Nicholas E. Wagman Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Nicholas E. Wagman Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-11-04.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	16% 10% 4 8% 5% 5% 5% 4 5% 7% 31%	101133
	Night	17% 11% 4 8% 5% 4 4 3 5% 6% 32%	97800
Transparency	Day	50% 7% 11% 20% 10% 1	104780
	Night	50% 6% 11% 20% 11% 2	102292
Seeing	Day	22% 14% 27% 21% 12% 4	14705
	Night	21% 11% 27% 27% 12% 1	24346

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	19% 20% 10% 12% 5% 4 3 3 3 5% 17%	2781
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 22% 8% 17% 10% 3 2 2 3 4 16%	2840
	21st to end	Day	25% 22% 7% 14% 5% 4 3 2 3 4 11%	3124
February	1st to 10th	Day	19% 18% 5% 11% 7% 5% 3 2 4 4 21%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 15% 7% 13% 6% 4 4 4 5% 5% 21%	1663
	21st to end	Day	21% 14% 4 11% 6% 4 3 2 5% 5% 25%	1566
March	1st to 10th	Day	21% 11% 4 8% 5% 4 4 3 5% 6% 29%	3435
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 11% 5% 9% 6% 5% 5% 3 3 6% 32%	3480
	21st to end	Day	19% 10% 3 8% 5% 4 5% 3 5% 6% 31%	3815
April	1st to 10th	Day	16% 12% 3 8% 5% 5% 5% 4 6% 6% 30%	2201
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 10% 4 8% 5% 4 5% 4 5% 7% 33%	2273
	21st to end	Day	21% 10% 3 7% 4 4 4 3 4 6% 33%	2470
May	1st to 10th	Day	24% 9% 3 8% 4 4 4 4 5% 6% 28%	4082
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 8% 3 8% 5% 5% 5% 4 6% 8% 29%	4081
	21st to end	Day	14% 6% 2 7% 4 4 5% 4 7% 9% 38%	4783
June	1st to 10th	Day	14% 7% 2 7% 6% 5% 6% 5% 7% 9% 33%	2660
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 7% 2 7% 5% 5% 5% 5% 7% 8% 35%	2660
	21st to end	Day	14% 7% 2 6% 5% 5% 5% 4 6% 9% 37%	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	9% 7% 3 7% 5% 6% 5% 4 6% 8% 40%	4358
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 6% 2 6% 5% 5% 5% 4 7% 10% 39%	4120
	21st to end	Day	12% 7% 3 8% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 9% 36%	4466
August	1st to 10th	Day	14% 8% 3 9% 5% 6% 6% 5% 6% 8% 30%	4104
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 6% 3 7% 5% 6% 6% 5% 7% 9% 35%	4044
	21st to end	Day	9% 5% 2 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 7% 10% 40%	4292
September	1st to 10th	Day	15% 7% 2 6% 4 3 4 4 5% 6% 44%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 5% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 8% 44%	2114
	21st to end	Day	20% 8% 2 7% 4 5% 4 3 4 7% 35%	2078
October	1st to 10th	Day	17% 6% 2 6% 3 4 5% 4 6% 8% 39%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 9% 3 6% 5% 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 35%	1900
	21st to end	Day	22% 11% 3 7% 4 4 3 3 4 6% 32%	2090
November	1st to 10th	Day	12% 8% 3 7% 5% 4 4 4 4 6% 42%	1821
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 14% 3 7% 5% 4 4 3 4 6% 32%	1560
	21st to end	Day	18% 15% 5% 7% 6% 5% 5% 3 5% 5% 25%	1520
December	1st to 10th	Day	21% 19% 7% 11% 6% 4 3 4 3 5% 18%	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	20% 18% 8% 10% 5% 3 4 3 4 5% 21%	1910
	21st to end	Day	25% 24% 7% 10% 4 3 3 2 4 5% 13%	2772
January	1st to 10th	Night	17% 21% 8% 12% 5% 5% 4 3 4 4 18%	4159
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 18% 7% 15% 7% 6% 4 3 4 4 16%	4120
