% 34% 31% 7% 1	751
	21st to end	Night	21% 10% 34% 28% 8%	760
May	1st to 10th	Night	20% 7% 29% 32% 11%	619
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 6% 30% 36% 10%	374
	21st to end	Night	14% 3 19% 42% 20% 1	411
June	1st to 10th	Night	13% 2 24% 38% 22% 1	380
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 4 25% 43% 17% 1	380
	21st to end	Night	10% 2 22% 51% 15%	380
July	1st to 10th	Night	9% 2 19% 41% 27% 2	360
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 2 14% 45% 31% 3	348
	21st to end	Night	10% 1 15% 46% 25% 2	563
August	1st to 10th	Night	10% 1 12% 48% 26% 3	537
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 2 13% 39% 31% 3	610
	21st to end	Night	12% 2 15% 38% 30% 4	792
September	1st to 10th	Night	15% 2 19% 34% 26% 4	720
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 2 16% 36% 28% 4	720
	21st to end	Night	19% 3 21% 34% 21% 2	720
October	1st to 10th	Night	20% 6% 21% 29% 21% 3	720
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 9% 28% 34% 13%	720
	21st to end	Night	20% 8% 33% 27% 11%	792
November	1st to 10th	Night	14% 5% 34% 34% 12% 1	740
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 12% 34% 27% 9% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	16% 12% 35% 29% 8%	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	22% 12% 37% 22% 6% 1	760
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 11% 40% 27% 4	760
	21st to end	Night	19% 11% 36% 30% 2	836

Page generated at 2024-07-02 06:41:27. Version ac07

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