Wolf Creek Observatory
Clear Sky Chart
History

This sumarizes the distribution of each different forecast outcome for the Wolf Creek Observatory clear sky chart from 2005-11-06 to 2024-11-05.

This page is a summary of past forecasts. Even though it's based only on forecasts, some people use these pages as clue to a site's climate. But climate data based on actual observation should be preferred (if you can find it!).

Cloud, Transparency and Seeing forecasts are summarized individually. But because good observing conditions require a combination of minimum cloud cover, transparency and seeing, the individual forecast summaries can be difficult to interpret. The observing conditions section counts the combinations of conditions needed for common types of astronomical observation.

Observing Conditions

The following tables count the occurrence of the combinations of forecast and darkness conditions needed for different observations. Conditions are rated by by what percentage of the hours the observation would likely be attempted are usable.

Observation Type	Minimum conditions for hour to be usable				Out of hours
	Clear of Clouds	Transparency	Seeing	Sky Brightness
Planetary:	50%	(no limit)	Average	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours
Deep Sky:	70%	Average	(no limit)	5.9	Nighttime Hours
CCD Imaging:	70%	Below Average	Poor	(no limit)	Nighttime Hours

Percentages are of nighttime hours per month, or per year, when a particular observing conditions was met. Deep Sky percentages never exceed 50% because the moon is up half the time. Deep sky percentages are much lower for charts at high latitudes because of fewer dark hours in the summer.

Overall

By Month

Individual Forecasts

The length of each colored bar in the "occurrence of each Forecast" column is proportional to the number of times the chart forecast that color. The percentages are of the total number of hours per month, or per year, with a particular forecast. The colors as the same as those used in clear sky charts.

Note: Transparency probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 30% or less cloud cover. Seeing probabilities are only counted for those hours that have 80% or less cloud cover. If that's too tricky, try Observing Conditions instead.

Overall

		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
Cloud Cover	Day	10% 6% 2 6% 5% 5% 5% 4 6% 8% 41%	100755
	Night	11% 7% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 8% 43%	98246
Transparency	Day	38% 6% 12% 19% 18% 7%	104616
	Night	37% 6% 11% 18% 20% 9%	102510
Seeing	Day	14% 9% 22% 25% 21% 10%	14570
	Night	13% 8% 22% 30% 22% 5%	24512