	21st to end	Night	28% 18% 7% 11% 6% 4 3 2 3 3 16%	4532
February	1st to 10th	Night	21% 13% 5% 10% 6% 5% 4 3 4 4 25%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 13% 4 12% 6% 4 5% 3 5% 4 25%	2403
	21st to end	Night	21% 12% 4 11% 6% 4 5% 3 4 5% 25%	1881
March	1st to 10th	Night	23% 12% 3 6% 5% 3 3 3 4 5% 33%	3418
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 13% 5% 8% 4 3 3 2 4 6% 34%	3480
	21st to end	Night	17% 10% 3 7% 4 4 4 3 4 5% 39%	3817
April	1st to 10th	Night	19% 12% 3 6% 4 5% 4 3 4 6% 34%	1977
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 8% 2 7% 5% 5% 5% 4 5% 7% 37%	1870
	21st to end	Night	15% 9% 3 8% 5% 4 4 3 5% 8% 36%	1710
May	1st to 10th	Night	27% 9% 3 8% 4 4 4 3 4 6% 28%	2813
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 10% 3 7% 5% 4 4 3 5% 7% 36%	2812
	21st to end	Night	12% 6% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 7% 10% 40%	2767
June	1st to 10th	Night	10% 6% 2 6% 5% 4 4 4 7% 8% 44%	1520
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 6% 2 7% 5% 4 5% 3 7% 9% 41%	1520
	21st to end	Night	11% 5% 1 5% 5% 5% 4 5% 7% 10% 42%	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	10% 8% 3 8% 5% 5% 4 3 6% 8% 40%	2584
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 5% 2 7% 5% 4 5% 4 6% 9% 42%	2840
	21st to end	Night	10% 7% 3 9% 5% 5% 4 5% 6% 8% 39%	3087
August	1st to 10th	Night	13% 8% 3 9% 5% 5% 5% 4 6% 7% 35%	2825
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 7% 3 7% 4 4 4 3 5% 7% 42%	2785
	21st to end	Night	8% 5% 2 6% 4 5% 6% 5% 7% 9% 44%	3330
September	1st to 10th	Night	12% 6% 1 5% 4 4 4 4 5% 6% 49%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 5% 2 5% 3 3 4 3 5% 9% 51%	2061
	21st to end	Night	16% 8% 3 7% 5% 4 3 4 4 5% 41%	2100
October	1st to 10th	Night	15% 6% 2 6% 4 5% 4 3 5% 7% 43%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	18% 7% 2 6% 5% 4 4 4 4 6% 40%	2280
	21st to end	Night	22% 9% 2 6% 4 5% 3 3 4 6% 37%	2508
November	1st to 10th	Night	13% 9% 3 6% 4 3 4 3 5% 6% 43%	2325
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 12% 2 8% 5% 4 4 3 5% 7% 32%	2617
	21st to end	Night	20% 14% 4 7% 5% 3 5% 3 5% 6% 29%	2660
December	1st to 10th	Night	22% 17% 6% 10% 5% 5% 3 3 4 5% 20%	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 17% 6% 10% 5% 4 3 3 4 5% 22%	3285
	21st to end	Night	24% 20% 6% 10% 6% 5% 4 3 4 5% 14%	4884

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	69% 6% 9% 11% 4	2782
	11th to 20th	Day	73% 4 8% 11% 3 1	2840
	21st to end	Day	78% 5% 7% 8% 2	3124
February	1st to 10th	Day	68% 4 8% 14% 6% 1	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	64% 6% 11% 13% 6%	1672
	21st to end	Day	62% 5% 11% 14% 7% 1	1566
March	1st to 10th	Day	55% 6% 11% 22% 6%	3435
	11th to 20th	Day	53% 6% 11% 22% 7% 1	3480
	21st to end	Day	51% 6% 11% 19% 11% 1	3815
April	1st to 10th	Day	52% 7% 11% 18% 10% 2	2201
	11th to 20th	Day	50% 7% 12% 17% 14% 2	2273
	21st to end	Day	51% 6% 11% 21% 10% 2	2470
May	1st to 10th	Day	54% 7% 11% 19% 7% 1	4120
	11th to 20th	Day	51% 8% 12% 20% 8% 1	4085
	21st to end	Day	38% 10% 16% 23% 11% 3	4797
June	1st to 10th	Day	44% 10% 14% 21% 11% 1	2660
	11th to 20th	Day	43% 9% 14% 21% 12% 1	2660
	21st to end	Day	42% 8% 12% 26% 11% 1	2660
July	1st to 10th	Day	41% 8% 11% 23% 15% 3	4290