By Month

Percentage Cloud Cover SE (2006-)
Color Meanings: Overcast 90% covered 80% covered 70% covered 60% covered 50% covered 40% covered 30% covered 20% covered 10% covered Clear
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	15% 8% 3 6% 3 3 4 3 6% 8% 42%	2836
	11th to 20th	Day	10% 6% 2 5% 3 3 4 3 4 7% 53%	3105
	21st to end	Day	19% 10% 3 7% 3 3 3 3 4 5% 41%	3476
February	1st to 10th	Day	16% 9% 2 7% 5% 3 5% 3 5% 6% 38%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	17% 8% 2 6% 3 4 4 3 4 5% 43%	1848
	21st to end	Day	17% 8% 3 6% 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 39%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	19% 10% 3 7% 4 4 4 4 6% 6% 34%	3120
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 7% 3 6% 5% 5% 4 3 6% 7% 42%	3339
	21st to end	Day	13% 5% 2 7% 4 5% 4 4 6% 7% 42%	4001
April	1st to 10th	Day	12% 6% 3 5% 5% 5% 3 4 5% 7% 45%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 6% 2 7% 4 4 4 4 6% 6% 45%	2254
	21st to end	Day	7% 5% 2 5% 4 4 5% 4 5% 6% 54%	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	8% 5% 2 6% 4 5% 5% 4 6% 10% 44%	3915
	11th to 20th	Day	14% 6% 2 8% 4 4 5% 4 5% 9% 38%	4081
	21st to end	Day	6% 5% 2 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 7% 9% 46%	4476
June	1st to 10th	Day	7% 6% 2 9% 7% 6% 6% 6% 7% 10% 33%	2470
	11th to 20th	Day	5% 5% 1 6% 6% 6% 7% 6% 7% 11% 39%	2470
	21st to end	Day	6% 5% 3 8% 7% 6% 7% 6% 8% 10% 33%	2470
July	1st to 10th	Day	7% 6% 3 8% 7% 7% 8% 8% 10% 12% 23%	4120
	11th to 20th	Day	7% 4 2 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 9% 11% 33%	4120
	21st to end	Day	6% 6% 2 8% 8% 8% 9% 7% 11% 13% 22%	4184
August	1st to 10th	Day	4 3 1 5% 5% 6% 6% 5% 8% 12% 46%	3785
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 4 2 5% 4 4 5% 4 7% 9% 48%	3729
	21st to end	Day	6% 4 2 6% 6% 5% 6% 5% 8% 12% 40%	4180
September	1st to 10th	Day	9% 7% 3 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 6% 8% 37%	2225
	11th to 20th	Day	13% 7% 2 7% 5% 5% 5% 3 5% 7% 40%	2090
	21st to end	Day	9% 5% 2 5% 4 5% 5% 3 5% 7% 50%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	9% 5% 2 5% 4 4 3 3 4 7% 53%	2090
	11th to 20th	Day	11% 4 1 4 4 3 3 2 6% 7% 56%	2090
	21st to end	Day	11% 5% 1 4 4 2 3 3 4 6% 55%	2046
November	1st to 10th	Day	9% 6% 2 5% 4 4 3 3 4 5% 56%	1708
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 7% 2 4 3 3 4 2 4 7% 53%	1710
	21st to end	Day	13% 5% 3 5% 4 4 4 3 5% 7% 46%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	12% 8% 2 6% 5% 4 4 3 4 6% 45%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 10% 3 7% 3 4 4 3 4 5% 43%	2153