	11th to 20th	Day	38% 7% 13% 27% 15%	4051
	21st to end	Day	45% 6% 11% 19% 18% 1	4324
August	1st to 10th	Day	49% 8% 14% 20% 9%	4091
	11th to 20th	Day	43% 7% 12% 27% 11% 1	4083
	21st to end	Day	37% 7% 13% 28% 14% 2	4292
September	1st to 10th	Day	39% 8% 10% 21% 19% 4	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	36% 7% 13% 27% 15% 1	2114
	21st to end	Day	49% 5% 11% 21% 14%	2078
October	1st to 10th	Day	34% 6% 10% 31% 19% 1	3160
	11th to 20th	Day	44% 6% 10% 22% 14% 5%	3140
	21st to end	Day	37% 4 12% 28% 18% 1	3428
November	1st to 10th	Day	42% 6% 12% 21% 16% 2	1821
	11th to 20th	Day	54% 5% 12% 18% 10% 2	1560
	21st to end	Day	60% 5% 12% 17% 5% 1	1520
December	1st to 10th	Day	70% 5% 10% 12% 3	1520
	11th to 20th	Day	67% 4 11% 15% 3	1906
	21st to end	Day	74% 5% 9% 9% 2	2772
January	1st to 10th	Night	68% 6% 9% 13% 3	4159
	11th to 20th	Night	71% 5% 11% 10% 2	4120
	21st to end	Night	74% 5% 6% 12% 3	4532
February	1st to 10th	Night	62% 5% 9% 16% 7%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	61% 4 11% 17% 7%	2405
	21st to end	Night	61% 5% 10% 14% 9% 1	1881
March	1st to 10th	Night	54% 5% 9% 24% 8%	3418
	11th to 20th	Night	51% 5% 12% 25% 6% 1	3480
	21st to end	Night	46% 5% 11% 22% 14% 2	3817
April	1st to 10th	Night	51% 6% 10% 18% 13% 2	1977
	11th to 20th	Night	45% 7% 11% 18% 16% 3	1870
	21st to end	Night	46% 6% 10% 23% 12% 3	1710
May	1st to 10th	Night	56% 6% 9% 17% 10% 2	2840
	11th to 20th	Night	47% 8% 11% 23% 9% 1	2813
	21st to end	Night	35% 11% 15% 23% 12% 4	2774
June	1st to 10th	Night	36% 10% 13% 25% 16% 2	1520
	11th to 20th	Night	38% 9% 14% 24% 14% 2	1520
	21st to end	Night	36% 10% 14% 24% 16% 2	1520
July	1st to 10th	Night	42% 7% 9% 22% 16% 3	2542
	11th to 20th	Night	37% 7% 15% 25% 16% 1	2786
	21st to end	Night	41% 8% 11% 16% 21% 2	2988
August	1st to 10th	Night	46% 9% 14% 21% 10%	2814
	11th to 20th	Night	40% 6% 10% 28% 14% 1	2812
	21st to end	Night	35% 8% 12% 31% 13% 2	3330
September	1st to 10th	Night	34% 7% 12% 23% 20% 5%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	30% 6% 13% 27% 23% 1	2061
	21st to end	Night	45% 5% 11% 21% 16% 1	2100
October	1st to 10th	Night	36% 5% 8% 27% 22% 1	3800
	11th to 20th	Night	38% 5% 11% 24% 15% 7%	3779
	21st to end	Night	36% 4 9% 29% 21% 1	4120
November	1st to 10th	Night	42% 6% 11% 22% 17% 4	2325
	11th to 20th	Night	52% 5% 10% 20% 11% 2	2617
	21st to end	Night	55% 6% 11% 20% 7% 1	2660
December	1st to 10th	Night	67% 6% 11% 12% 4	2660
	11th to 20th	Night	64% 5% 11% 16% 3	3288
	21st to end	Night	71% 8% 9% 10% 2	4884

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	29% 25% 28% 12% 4 2	256
	11th to 20th	Day	32% 28% 28% 9% 3 1	270
	21st to end	Day	29% 28% 30% 9% 4	297
February	1st to 10th	Day	33% 21% 36% 9% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	34% 28% 28% 10% 1	270
	21st to end	Day	39% 23% 28% 9% 1	264
March	1st to 10th	Day	27% 20% 31% 17% 5%	460
	11th to 20th	Day	32% 19% 31% 13% 4 1	460
	21st to end	Day	31% 19% 29% 16% 4 1	506
April	1st to 10th	Day	27% 22% 25% 17% 7% 2	460
	11th to 20th	Day	24% 19% 27% 18% 8% 4	452
	21st to end	Day	29% 19% 28% 17% 5% 2	460
May	1st to 10th	Day	30% 15% 26% 18% 8% 3	463
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 12% 32% 20% 11% 4	487
	21st to end	Day	14% 9% 25% 28% 18% 6%	529