	21st to end	Day	16% 11% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 5% 5% 40%	3124
January	1st to 10th	Night	16% 9% 2 6% 4 4 4 4 4 6% 42%	4109
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 8% 2 5% 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 50%	3850
	21st to end	Night	20% 14% 3 6% 3 3 3 2 3 4 39%	4180
February	1st to 10th	Night	14% 9% 3 7% 4 4 3 3 6% 6% 41%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	17% 8% 3 5% 3 3 3 3 4 5% 46%	2218
	21st to end	Night	14% 7% 3 6% 4 4 4 4 6% 6% 41%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	22% 12% 4 7% 3 3 3 2 5% 5% 34%	3733
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 7% 2 7% 4 4 4 3 6% 8% 43%	3619
	21st to end	Night	11% 7% 3 7% 4 4 4 3 5% 6% 44%	3643
April	1st to 10th	Night	10% 7% 3 6% 4 4 4 4 5% 7% 47%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 5% 2 5% 3 4 4 4 7% 7% 46%	1875
	21st to end	Night	6% 4 1 4 4 3 4 4 5% 7% 56%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	8% 5% 2 6% 5% 5% 5% 4 6% 9% 45%	2977
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 7% 3 7% 5% 4 4 4 6% 8% 39%	2812
	21st to end	Night	5% 4 2 6% 4 4 5% 5% 7% 12% 45%	3079
June	1st to 10th	Night	6% 7% 2 7% 6% 6% 5% 6% 9% 12% 33%	1710
	11th to 20th	Night	4 4 2 5% 4 5% 5% 6% 9% 12% 43%	1710
	21st to end	Night	4 6% 2 7% 7% 5% 6% 6% 9% 11% 38%	1710
July	1st to 10th	Night	6% 7% 3 9% 7% 7% 7% 7% 9% 12% 25%	2840
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 4 2 6% 6% 6% 7% 6% 9% 14% 34%	2840
	21st to end	Night	6% 7% 3 9% 7% 7% 8% 6% 9% 11% 26%	3363
August	1st to 10th	Night	4 3 2 5% 4 5% 6% 6% 9% 14% 43%	3144
	11th to 20th	Night	4 3 2 6% 5% 5% 6% 4 7% 12% 46%	3100
	21st to end	Night	5% 5% 2 5% 4 5% 7% 5% 8% 11% 43%	3476
September	1st to 10th	Night	10% 6% 2 7% 5% 6% 6% 6% 8% 8% 37%	1934
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 6% 2 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 8% 40%	2090
	21st to end	Night	8% 5% 2 6% 4 5% 6% 4 6% 7% 47%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	8% 6% 2 4 4 4 3 3 4 7% 56%	2090
	11th to 20th	Night	9% 5% 1 4 3 3 3 3 4 5% 60%	2090
	21st to end	Night	11% 6% 2 5% 3 3 3 2 4 5% 57%	2546
November	1st to 10th	Night	9% 4 2 4 3 3 3 3 5% 6% 57%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	12% 5% 2 4 3 3 3 3 4 5% 56%	2470
	21st to end	Night	13% 6% 2 5% 4 3 4 3 5% 6% 48%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	14% 6% 2 6% 4 3 4 3 5% 7% 47%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 7% 2 6% 4 4 4 3 4 5% 46%	3042
	21st to end	Night	16% 8% 3 6% 4 4 4 4 5% 6% 39%	4532

Transparency (when cloud cover <= 30%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Poor Below Average Average Above average Transparent
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	41% 3 5% 19% 24% 8%	2837
	11th to 20th	Day	31% 4 6% 21% 27% 10%	3105
	21st to end	Day	46% 4 5% 15% 20% 9%	3476
February	1st to 10th	Day	46% 4 8% 14% 20% 8%	1900
	11th to 20th	Day	43% 4 5% 14% 24% 9%	1858
	21st to end	Day	46% 5% 7% 15% 17% 10%	1570
March	1st to 10th	Day	49% 5% 9% 16% 15% 6%	3120
	11th to 20th	Day	41% 5% 7% 19% 18% 10%	3339
	21st to end	Day	41% 5% 10% 16% 19% 8%	4001
April	1st to 10th	Day	38% 5% 9% 19% 18% 10%	2280
	11th to 20th	Day	38% 6% 8% 19% 20% 10%	2254
	21st to end	Day	30% 6% 9% 22% 28% 5%	2280
May	1st to 10th	Day	32% 8% 11% 26% 19% 3	3950
	11th to 20th	Day	42% 7% 12% 23% 16% 1	4085
	21st to end	Day	31% 8% 13% 29% 17% 2	4489
June	1st to 10th	Day	44% 9% 13% 21% 11% 2	2470
	11th to 20th	Day	35% 11% 15% 22% 14% 3	2470
	21st to end	Day	41% 11% 17% 18% 10% 2	2470
July	1st to 10th	Day	48% 10% 27% 11% 4 1	4055
	11th to 20th	Day	41% 11% 25% 20% 3	4051
	21st to end	Day	48% 13% 20% 15% 3	4050
August	1st to 10th	Day	29% 7% 14% 29% 20% 1	3773
	11th to 20th	Day	31% 8% 15% 28% 17% 1	3765
	21st to end	Day	37% 6% 20% 22% 13% 2	4179
September	1st to 10th	Day	43% 9% 14% 14% 15% 5%	2225
	11th to 20th	Day	43% 7% 12% 15% 18% 5%	2090
	21st to end	Day	34% 6% 10% 20% 23% 7%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Day	30% 3 6% 11% 25% 25%	3480
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 2 5% 16% 25% 35%	3458
	21st to end	Day	21% 2 6% 15% 41% 15%	3334
November	1st to 10th	Day	31% 4 7% 18% 27% 13%	1708
	11th to 20th	Day	33% 4 6% 16% 27% 13%	1710
	21st to end	Day	37% 5% 8% 17% 22% 11%	1710
December	1st to 10th	Day	39% 6% 9% 18% 21% 7%	1710
	11th to 20th	Day	46% 3 6% 14% 26% 6%	2150
	21st to end	Day	46% 3 6% 21% 19% 5%	3124
January	1st to 10th	Night	42% 3 6% 14% 25% 9%	4109
	11th to 20th	Night	35% 4 6% 20% 24% 11%	3850
	21st to end	Night	51% 3 4 13% 24% 6%	4180
February	1st to 10th	Night	43% 4 7% 16% 20% 10%	2280
	11th to 20th	Night	42% 4 5% 13% 23% 12%	2219
	21st to end	Night	41% 6% 8% 16% 16% 13%	1884
March	1st to 10th	Night	52% 4 8% 14% 14% 8%	3733
	11th to 20th	Night	38% 5% 9% 16% 21% 10%	3619
	21st to end	Night	40% 4 10% 17% 21% 9%	3643
April	1st to 10th	Night	36% 6% 11% 15% 20% 12%	1900
	11th to 20th	Night	35% 5% 9% 17% 23% 11%	1875
	21st to end	Night	25% 7% 10% 25% 24% 8%	1900
May	1st to 10th	Night	33% 9% 14% 19% 20% 5%	3007
	11th to 20th	Night	40% 8% 14% 21% 15% 3	2813
	21st to end	Night	28% 8% 16% 26% 18% 3	3087
June	1st to 10th	Night	40% 11% 17% 17% 15% 1	1710
	11th to 20th	Night	28% 10% 20% 25% 13% 3	1710
	21st to end	Night	34% 12% 20% 18% 11% 5%	1710
July	1st to 10th	Night	46% 13% 26% 11% 4 1	2795
	11th to 20th	Night	37% 12% 28% 20% 3 1	2786
	21st to end	Night	48% 15% 18% 15% 4 1	3256
August	1st to 10th	Night	29% 10% 16% 30% 13% 2	3132
	11th to 20th	Night	29% 8% 20% 26% 15% 2	3130
	21st to end	Night	34% 8% 19% 21% 17% 2	3476
September	1st to 10th	Night	41% 10% 15% 14% 13% 7%	1934
	11th to 20th	Night	40% 9% 11% 19% 16% 6%	2090
	21st to end	Night	33% 8% 10% 20% 20% 9%	2090
October	1st to 10th	Night	32% 3 7% 11% 22% 25%	3480
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 2 4 15% 29% 33%	3461
	21st to end	Night	21% 2 3 16% 37% 21%	4195
November	1st to 10th	Night	29% 5% 8% 17% 25% 16%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	31% 3 5% 17% 30% 14%	2470
	21st to end	Night	36% 4 7% 19% 21% 13%	2470
December	1st to 10th	Night	37% 5% 10% 19% 23% 6%	2470
	11th to 20th	Night	41% 4 6% 13% 29% 7%	3044
	21st to end	Night	43% 5% 8% 18% 22% 4	4532