June	1st to 10th	Day	16% 10% 27% 27% 16% 4	490
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 12% 23% 29% 14% 5%	490
	21st to end	Day	14% 10% 30% 28% 14% 3	490
July	1st to 10th	Day	13% 7% 21% 27% 22% 10%	485
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 7% 25% 29% 18% 9%	484
	21st to end	Day	14% 5% 25% 30% 19% 7%	532
August	1st to 10th	Day	12% 8% 21% 28% 22% 10%	486
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 5% 23% 29% 17% 11%	479
	21st to end	Day	11% 5% 24% 26% 23% 11%	539
September	1st to 10th	Day	18% 6% 21% 26% 20% 8%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 4 20% 31% 22% 11%	490
	21st to end	Day	26% 10% 23% 21% 13% 6%	490
October	1st to 10th	Day	18% 9% 25% 23% 18% 6%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	23% 14% 28% 24% 9% 3	490
	21st to end	Day	29% 14% 29% 19% 8% 1	539
November	1st to 10th	Day	19% 16% 30% 21% 10% 3	401
	11th to 20th	Day	30% 20% 27% 15% 6% 2	198
	21st to end	Day	21% 21% 46% 10% 3 1	180
December	1st to 10th	Day	31% 24% 28% 12% 4 1	180
	11th to 20th	Day	31% 22% 31% 13% 3	180
	21st to end	Day	32% 20% 30% 14% 4	198
January	1st to 10th	Night	28% 19% 34% 16% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	32% 15% 30% 19% 3	760
	21st to end	Night	27% 17% 31% 20% 3	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	28% 16% 29% 25% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	29% 18% 36% 16% 1	743
	21st to end	Night	28% 15% 35% 20% 3	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	25% 16% 32% 24% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	27% 17% 27% 21% 7% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	24% 15% 34% 22% 5% 1	836
April	1st to 10th	Night	25% 16% 29% 23% 6% 1	760
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 11% 31% 25% 9% 1	746
	21st to end	Night	18% 11% 33% 32% 6%	570
May	1st to 10th	Night	21% 9% 27% 32% 9% 1	570
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 8% 25% 33% 13% 1	561
	21st to end	Night	10% 3 25% 34% 25% 3	434
June	1st to 10th	Night	11% 4 27% 39% 19% 1	380
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 4 22% 39% 21% 1	380
	21st to end	Night	11% 2 29% 36% 21% 1	380
July	1st to 10th	Night	9% 3 21% 40% 21% 5%	406
	11th to 20th	Night	10% 4 18% 35% 29% 4	552
	21st to end	Night	10% 3 15% 42% 27% 1	624
August	1st to 10th	Night	9% 2 15% 43% 28% 3	567
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 6% 15% 35% 30% 4	564
	21st to end	Night	12% 3 19% 33% 28% 5%	742
September	1st to 10th	Night	15% 3 19% 33% 26% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 5% 15% 37% 29% 4	760
	21st to end	Night	18% 8% 24% 25% 20% 4	760
October	1st to 10th	Night	17% 7% 23% 29% 22% 1	760
	11th to 20th	Night	21% 9% 30% 28% 11% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	25% 11% 27% 28% 8% 1	836
November	1st to 10th	Night	18% 10% 27% 31% 13%	755
	11th to 20th	Night	25% 14% 28% 24% 7% 1	760
	21st to end	Night	27% 14% 29% 22% 7%	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	32% 17% 27% 19% 5%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	27% 18% 29% 23% 4	760
	21st to end	Night	29% 15% 31% 23% 2	836

Page generated at 2024-11-01 22:47:52. Version ac07

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