Seeing (when cloud cover <= 80%)
Color Meanings: Too cloudy to forecast Bad 1/5 Poor 2/5 Average 3/5 Good 4/5 Excellent 5/5
Month	Days in Month		Occurrence of each Forecast	Data Points
January	1st to 10th	Day	21% 24% 34% 18% 2 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	21% 19% 34% 16% 9% 2	270
	21st to end	Day	22% 24% 37% 14% 2 1	297
February	1st to 10th	Day	29% 20% 31% 16% 4	270
	11th to 20th	Day	29% 20% 33% 16% 2	270
	21st to end	Day	20% 26% 38% 16%	225
March	1st to 10th	Day	21% 20% 40% 13% 5% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	19% 18% 34% 20% 7% 1	371
	21st to end	Day	20% 17% 33% 24% 6%	506
April	1st to 10th	Day	20% 15% 33% 20% 11% 2	460
	11th to 20th	Day	18% 12% 33% 24% 12% 1	452
	21st to end	Day	10% 12% 29% 28% 16% 4	460
May	1st to 10th	Day	8% 11% 28% 28% 19% 5%	463
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 4 23% 31% 23% 10%	487
	21st to end	Day	11% 3 21% 32% 19% 14%	529
June	1st to 10th	Day	8% 4 14% 34% 26% 14%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	8% 2 15% 28% 29% 19%	490
	21st to end	Day	8% 2 13% 28% 30% 19%	490
July	1st to 10th	Day	8% 2 5% 26% 37% 23%	485
	11th to 20th	Day	6% 1 7% 22% 35% 30%	484
	21st to end	Day	4 1 6% 25% 43% 21%	532
August	1st to 10th	Day	6% 2 7% 21% 37% 27%	486
	11th to 20th	Day	9% 1 8% 20% 37% 26%	479
	21st to end	Day	12% 1 8% 27% 30% 22%	539
September	1st to 10th	Day	10% 3 11% 27% 32% 18%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	15% 3 12% 28% 31% 11%	490
	21st to end	Day	10% 4 16% 28% 31% 12%	490
October	1st to 10th	Day	13% 4 24% 31% 23% 5%	490
	11th to 20th	Day	12% 6% 22% 30% 25% 5%	490
	21st to end	Day	18% 12% 23% 27% 17% 3	386
November	1st to 10th	Day	16% 9% 24% 34% 14% 3	282
	11th to 20th	Day	16% 14% 38% 22% 8% 1	270
	21st to end	Day	14% 16% 34% 25% 9% 1	270
December	1st to 10th	Day	20% 18% 34% 19% 8% 1	270
	11th to 20th	Day	25% 19% 34% 16% 5%	270
	21st to end	Day	22% 19% 33% 21% 5% 1	297
January	1st to 10th	Night	20% 16% 34% 26% 4	760
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 17% 27% 29% 8%	760
	21st to end	Night	23% 15% 34% 24% 4	836
February	1st to 10th	Night	19% 13% 32% 31% 5%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	23% 14% 31% 26% 6%	743
	21st to end	Night	17% 18% 36% 27% 2	628
March	1st to 10th	Night	16% 15% 34% 28% 6%	760
	11th to 20th	Night	13% 15% 36% 25% 10%	760
	21st to end	Night	14% 15% 32% 29% 9%	739
April	1st to 10th	Night	13% 13% 32% 30% 12% 1	570
	11th to 20th	Night	16% 8% 32% 27% 15% 2	563
	21st to end	Night	7% 9% 25% 39% 19%	570
May	1st to 10th	Night	9% 6% 26% 34% 21% 4	570
	11th to 20th	Night	8% 4 22% 34% 27% 5%	561
	21st to end	Night	8% 2 15% 36% 36% 5%	617
June	1st to 10th	Night	9% 1 12% 36% 36% 6%	570
	11th to 20th	Night	5% 2 10% 27% 42% 13%	570
	21st to end	Night	4 1 9% 31% 44% 11%	570
July	1st to 10th	Night	8% 1 5% 25% 45% 17%	555
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 1 5% 20% 47% 20%	552
	21st to end	Night	6% 1 5% 29% 45% 14%	624
August	1st to 10th	Night	6% 4 23% 47% 19%	567
	11th to 20th	Night	7% 2 5% 27% 45% 14%	564
	21st to end	Night	9% 2 8% 27% 38% 16%	627
September	1st to 10th	Night	11% 2 9% 27% 38% 13%	604
	11th to 20th	Night	14% 2 13% 30% 34% 7%	760
	21st to end	Night	10% 2 14% 31% 39% 5%	760
October	1st to 10th	Night	11% 2 20% 38% 25% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	11% 5% 21% 33% 26% 3	760
	21st to end	Night	14% 7% 20% 37% 21% 2	836
November	1st to 10th	Night	10% 6% 23% 37% 21% 3	760
	11th to 20th	Night	15% 8% 28% 34% 14% 2	760
	21st to end	Night	16% 13% 24% 34% 12% 1	760
December	1st to 10th	Night	17% 12% 26% 32% 12% 1	760
	11th to 20th	Night	19% 11% 31% 29% 9%	760
	21st to end	Night	24% 14% 28% 26% 8%	836

Page generated at 2024-11-03 01:11:15. Version ac07

Copyright © 2024 Attilla Danko.